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Tanzania Oil and Gas Opportunities and Challenges

Tanzania Oil and Gas Opportunities and Challenges. Mark Stearnes. 03 Octo ber 2012. Legal notice.

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Tanzania Oil and Gas Opportunities and Challenges

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  1. Tanzania Oil and GasOpportunities and Challenges Mark Stearnes 03 October 2012

  2. Legal notice Certain statements included in this presentation contain forward-looking information concerning BG Group plc’s strategy, operations, financial performance or condition, outlook, growth opportunities or circumstances in the countries, sectors or markets in which BG Group plc operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve uncertainty because they depend on future circumstances, and relate to events, not all of which are within BG Group plc’s control or can be predicted by BG Group plc. Although BG Group plc believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Actual results could differ materially from the guidance given in this presentation for a number of reasons. For a detailed analysis of the factors that may affect our business, financial performance or results of operations, we urge you to look at the “Principal risks and uncertainties” included in the BG Group plc Annual Report & Accounts 2011. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast and no part of this presentation constitutes, or shall be taken to constitute, an invitation or inducement to invest in BG Group plc or any other entity, and must not be relied upon in any way in connection with any investment decision. BG Group plc undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by BG Group plc or any of its respective subsidiaries, affiliates and associated companies (or by any of their respective officers, employees or agents) in relation to it.

  3. Agenda 1 BG Group 2 Offshore East Africa – upstream overview 4 Doing business in Tanzania (and wider East Africa) 3 Tanzania – success so far

  4. BG Group – Who we are • Market leader: • FTSE top ten company • Market capitalisation • Circa $70bn • Production approximately 70% gas; 30% oil • Global gas major: • Over 6 000 employees; 65% outside UK BG Group Global Gas Major

  5. Countries of current operation Global portfolio Norway UK Kazakhstan Italy Areas of PA USA India China Tunisia Thailand Trinidad & Tobago Egypt Kenya Tanzania Australia Singapore Brazil Bolivia Uruguay Chile Madagascar BG Group countries BG Group is active in more than 20 countries across five continents 5

  6. Who we are Demerger and development 1986 1997 1999 2000 2002 2005 BG Plc BG Group Plc Lattice British Gas www.bg-group.com National GridTransco National Grid www.nationalgrid.com Centrica www.centrica.com A proven record of performance

  7. How we do it Working sustainably • Responsible to our people • HSSE, Recruitment • Training, development • Equality & diversity Responsible conduct Integrity Governance Strategy/investment • Responsible to society • Human rights • Community relations • Capacity building • Investment • Environmentally responsible • Environmental impacts • Climate changeBiodiversity The way we conduct business

  8. Agenda 1 BG Group & Global LNG 2 Offshore East Africa – upstream overview 4 Doing business in Tanzania (and wider East Africa) 3 Tanzania – success so far

  9. Oil and Gas East Africa • Large Frontier plays • Sizeable blocks • Deep to ultra deep water • Several recent discoveries • Material resource potential • Multiple play types • Multi-TCF gas potential • Stable/ progressive governments • Favourably located for LNG markets • India and Asian Pacific Kenya – Tullow: onshore oil discovery Tanzania – BG: 6, Statoil: 2 deepwater gas discoveries BG Mozambique – Anadarko & Eni discoveries An exciting exploration “hot-spot”

  10. Agenda 1 BG Group & Global LNG 2 Offshore East Africa – upstream overview 4 Doing business in Tanzania (and wider East Africa) 3 Tanzania – success so far

  11. Tanzania – Deepwater activity Block 12 • Incumbents • Smaller Africa focussed independents • Majors renewed interest • Some companies still targeting oil • Two producing gas fields with sufficient reserves for domestic demand • 4th offshore deepwater licensing round planned in 4Q 2012 Block 11 Block 10 Block 9 Block 8 Block 7 Block 6 Block 5 Block 4 Block 3 Block 2 Block 2 Two producing fields: Songo Songo & Mnazi Bay E. Pande Block 1

  12. Success in first deepwater wells • Farm-in June 2010, 60% of Blocks 1, 3 & 4 • BG Operatorship – 1st July 2011 • Six successful wells • Gas discoveries • Still in exploration phase • Appraisal program in Q3 / Q4 2012 • Also acquired substantial siesmic;5140 sq km 3D followed by 2,500 sq km 3D seismic in Block 1; evaluation ongoing • In-country presence in Dar es Salaam and Mtwara – high quality national staff • LNG Implementation Agreement and PSA gas terms already in place TANZANIA MOZAMBIQUE

  13. Sharing the Operations Supply Base in Mtwara • BG Operates the Mtwara Supply base on behalf of other offshore Operators (Petrobras, Statoil, Ophir) • Upgrade commenced in 4Q 2011 to enable multiple drilling operations with improvements to benefit existing port users (cashew nut farmers) • Tanzanian Ports Authority plans to develop free trade port and export corridor

  14. Agenda 1 BG Group & Global LNG 2 Offshore East Africa – upstream overview 4 Challenges 3 Tanzania – success so far

  15. Capacity building initiatives • BG scholarship scheme with the British Council and Nelson Mandela African Institute for Science and Technology • Support for G&G studies at the University of Dar Es Salaam and University of Dodoma • Pilot project for long term industry vocational training with VSO and VETA • Mtwara road safety programme in partnership with National Institute of Transport • School support program in Mtwara • Marine Conservation and livelihoods project in partnership with Mnazi-Bay Ruvuma Estuary Marine Park

  16. Operational challenges – remote location • Operational challenges • Lack of infrastructure and local service industries • Deep water drilling • Environmentally sensitive • Capacity and skills development • Piracy • Joint initiatives for: • Sharing port facilities in Mtwara • Mutual Assistance between IOCs/ use of best technology • Incident response (e.g. oil spill) • Cooperation with Tanzanian navy

  17. Business Environment Challenges • Capacity and capability within Government and Parastatals • Stability of contractual environment • Levels of education and training within general population • Direct experience of Oil and Gas • Robustness of business systems and processes • HSSE

  18. LNG will require huge investment Upstream Liquefaction Shipping Regasification Markets c. 35-45% of investment c. 35-40% of investment c. 20-25% of investment c. 8% of investment • $50 - 100 million per exploration well (deepwater) • $8 - 20 billion upstream development cost • 2 - 6 sq. mile site • 3,500 construction personnel • $5 - 16 billion downstream development cost • $90 - 350 billion gross sales revenue over project life • 1 LNG tank can store two Boeing 777’s • $600+ million investment • $300+ million cost per vessel • $5 million voyage cost (fuel, port, charter, boil-off) to India • c.120 cargo loadings per year Figures are highly variable depending on project scope and scale

  19. LNG versus oil – illustrative cash flow Based on a generic greenfield LNG project LNG Expansion Oil Billion ($) Time from discovery of reserves LNG LNG development = longer lead times but significant long term benefits

  20. LNG could deliver unprecedented benefits Historic Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) • Positive impact on FDI, export earnings and government revenues • Enabling legislation needed to maximise benefits • Key challenges: • Long lead time • Political / institutional capacity • Petroleum sector reforms • Domestic energy expectations • Macroeconomic impacts • Exchange rate appreciation; “Resource Curse” Source: IMF, International Financial Statistics Tanzania has had no experience of such large projects

  21. Thank you

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