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Baltic Transport Outlook 2030

Baltic Transport Outlook 2030. Tallin 14 October 2010 Morten Steen Petersen and Charlotta Hök. Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 - BTO. Priority project within chapter 11 of the Baltic Sea Strategy which is coordinated by Lithuania and Sweden

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Baltic Transport Outlook 2030

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  1. Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 Tallin 14 October 2010 Morten Steen Petersen and Charlotta Hök

  2. Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 - BTO Priority project within chapter 11 of the Baltic Sea Strategy which is coordinated by Lithuania and Sweden BTO coordinator: Swedish Transport Administration on behalf of Swedish Ministry of Enterprise, Energy and Communications Project period: 1 June 2009 – 31 December 2011 Total budget: € 1,000,000 Co-financed 50% by TEN-T

  3. Aim of the Baltic Transport Outlook study • The overall aim is to achieve better prerequisites for national long term infrastructure planning in the Baltic Sea region to make the region more accessible and competitive.

  4. Organisation Project Manager The process – ”project motor” Relations with stakeholders Anchoring and marketing The core of the project – the study

  5. Factors for success • Cooperation! • Engagement and active participation from all countries • Anchoring results during the study on a local/regional and national level • Spreading the end-results • Learning about and establishing contact at an early stage with other relevant EU-projects Workshop for stakeholders in Vilnius 6 December!

  6. www.baltictransportoutlook.eu

  7. BTO: Content of study

  8. Core Network Methodology A BSR core network should be based on issues and criteria relevant for the BSR. Not only EU countries Economic disparities Long distances to the core of EU Thinly populated regions Important raw materials The Baltic Sea as an important maritime route Need for connections to neighbouring regions and countries

  9. Core Network Methodology A BSR core network should: Enhance communication between BSR states and facilitate trade Improve cohesion in the region Improve mobility and accessibility Ensure integration of the transport system in the whole BSR Ensure efficient ties with neighbouring countries Facilitate sustainable transport solutions Be multi-modal and include terminals of trans-national importance Include non geographic attributes aiming at enhancing socio-economic efficiency and sustainability, e.g. Green corridors.

  10. Core Network Methodology: International Freight flows by road

  11. BTO 2030: Task 3: Scenarios 3 different scenarios proposed for 2030 and a baseline for 2016 Baseline Sustainability (International infrastructure development) Rigidity (local infrastructure development) Main drivers: Population development Economic growth Trade Development paths in Russia Transport policy Environmental policies

  12. BTO 2030: Task 3: Scenarios Data for model calculations 2016 and 2030 Population Economic growth and trade Travel and transport costs Value of time Network data Transport policy (cost recovery, congestion charges, emission charges, speed limits) TT-model results Calculation of traffic flows and other transport indicators for 2016 and 2030

  13. BTO 2030: Task 6: National Transport Planning and Implementation Methodologies

  14. BTO: Timeplan

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