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ELECTRIC ENERGY SECTOR IN TURKEY

ELECTRIC ENERGY SECTOR IN TURKEY. Budak Dilli, General Directorate of Energy Affairs Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources- Turkey. TURKEY: Main Characteristics Of Energy Sector. High demand increase rate High investment requirement Import Dependency High Energy Intensity

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ELECTRIC ENERGY SECTOR IN TURKEY

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  1. ELECTRIC ENERGY SECTOR IN TURKEY Budak Dilli, General Directorate of Energy Affairs Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources- Turkey

  2. TURKEY: Main Characteristics Of Energy Sector • High demand increase rate • High investment requirement • Import Dependency • High Energy Intensity • Low Efficiency • High efficiency gain potential • Considerable potential of renewable sources • Emerging Market

  3. TURKEY –PrimaryEnergyDemandProjection 51000 61000 25000 31000 80000 24000

  4. INCREASING CONSUMPTION

  5. Electricity DemandIncome Elasticity – European Countries Turkey 2005 2020

  6. TURKEY- Electrical Energy DemandProjection(2006-2020)

  7. TURKEY: ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION COMPARISON (2001-2006) (Kaynak: IEA) Enerji İşleri Genel Müdürlüğü

  8. 1994-2004 % INCREASE IN ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION 1970:app.2000 MW -TODAY: 43000 MW, 1400 MW / YEAR

  9. Electricity New capacityrequirement (2020) • High scenario • ~ 56.000 MW additional capacity need Low scenario • ~ 40.000 MW additional capacity need

  10. GAS SECTOR • Natural Gas ConsumpNatural Gas Consumption in 2007: 35,5 bcm • tion Forecast for 2008: 37,5 bcm

  11. Investments in Energy Sector • Estimation up to 2020: • Power Generation, Transmission, Distribution ~100 Billion $ • Natural Gas…………………………...2,5 Billion $ • Coal…………………………………….5 Billion $ • Petroleum……………………………..16 Billion $ • New Power plants, rehabilitation, Pipelines, Natural gas storage…

  12. Prospects for Gas Demand Major Challenge: securıty of supply, sufficient gas suppy

  13. POLICIES • Energy security • New investments to cope with increasing demand • Reduce import dependency, diversification • Increase the utilisation of Local Sources • Establishing Functioning markets based on competition • Environmental sustainability : • Renewable Energy: Wind, Hydro, Geothermal, Solar, Biofuels • Clean Coal Technologies, Carbon Capture & Storage • Efficiency Increase • Nuclear Energy (5000 MW until 2020) UNFCC (Turkey became a Party in 2004) s

  14. MILESTONES OF THE TURKISH ELECTRICITY MARKET REFORM Finalization of generation privatization Electricity Market Law (No 4628) BOT Law (No 3996) Strategy Paper BSR BOO Law (No 4283) Law No 3096 Communique regarding the Financial Settlement Cash settlement Establishment of EMRA Start of distribution privatization Market opening 100 % Market opening 29 %

  15. Electricity Energy Supply Chain under the Liberal MarketConditions Monopoly activities subject to regulations Transmissionandsystemfacilities Distribution - TEİAŞ - Regional Distribution Companies Competitive Market Small Consumers Retail Sale Market RetailSale Production Wholesale Market Major Consumers -EÜAŞ-Hydro -Portfolio Companies - IPP - Autoproducers & Autoproducer groups - TETAŞ - Private Wholesale Companies - Non eligible consumers - Retail sale companies - Regional Distribution Companies -Autoproducers facilities -Eligible consumers - Consumers directly connected to transmission system

  16. Evolution of the Wholesale Market Bilateral contracting supplemented by Balancing and Settlement Regime August 2006 December 2003 starting by 2009 Future

  17. Electricity Market Breakdown of installed capacity by generators (2007) Ongoing studies for privatisation of distribution and generation

  18. Amendment to the Electricity Market Law • Enhancing the Security of Supply • Improving the monitoring & evaluation mechanism • Further improving the investment climate on generation side • Capacity mechanisms • Optional tendering

  19. NEW INVESTMENT : LICENCED PROJECTS TOTAL: 23078 MW (MARCH 2008)

  20. NEW PROJECTS, EXPECTED COMMISSIONING YEARS

  21. Renewables • Second largest contributor to the primary production  In 2007 11% of TPES was supplied from renewable sources • 20% of total electricity production was from renewable sources (43736 GWh) (2006 : 25 %) • Aim: to keep and further increase renewable share in energy balance (80 % increase in supply from renewables until 2020 ) • Utilization of the remaining hydro resources until 2023 • 37 % being utilized at present, 18% under construction (Total 35000 MW, Today 13000 MW) • > 20 000 MW Additional Wind (Today 350 MW, 1000 MW under Construction))

  22. Energy Efficiency • Energy conservation potential up to the 30% was defined in end use sectors. • Energy Efficiency Law was adopted in the Turkish Grand National Assembly, • To increase the energy efficiency awareness through media, training in schools, contest, informative billing etc. • To set up administrative structure and mechanism for energy efficiency services • To promote the energy services activities in the market • To promote renewables and cogeneration for the protection environment (Cogeneration installed capacity: 4476 MW, i.e. 11% of total installed capacity as of April 2007.) • Incentives and obligations to decrease energy intensity • Demand side measures , incentives • Measures for production & supply

  23. Interconnection with UCTE Technical studies approved by UCTE in April 2007. Ongoing studies for “Improvement of Frequency Control Performance”

  24. Oil And Gas Transit

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