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Climate Change & Energy EU policies

Brussels, AER, January 14 th 2008 Stéphane Peyhorgue, Environment Policy Officer. Climate Change & Energy EU policies. ESPACE INTERREGIONAL EUROPEEN. 1 – Climate change and Effects in Europe. Continuous Effects : (1850-2000) Temperatures increasing Sea level rise Snow cover reduction

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Climate Change & Energy EU policies

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  1. Brussels, AER, January 14th 2008 Stéphane Peyhorgue, Environment Policy Officer Climate Change & EnergyEU policies ESPACE INTERREGIONAL EUROPEEN

  2. 1 – Climate change andEffects in Europe

  3. Continuous Effects : • (1850-2000) • Temperatures increasing • Sea level rise • Snow cover reduction • (Northern Hemisphere) Reference : IPCC 2007

  4. Reference : IPCC 2007

  5. Temperatures increasing.. Reference : IPCC

  6. …a natural phenomena ? Reference : www.manicore.com

  7. A phenomena due to Human activities !!(‘enhanced’ warming) Reference : GIRDA

  8. Natural Greenhouse Reference : http://www.defipourlaterre.org/comprendre/climat/

  9. Greenhouse gases (GHG) • Water vapor : 2/3 of the natural GH effect • Carbon dioxide (CO2) : the 1rst enhanced GHG • Methane (CH4): the 2nd enhanced (23 times CO2) • Nitrous oxide (N2O) (310 times CO2) • Fluorinated GH gases (HFCs, SF6, PFCs, …) (22.000 times CO2)

  10. The main anthropic gases

  11. Modeling • Source : Hadley Centre

  12. Modeling Improving resolution (1980 to 2007)Reference : IPCC

  13. IPCCScénarii (2001)

  14. Temperatures increasing (2001=> 2100) ARPEGE model, Reference : CIERD

  15. Effects in Europe • DATA : PESETA Project (FP6 Research Program) http://peseta.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ • Modeling : PRUDENCE http://prudence.dmi.dk/

  16. Main annual changes in Europe • eee

  17. Temperatures in winter : 3 models 2071- 2100 2010- 2040 2071- 2100 2071- 2100

  18. Temperature changes

  19. Tourism index (1961-1990 / 2071-2100)

  20. High sea level rise in the World

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