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CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. Assessing Needs of Care in European Nations Seventh Framework Programme Esther Mot. Beatles. When I'm 64

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CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

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  1. CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis Assessing Needs of Care in European Nations Seventh Framework Programme Esther Mot

  2. Beatles When I'm 64 When I get older losing my hair, Many years from now, Will you still be sending me a valentine Birthday greetings bottle of wine? If I'd been out till quarter to three Would you lock the door, Will you still need me, will you still feed me, When I'm sixty-four? ………..

  3. The issue

  4. Background • Demand for care • Ageing of the baby boom • Life expectancy • Life style (smoking cessation, obesity) • Labour supply

  5. 2008 versus 2040

  6. 2040 after adjustment

  7. Questions Ancien • How will need, demand, supply and use of LTC develop? • How do different systems of LTC perform?

  8. Organisation Ancien • Coordination: • Center for European Policy Studies (CEPS): Güldem Okem • Scientific coordination • Federal Planning bureau (FPB): Peter Willemé • Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB): Esther Mot • Consortium: • 20 partners from 15 eu-countries

  9. Start of the project • portray LTC-systems in Europe • standardised format • data collection • typologies • selection of countries to model

  10. Modelling for selected countries • needs (lifestyle) • supply (formal and informal) • use

  11. Needs • projection of LTC needs • demography • risk factors (smoking, obesity) • education • alternative scenarios • demography only • trends in risk factors • effective intervention policies

  12. Supply • econometric analysis supply of: • informal care • formal care • link with regulation • choice of care • burden of caregivers • labour market implications

  13. Use • micromodel to explain LTC use • macroprojections based on micromodel • policy simulations

  14. Qualitative analysis • quality of care • review of policies • selection of promising indicators • role of technology • potential solutions • potential impact on challenges LTC • analysis of feasibility

  15. Final analysis • systems performance • simulations with the models (effect of system on need, supply and use) • consultation of partners • analysis of performance

  16. Practical details • Start: 1/1/2009 (?) • Finish: in 2012 • Website: • www.enepri.org

  17. The end

  18. Austria Belgium Estonia Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Poland Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom 20 partners from:

  19. Structure of the project

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