1 / 14

RESIN

National Science Foundation Delta RESIN Initiative: Update and Provisional Findings Emery Roe, Senior RESIN Researcher Center for Catastrophic Risk Management University of California Berkeley Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011. RESIN. Re silient and S ustainable

asabi
Télécharger la présentation

RESIN

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. National Science Foundation Delta RESIN Initiative: Update and Provisional FindingsEmery Roe, Senior RESIN ResearcherCenter for Catastrophic Risk ManagementUniversity of California Berkeley Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  2. RESIN Resilient and Sustainable Infrastructure Networks

  3. The aim of RESIN is… To create, validate, & apply improved Risk Assessment & Management (RAM) approaches for the high reliability management of resilient & sustainable interconnected critical infrastructure systems (ICIS).

  4. Primary RESIN outcomes include . . . • A handbook of practice for ICIS RAM • An interdisciplinary curriculum for a new RAM-Based field of Inter-Infrastructural Engineering

  5. Interdisciplinary research • highlights differing orientations to risk, resilience & system definitions for sustainability • requires thinking through risk management at different scales in highly engineered, highly reliable systems before, during & after a disaster 20 researchers 5 disciplines

  6. High Reliability Management is the provision of what society considers to be critical services safely & continuously, even during peak demand or turbulent times. As such, you often find HRM in critical infrastructure systems, i.e., those with control rooms for large-scale electricity & water systems, among others. For the purpose of the RESIN initiative, ecosystem services are critical services and thus require HRM. Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  7. What Are Ecosystem Functions & Services? There are many ecosystem functions: regulating atmospheric chemical composition, temperatures, and precipitation; decomposing organic matter & producing biomass; maintaining balances in carbon dioxide and nitrogen; permitting recovery from natural disturbances; and cycling nutrients, among others. These functions yield benefits––termed ecosystem services––including commodities (timber, fish, wildlife), specific services (hydropower, biological control, bioremediation), intangibles (preservation of open landscapes, endangered species, “wilderness”), and amenities (places for recreation) Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  8. Provisional Findings: Resilience & sustainability at the ICIS level may well include a different kind or resilience and sustainability than most of us think we know. This is a resilience where infrastructure managers are able to bounce back from a unpredictable shock or surprise while planning the next step ahead within the ICIS. This is a sustainability where these managers are able to increase their options to respond to unpredictable shocks or surprises at the ICIS level. And why are surprises inevitable? Because the chief feature of interconnectivity is surprise and Delta ecosystems—aquatic, agricultural and urban—are exceedingly complex. Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  9. The State of Bay-Delta Science 2008 (Healey et al 2008) has as one of its major conclusions: “The Delta is a continually changing ecosystem,” adding: “From a scientific perspective, changing background conditions means that our measurements of the Bay-Delta system will never converge toward any ‘normal’ values”. Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  10. ProvisionalFindings (continued): 2. RAM must be interactive and involve control room operators and emergency responders across the interconnected critical infrastructures. How? Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  11. Some Possible Answers: --undertake more inter-agency and inter-infrastructure simulations, e.g., the CALFED real-time gaming exercises --develop real-time indicators of jointly moving control variables for real-time use in the control rooms of multiple infrastructures --and….. Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  12. …systematically search for better practices being developed outside California for managing ICISs, including but not limited to: --bringing ecologists and environmental scientists into the control room as real-time dispatchers and support staff. Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  13. BUT WHAT ABOUT ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT? ANSWER: Sadly, the gap between promise & reality of adaptive management could be large: Delta Science Program Brown Bag, March 16 2011

  14. Thank You!http://ccrm.berkeley.edu/resin/

More Related