The great global warming trial. Will you be an alarmist or a skeptic? A presentation to the San Diego World Affairs Council February 14, 2008By Dennis Bussey
GLOBAL WARMING ALARM! Humans created it, the effects are dire and humans can correct it.
Global warming is a natural phenomenon, and there isnothing realistic that mankind can do to significantly change the global temperature. COOL IT!
An established belief thought to be authoritative and not to be disputed, doubted or diverged from. Examples include: Judaism, Christianity and Islam Belief that 9/11 was a conspiracy Beat Army! Global warming dogma
There is no discussion, no alternative science, or no weather experts that advocates of man made climate change creating imminent peril for the planet will listen to. ”The debate is over!” Global warming dogma?
The media The schools The politicians The organizations Demonizing the unbelievers An Inconvenient Truth How Global Warming became common knowledge
When asked why his 60 Minutes does not include the views of global warming skeptics: “It would be difficult to find a scientist worth his salt who would suggest this wasn't happening. It would probably be someone whose grant has been funded by someone who finds reducing fossil fuel emissions detrimental to their own interests. There comes a point in journalism where striving for balance becomes irresponsible." 60 Minutes reporter Scott Pelley, 60 minutes
Media reports on global warming Media Research Center
“Polar bears starting to turn up drowned and at some point will become extinct due to global warming.” Time magazine Polar bear panic
“The world population of polar bears has mushroomedfrom 5,000 in the 1960s to about 25,000 today. The 2of the 20 subgroups that are declining live in regions in which the temperatures have been dropping over the past 50 years. The 18 subgroups that have seen an increase live in areas that have been getting warmer. It’s just silly to predict the demise of polar bears based on media-assisted hysteria. The future of polar bears is secure.” • Dr. Mitchell Taylor, Polar Bear Biologist, Department of the Environment, Government of Nunavut , Igloolik , Nunavut , Canada • --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ”Clearly, any warming that has occurred has not had an adverse impact on polar bear numbers. This is true of the polar bear populations in Alaska, Canada, Russia, and other nations.” Alaska Department of Fish and Game What you didn’t hear from the media
The New York Times reported Dec, 23, 2007 “As Earth Warms Up, Tropical Virus Moves to Italy. This is a real issue. Now, today. It is not something a crazy environmentalist is warning about.” The New York Times did not report: “Italy’s tropical virus is a result of modern transportation, not global warming.” Professor Paul Reiter Director of the Insects and Infectious Diseases Unit of the Institute Pasteur, Paris. Global Warming did it
- Proof of global warming
Humans are heating the earth. Devastationifwe don’t change the way we live. Polar caps will melt Ocean levels will rise. Droughts,floods, and chaos. Malariawillkill many people. Extinction of plants and animals. Public schools 3-5th graders
“Human-caused global warming is a certainty.” Senator John McCain
General Electric will spend $1.5 billion a yearto research the emission of greenhouse gases. United States Catholic Conference of Bishops, National Association of Evangelicals and National Council of Churches, declare: "Global warming is a universal moral challenge," Businesses and churches call for action
October 2007 Newsletter summarized a recent lecture, “The Climate Crisis: Answer the Call”. Invited members to individually work in promoting public awareness. • Repeated these words from the lecture: preserve our planet for our children catastrophic floods disappearing glaciers 2005 was the hottest year to date less than 10 years to stabilize the situation San Diego World Affairs Council
Greenland’s Warming Island • “If global warming needed a poster child, here it is.” • Dennis Schmitt, 2005 discoverer of Warming Island and tour operator with Betchart Expeditions. Witness global warming ($5,745 +airfare)
“‘Climate change denier’ – is used to mark out certain people as immoral, untrustworthy. It is deeply pejorative. It is a phrase designedly reminiscent of the idea of Holocaust denial.” Richard D North, author of Rich is Beautiful: A Very Personal Defense of Mass Affluence Skeptics beware
“Scientist who dissent from the alarmist have seen their grant funds disappear, their work derided, and themselves labeled as industry stooges,scientific hacks or worse. • There are peculiar standardsin place in scientific journals for articles submitted by those who raise questions about accepted climate wisdom. At Science and Nature, such papers are commonly refused without review as being without interest.” • Young scientists today who dare to stray from the alarmist dogma of man-made global warming often have to choose between silence through intimidation or jeopardizing their employment. • Only the most senior scientiststoday can withstand up against the alarmist galeand defy the climate scientist, advocates and policymakers.” • Richard Lindzen, Alfred P. Soan Professor of Atmospheric Science, MIT Skeptics beware
“We should have war crimes trials for these bastards -- some sort of climate Nuremberg.” David Roberts, staff writer for Grist journal Skeptics beware
“Intellectually Exhilarating! An Inconvenient Truth is a necessary film” • A.O. Scott, New York Times “It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it” Upton Sinclair “What changed in the US with Hurricane Katrina is we entered a period of consequences.” Al Gore An inconvenient truth
“You owe it to yourself to see this film. If you do not, and you have grandchildren, you should explain to them why you decided not to.” • Roger Ebert, movie critic the movie critics
Examining the science 1. Man made CO2 causes it. 2. Computer models predict it will get much worse. A case for the alarmists
“one of the most famous graphs in science.” carbon dioxide graph by Robert Simmon, NASA temperature graph from NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies “It is the scientific basis for the whole anxiety we have about climate change caused by human beings."
