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Social Trends in Australia and implications for church life

National Church Life Survey 400 000 attenders 7000 local churches 10 000 leaders. More than 22 denominations and movements including:. Anglican Apostolic Assemblies of God Baptist Brethren Catholic Christian Missionary Alliance Christian City Church COC Australia Congregational

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Social Trends in Australia and implications for church life

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  1. National Church Life Survey 400 000 attenders 7000 local churches 10 000 leaders More than 22 denominations and movements including: Anglican Apostolic Assemblies of God Baptist Brethren Catholic Christian Missionary Alliance Christian City Church COC Australia Congregational CRC Churches International Church of the Nazarene Churches of Christ Four Square Gospel Lutheran Presbyterian Christian Reformed Churches Salvation Army Seventh-day Adventist Uniting Church Vineyard Fellowship Worldwide Church of God and Independent congregations, House churches and other Christian communites. Social Trends in Australia and implications for church life NCLS Research www.ncls.org.au

  2. Social Trends in Australia and implications for church life NCLS Research

  3. six categories

  4. population structure

  5. one key trend: Australia’s population is ageing as it is growing

  6. evidence?

  7. 1921 Source: ABS 2008a

  8. 1931 Source: ABS 2008a

  9. 1941 Source: ABS 2008a

  10. 1951 Source: ABS 2008a

  11. 1961 Source: ABS 2008a

  12. 1971 Source: ABS 2008a

  13. 1981 Source: ABS 2008a

  14. 1991 Source: ABS 2008a

  15. 2001 Source: ABS 2008a

  16. 2011 (projected) Source: ABS 2008b

  17. 2021 (projected) Source: ABS 2008b

  18. 2031 (projected) Source: ABS 2008b

  19. 2041 (projected) Source: ABS 2008b

  20. 2051 (projected) Source: ABS 2008b

  21. implications • The elderly will make up an increasing proportion of the population • BUT there will still be a numeric increase in the number of children and adults in their middle years

  22. education

  23. one key trend: Australia’s population is increasingly well educated

  24. evidence?

  25. education by generation 1896-1926 1927-1946 1947-1966 1967-1986 YOB 2006 age Over 80 60-79 40-59 20-39 “Oldest Generation” “Lucky Generation” “Baby Boomers” “Generation X and Y” ABS label Source: ABS 2009

  26. implications • Increasingly well educated ministry staff will need to be alert to needs of less educated aged congregations • Changing needs and expectations placed on teaching and learning situations from younger generations

  27. employment and income

  28. one key trend: Australian women are working more

  29. evidence? • 53% of all women 15+ employed in 2006 (up from 40% in 1976) • Small rise in women working full-time (29% up from 26% in 1976) but big rise in part-time employment: 24% of all women work part-time (up from 14% in 1976)

  30. time use by life cycle stage Source: HILDA 2004 via AIFS 2007

  31. time use by life cycle stage Source: HILDA 2004 via AIFS 2007

  32. time use by life cycle stage Source: HILDA 2004 via AIFS 2007

  33. Mums with kids under 5 work an AVERAGE of over 70 hours per week time use by life cycle stage Source: HILDA 2004 via AIFS 2007

  34. implications • Young mums are working really hard • Do you target women as the volunteers with ‘available time’? • Young dads spend lots of time at work • Does church contribute to quality family time?

  35. households and families

  36. one key trend: Families are forming and re-forming increasingly flexibly

  37. evidence?

  38. Only two thirds of all children live in a ‘traditional’ family families with children Source: ABS 2006a

  39. Decline in marriage rates and rise in co-habitation rates • 76% of all marriages in 2006 were preceded by co-habitation • Nearly 40% of all co-habitations begun since 1990 end in separation within 5 years (compared to approx. 9% of marriages in the same period) • Overall decline in the proportion of adults living with a partner • Dramatic increase in ex-nuptial births: 33% of all children in 2006 (up from 3-4% in the 1960s) • BUT proportion of birth certificates with father’s name increased from 58% in 1980 to 90% in 2006 (related to co-habitation) Source: AIFS 2008

  40. implications • Activities will need to be open to non-traditional family structures • Welcoming people with non-traditional families into church will be an increasingly significant social issue • Stable Christian marriages and families can provide valuable support networks and role models

  41. housing

  42. one key trend: New arrivals in your local area are most likely to be from other parts of your state

  43. evidence?

  44. residential mobility after 5 years At least three of every ten people in our communities has arrived in the last five years from outside the local area. 51% 11% 20% 4% 8% Source: ABS 2006a Not stated: 6%

  45. implications • Opportunities to welcome • Opportunities to provide support and local knowledge

  46. culture and religion

  47. two key trends: There is an increasing diversity of source countries in migration to Australia There has been a massive rise in the number of Australians selecting ‘no religion’ on their Census forms

  48. evidence?

  49. country of birth 1996 Source: ABS 2008a

  50. country of birth 1997 Source: ABS 2008a

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