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COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Where Are We? What Do We Need to Do?

COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Where Are We? What Do We Need to Do?. Mississippi Summit Jackson, Mississippi February, 2008. Over past 25 years, we’ve made a lot of progress on the access side. Immediate College-Going Up. Recent High School Graduates.

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COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Where Are We? What Do We Need to Do?

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  1. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Where Are We? What Do We Need to Do? Mississippi Summit Jackson, Mississippi February, 2008

  2. Over past 25 years, we’ve made a lot of progress on the access side.

  3. Immediate College-Going Up Recent High School Graduates Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Digest of Education Statistics 2002 (2003), Table 183 AND U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey Report, October 2002.

  4. Most High School Grads Go On To Postsecondary Within 2 Years Source: NELS: 88, Second (1992) and Third (1994) Follow up; in, USDOE, NCES, “Access to Postsecondary Education for the 1992 High School Graduates”, 1998, Table 2.

  5. College-going up for all groups.

  6. College-Going Increasing for Recent* High School Grads at All Income Levels * Percent of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school **Due to small sample sizes, 3-year averages used for Low-income category Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education, 2006, Table 29-1, http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator29.asp

  7. Immediate* College-Going Increasing for All Racial/Ethnic Groups: 1980 to 2005 * Percent of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education, 2006, Table 29-1, http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator29.asp

  8. But though college-going up for minorities, gains among whites have been greater

  9. All Groups Up In College-Going from 1980-2005, But Gaps Also Increase Source: U.S. Department of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education 2006.

  10. And though college going up for low-income students, they still haven’t reached rate of high income students in mid-seventies.

  11. Highest Achieving Low-Income Students Attend Postsecondary at Same Rate as Bottom Achieving High Income Students Source: NELS: 88, Second (1992) and Third Follow up (1994); in, USDOE, NCES, NCES Condition of Education 1997 p. 64

  12. But access isn’t the only issue: There’s a question of access to what…

  13. And what about graduation?

  14. Black and Latino Freshmen Complete College at Lower Rates (6 Year Rates; All 4-Year Institutions) Overall rate: 55% Source: U.S. DOE, NCES, 1995-96 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, Second Follow-Up (BPS: 96/01) in U.S. DOE, NCES, Descriptive Summary of 1995-96 Beginning Postsecondary Students: Six Years Later. Table 7-6 on page 163.

  15. And from 2-year institutions? Lower still.

  16. California Community Colleges:Success Rates for Degree-Bound Freshmen* Shulock, Nancy. Excludes students who did not complete at least 10 credits.

  17. The result? Increases in college completion not commensurate with increases in college going.

  18. College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, White +19 +10 • Immediate College-going refers to the percentage of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school. Percent attaining their BA refers to the percentage of 25-29 year-olds with a BA or higher Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education, 2006, Tables 29-1 and 31-3 http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator29.asp , http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator31.asp

  19. College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, African American +20 +5.5 • Immediate College-going refers to the percentage of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school. Percent attaining their BA refers to the percentage of 25-29 year-olds with a BA or higher Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education, 2006, Tables 29-1 and 31-3 http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator29.asp , http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator31.asp

  20. College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, Latino +10 +3.3 • Immediate College-going refers to the percentage of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school. Percent attaining their BA refers to the percentage of 25-29 year-olds with a BA or higher Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education, 2006, Tables 29-1 and 31-3 http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator29.asp , http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2006/section3/indicator31.asp

  21. Add it all up…

  22. Different groups of young Americans obtain degrees at very different rates.

  23. Some Americans Are Much Less Likely to Graduate From College

  24. Some Americans Are Much Less Likely to Graduate From College:B.A. Rates by Age 24 SES is a weighted variable developed by NCES, which includes parental education levels and occupations and family income. “High” and “low” refer to the highest and lowest quartiles of SES. Source: “Family Income and Higher Education Opportunity 1970 to 2003,” in Postsecondary Education Opportunity, Number 156, June 2005.

  25. These gaps threaten the health of our democracy.But they are also especially worrisome given which groups are growing…and which aren’t.

  26. There is Rapid Growth Among Groups Who Already Are Under-Represented Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projections

  27. Not surprisingly, our international lead is slipping away We’re still relatively strong (although no longer in the lead) with all adults.

  28. U.S.: 3rd Out of 30 Industrialized Nations in Overall Postsecondary Degree Attainment (B.A. & A.A.) United States (38%) Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

  29. But the U.S. is 9th out of 30 countries in the percentage of younger workers with A.A. degree or higher United States (39%) Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

  30. . . . and the U.S. is one of only two countries where there is no increase in college attainment among younger workers. United States (0) Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

  31. To reach top performing countries Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

  32. WHAT’S GOING ON? Many in higher education would like to believe that this is mostly about lousy high schools and stingy federal and state policymakers.

  33. They are not all wrong.

  34. Low Income and Minority Students Continue to be Clustered in Schools where we spend less…

  35. Nation:Inequities in State and Local Revenue Per Student Source: The Education Trust, The Funding Gap 2005. Data are for 2003

  36. …expect less

  37. Students in Poor Schools Receive ‘A’s for Work That Would Earn ‘Cs’ in Affluent Schools Source: Prospects (ABT Associates, 1993), in “Prospects: Final Report on Student Outcomes”, PES, DOE, 1997.

  38. …teach them less

  39. Fewer Latino students are enrolledin Algebra 2 Source: CCSSO, State Indicators of Science and Mathematics Education, 2001

  40. African American, Latino & Native American high school graduates are less likely to have been enrolled in a full college prep track percent in college prep Full College Prep track is defined as at least: 4 years of English, 3 years of math, 2 years of natural science, 2 years of social science and 2 years of foreign language Source: Jay P. Greene, Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates in the United States, Manhattan Institute, September 2003. Table 8. 2001 high school graduates with college-prep curriculum.

  41. …and assign them our least qualified teachers.

  42. More Classes in High-Poverty, High-Minority Schools Taught By Out-of-Field Teachers High povertyLow poverty High minority Low minority Note: High Poverty school-50% or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low-poverty school -15% or fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High-minority school - 50% or more of the students are nonwhite. Low-minority school- 15% or fewer of the students are nonwhite. *Teachers lacking a college major or minor in the field. Data for secondary-level core academic classes. Source: Richard M. Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania. Original analysis for the Ed Trust of 1999-2000 Schools and Staffing Survey.

  43. Poor and Minority Students Get More Inexperienced* Teachers High poverty Low poverty High minority Low minority *Teachers with 3 or fewer years of experience. Note: High poverty refers to the top quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low poverty-bottom quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High minority-top quartile; those schools with the highest concentrations of minority students. Low minority-bottom quartile of schools with the lowest concentrations of minority students Source: National Center for Education Statistics, “Monitoring Quality: An Indicators Report,” December 2000.

  44. While we’re making some progress in addressing these problems in elementary schools…

  45. NAEP Reading, 9 Year-Olds:Record Performance for All Groups Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP Source:National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

  46. NAEP Math, 9 Year-Olds: Record Performance for All Groups Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP Source:National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

  47. We have not yet turned the corner in our high schools. Gaps between groups are wider today than they were in 1990.

  48. NAEP Reading, 17 Year-Olds 21 29 Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP Source:National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

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