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Learn how to optimize inventory, manage reprints, decrease returns, and increase profits using marketplace information. Discover insightful strategies and best practices to boost efficiency and drive profitability.
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Using Information to Increase Efficiency and Profits Dominique Raccah Publisher and CEO Sourcebooks, Inc. February 2004
Optimizing Business Processes with Marketplace Information • Developing Advances • Tailoring Time and Resource Allocations for Marketing Programs • Optimizing Inventory • Decreasing Returns Focus on business processes that have greatest potential for increasing profitability
Developing Advances • Author’s Previous Sales • Gauge opportunity • Assumption that market is always there to be expanded • Category Sales Information/Share of Market Data • Data now allows us to track and gauge sales results Using data to help rationalize predictive process
Using Information to Optimize Inventory • Goal • More accurately match supply with demand • Decrease unsold inventory • Focus on 2 kinds of inventory decisions • Reprints • First Printings
Sourcebooks Reprints Results 2003 • Only reporting about 70% of our list • 104 new titles in this part of our list in 2003 • 111 reprints • 1 every 2.3 working days • 63 different titles • Of those 111 reprints—5 problematic (or less than 5%) • Significant improvement over 2002
What Data Can We Use to Better Manage Reprints? • Where’s the demand coming from? (i.e., who specifically needs the reprint?) • Why do we need the reprint? (e.g.,Valentine’s Day) • What is current risk/inventory on hand in channel? • Review sell-in/sell-thru information (weekly sales results) for each account including: • Barnes & Noble Bookscan • Borders • Waldenbooks • AWBC/Books-A-Million • Amazon • Ingram ipage • Baker & Taylor TitleSource II • AMS
Other Information We Can Use to Better Manage Reprints • Reorder planning with accounts (both bookstore & non-bookstore) • Modeling different types of books • Peak titles • Build titles • Seasonality • Gauging publicity/marketing effects
Summary: Reprints • Every printing provides more information that allows you to better model marketplace • Simplest assumption: stable marketplace • Usually not true for books • Seasonality • Promotions • Other marketing effects • Saturation • Competitive product • Model marketplace during sales season • Use sales model to forecast what reprints might be
Sourcebooks First Printing Results 2003 • Again only reporting 70% of our list • Spring 2003—57 titles • 10 of which were problematic (or about 17.5%) • Fall 2003—47 titles • 3 of which were problematic (or about 6%)
Our Experience—First Printing Is Riskiest • At every printing you have more information that allows you to better model marketplace • Axiom of risky decision-making that the point of maximum risk is when information is minimal • Print less/plan for reprints • Work with printers to decrease print cycles • Print smarter
Last Printing Is the Most Expensive Printing • You don’t know it’s the last printing • Marketplace shifts unpredictably/model is no longer appropriate
Summary: Using Information to Optimize Inventory • Print less • Benchmark appropriate level of inventory for trade book publisher • Months of Stock—Inventory on-hand/past 12 months sales • Inventory Days on hand—Inventory value/Accounts receivable • Inventory Turn—Inventory value/past 12 months inventory cost of goods • What are industry-wide “Best practices”? • What is your inventory target(s)? • Feed information into decision-making both first printings and reprints • Use marketplace information to turn off last printing
Using Marketplace Information to Decrease Returns • Sourcebooks’ returns 2003 down 25% • Much of this decline can be attributed to the effects of marketplace input on inventory management • Can’t make these decisions in a vacuum • Use the information in conjunction with your customers
Using Marketplace Information to Decrease Returns • Analyzing/Managing Customers’ Inventory on Ongoing Basis • Ship less upfront • Assess sell-through and marketing • Ship more often • Work closely with vendors to improve reprint cycles • Leads to more backlist-oriented program/more build-oriented strategy
Using Marketplace Information to Decrease Returns • Working closely with our customers is KEY • They know a lot about their data and what is going on in their market • More accurately match supply with demand • Where you need it; effects of regionality • When you need it; effects of seasonality • Do the research before we approach the customer
Using Marketplace Information to Increase Efficiency and Profits • Analyzing/Managing Customers’ Inventory on Ongoing Basis • Using information to work more closely with our customers • More accurately match supply with demand • Goal is to serve our customers and the marketplace better
Using Marketplace Information to Increase Efficiency and Profits • Optimizing Business Processes with Marketplace Information • Rationalize predictive process—impact advances • Optimize inventory both on hand and in channel • Implications for marketing, operations, production, sales • Decrease returns • Focus on Business Processes with Greatest Potential for Increasing Profitability