Computer models predict United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
“Skepticism is the highest of duties; blind faith the one unpardonable sin.” Thomas Huxley, 19th century English biologist. the highest of duties
Were the temperature change which has taken place during the 20th and 21st centuries to occur in this room during my talk, most of the people in this room would be unaware of it. • How can a one degree F increase in temperature since the late 19th century possibly gain public acceptance as the source of recent weather catastrophes? And how can it translate into claims about future catastrophes? Richard Lindzen, Alfred P. Soan Professor of Atmospheric Science, MIT A question for the non-scientists
US surface temperatures have increased about 0.5 degrees C (0.9 degrees F) per century. • Highest temperature in history was 136 degrees F in Libya, 1922 • Lowest temperature in history was -128 degrees F in Antarctica, 1983 • Max to min was 264 degrees F • US National Climatic Data Center 100 C = 212 F Temperature variations
The best measurements of global air temperatures come from American weather satellites, and they showno overall change since 1999. • That makes no sense by thehypothesis of global warming driven mainly by CO2, because the amount of CO2 in the air has gone on increasing.” Nigel Calder, editor of New Scientist Journal no warming since 1999
Keigwin, L. D. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution 3000 years of surface temperature
Temperature correlates with solar activity, not co2 Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge, TN
Glacier shortening unaffected by co2 Keigwin, L. D. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA and MIT
“So great are the magnitudes of these reservoirs, the rates of exchange between them, and the uncertainties of the estimated quantities that the sources of the recent rise in atmospheric CO2 have not been determined with certainty.” T.V. Segalstad, University of Oslo, Norway Why is co2 rising?
How does CO2 effect temperature? “The journey to the answer is immensely complex and no one can say absolutely what the effect is. The greenhouse effect amplifies solar warming of the earth. Greenhouse gases such as H2O, CO2, and CH4 in the Earth’s atmosphere, through combined convective readjustments and the radiative blanketing effect, essentially decrease the net escape of terrestrial thermal infrared radiation. Increasing CO2, therefore, effectively increases radiative energy input to the Earth’s atmosphere. The path of this radiative input is complex. It is redistributed, both vertically and horizontally, by various physical processes, including advection, convection, and diffusion in the atmosphere and ocean. When an increase in CO2 increases the radiative input to the atmosphere, how and in which direction does the atmosphere respond? • The IPCC uses a worst-case-scenario hypothesis. Their theory projects a dramatic temperature increase. Skeptics use experimental evidence with real world data. They conclude that while CO2 has increased substantially, its effect on temperature has not been experimentally detected.” Roy Spencer,Senior Scientist for Climate Studies at NASA ‘s Marshall Space Flight Center $64 thousand dollar question
Cloudiness varies according to how many atomic particles are coming in from exploded stars. More cosmic rays, more clouds. The sun’s magnetic field bats away many of the cosmic rays, and its intensification during the 20th century meant fewer cosmic rays, fewer clouds, and a warmer world. • Demonstrated the theory in his laboratory in 2006. Henrik Svensmark , Director of Danish National Space Center It’s all about the clouds
Ifthe atmosphere’s CO2 content doubled, its effect would be cancelled out if the cloud cover expanded by 1%. H. E. Landsberg Director of the Taunus Observatory of Geophysics and Meteorology, University of Frankfurt, Germany "All calculations about the greenhouse effect and global warming assume cloud cover isn't changing. But the Danish scientists have demonstrated cloud cover does change. The question of cloud cover, is the most critical unanswered question in the entire global warming debate.” Richard Muller, University of California, Berkeley Cloud impact is great, yet overlooked by united nations
Human contribution to greenhouse gas The total human contribution to the greenhouse effect is around 0.28%.” Dr. Wallace Broecker, Columbia University
“Climate models have yet to produce reliable results. An analysis of 22 climate models found their predictions at odds with actual warming over the past 30 years.” David H. Douglass, Climate scientist, University of Rochester • "The blind adherence to the harebrained idea that climate models can generate 'realistic' simulations of climate is the principal reason why I remain a climate skeptic. • HendrikTennekes, Director of Research, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute • “Models used by the IPCC are incoherent and invalid.” • Antonio Zichichi, President of the World Federation of Scientists computer model problems
When discrepancies arise, observations should carry greater weightthan theory. Therefore, the multitude of empirical observations favors celestial phenomenaover the IPCC theoretical model. Jan Veizer, University of Ottawa “ Theory vs. real world
“The Earth is getting hotter because the Sun is burning more brightly” Dr Sami Solanki, director of the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Gottingen, Germany The sun is hotter
“Some parts of Jupiter are now as much assix degrees Celsius warmer than just a few years ago.” Imke de Pater and Philip Marcus of University of California, Berkeley What’s happening on Jupiter?
Carbon dioxide "ice caps" near Mars's south pole had been diminishingfor three summers in a row.2005 data from NASA's Mars Global Surveyor and Odyssey missions “A simultaneous rising in temperature on both Mars and Earth suggest that climate change is indeed a natural phenomenon as opposed to being man-made.Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of space research at St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia What’s happening on Mars?
"At least since 1989, Triton, Neptune’s largest moon, has been undergoing a period of global warming," Astronomer James Elliot, professor of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences at Massachusetts Institute of Technology What’s happening on Neptune’s moon?
Storms on Saturn indicate a climate change occurring on that planet. NASA What’s happening on Saturn?
Pluto is undergoing global warming. Over the past 14 years, the average surface temperature increased about 3.5 degrees Fahrenheit. Astronomer James Elliot What’s happening on Pluto?
U.S. National Climatic Data Center Tornadoes
Hurricane Katrina August 28 2005 • Dr. C. W. Landsea , Hurricane specialist with the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration. Hurricanes
“The debate is over” A different perspective • "The scientific debate is over, We're done. Scientific skeptics of man-made catastrophic global warming are bought and paid for by the fossil fuel industry.” Miles O'Brien ,CNN's chief technology and environment correspondent, July 23, 2007 • 2004 - 2007 • Only 7% of all published scientists explicitly endorse global warming theory. • Science researcher Dr. Klaus-Martin Schulte, london Consensus?