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Current Market Scenario

This report analyzes the current market scenario, focusing on the Sensex's annual performance and the trends in foreign institutional investor (FII) flows. With the Sensex experiencing fluctuations and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) holding key rates unchanged amid inflation concerns, investor sentiment remains cautious. The impact of the US Federal Reserve's tapering on emerging markets is considered, alongside updates on major indices and sectors, particularly mid-cap and small-cap stocks. Key events, such as RBI's monetary policy review, are highlighted for investor insights.

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Current Market Scenario

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  1. Current Market Scenario

  2. Sensex Annual Performance 81 73 47 47 42 26 17 13 9 -52 -25

  3. 2013 Performance – Other Indices

  4. FII Flows 29.3 24.3 20.1 17.65 17.45 - 0.35 -11.97 Billion US $

  5. DII Remain Sellers DII includes Banks, Finance Institution, Insurance , Mutual funds

  6. Market Perspective - 2014

  7. Market Stays Flat • Action in mid cap and small cap stocks • RBI holds rate amid criticism • Results will be in focus • Global Markets Stable INDEX WATCH

  8. Infosys Regaining Its Lost Shine • Infy has met analyst expectation for 3rd consecutive quarter • N R Narayana Murthy scores well in his 2nd Innings despite top level employee exits

  9. RBI Hold Key Rates • RBI takes pragmatic step by keeping key rates unchanged despite high inflation • RBI cites unusual food inflation for high headline inflation • Widespread criticism among economist on RBI stance

  10. Wholesale Price Inflation Segments

  11. US Fed Kicks off Taper • To reduce bond purchase by US $10 Bn to $75 Bn from January ‘14 • Recovery in US Economy aid US Fed to initiate Taper • Further Taper Off depends upon economy revival • Impact of Taper on Emerging Markets are partly discounted • QE 3 likely to end by 2014

  12. SEBI Rationalizes Periodic Call Auction Criteria • As per new criteria many good companies with low liquidity will come out of Period Call Auction segment • Major relief to small investors as they can buy or sell in illiquid stocks as they wish • Gives opportunities to buy good beaten down illiquid stocks

  13. New Periodic Call Auction List No. of Scrips

  14. Govt. to Monetize SUUTI Holdings • SUUTI (Specified Undertaking of Unit Trust of India) was formed to bailout investors in the UTI US – 64 scheme. Govt. gave money to unit holders in lieu of stocks held by scheme • Major Holdings in SUUTI

  15. 2013 – Worst Year for Indian Auto Sector

  16. IIP Growth Remains Muted 3.5 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.4 - 2.5 -1.8 -1.8 - 2.1

  17. Trade Deficit Under Control

  18. Election Year for Emerging Markets

  19. Events and Data to Watch • Q3 results • US Fed meeting on Jan 28,29 • RBI Monetary Policy review on Jan 28 • FII Flows

  20. Thank You

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