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Michael Fuchs & Katrin Gasior

The introduction of the federal budget law 2013 in Austria mandates systematic Regulatory Impact Assessments (RIA) for all parliamentary consultations. The SORESI project, coordinated by the Austrian Federal Ministry for Employment, Social Affairs, and Consumer Protection, offers an online microsimulation tool for evaluating social benefits and tax regulations. This initiative empowers both civil servants and the public to analyze policy scenarios. This report evaluates the effects of the new family allowance reform, highlighting enhancements in transparency and addressing poverty risks for families, while also discussing future developments in impact assessment methodologies.

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Michael Fuchs & Katrin Gasior

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  1. Michael Fuchs & KatrinGasior

  2. Background: Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA) in Austria New federal budget law 2013 (BHG 2013) entered into force on 1 January 2013 • systematic impact assessments have to be part of every consultation material and the legal material provided to the Austrian parliament • Nine impact dimensions SORESI provides RIA in the field of social affairs Contractor and Coordinator: Austrian Federal Ministry for Employment, Social Affairs and Consumer Protection Project partners: ISER, KatholiekeUniversiteit Leuven, Making Choices, BRZ, Statistics Austria

  3. Online microsimulation model Evidence based policy Ex-ante evaluation tool Impact assessment free access user friendly Pilot project

  4. Chances of SORESI Political participation = “currency of citizenship”(Kulinski et.al. 2000: 791)  2 pre-conditions: • “must have ready access to factual information that facilitates the evaluation of public policy.” • „must use these facts to inform their preferences.“ • SORESI = • Information on current social benefits and tax regulations • Opportunity to try out reform scenarios yourself and to analyse their effects • Not only for civil servants but the ‚broader‘ public

  5. Limitations of SORESI • Simplification of reality  not all parameters can be simulated in detail (e.g. unemployment benefits) • Not all social benefit and tax regulations can be displayed on the input mask • Input-data: Sample size, coverage of different income elements in EU-SILC (e.g. assets and expenditure side) • “basic” knowledge of Austrian tax and benefit system and statistical results required • Macro validation  good results • …work in progress…

  6. SORESI - work flows Webinterface: Input parameter Webinterface: Output tables Workflows in thebackground 1 4 2 Euromod.exe Mikro data: Base vs. Reform 3 STATA Do-File 2013 results, based on: • 2011 employment status • incomes uprated to 2013 Policy rules EU-SILC Uprate 2013 2011 Income 2010 2010  2013

  7. Example: family allowance reform • New support model for families  decidedbythecouncil of ministers in June 2013 • Familyallowance NEW: better, simple, transparent • Childcareprovision: focus on children <3100 Mio./yearforthefederalstates Source: press release BMWFJ, 18 June 2013

  8. Family allowance NEW * if in full-time education** Income test: household income < 55,000 and 3rd child onwards

  9. SORESI – ResultsPoverty risk & Income situation

  10. SORESI – ResultsFiscal assessment

  11. Results of the reform • Impact on households: • Decrease of poverty risk for families with children rather low, • slight increase in equ. household net income • Reform of the family allowance would amount to additional annual costs of € 205 Mio. • 2 times as high as additional annualinvestment in childcareprovision (€ 100 Mio/year) • Already now clear emphasize on direct cash benefits

  12. Future developments • Nowcasting (& Forecasting) • Results for model households • annual update (next: beginning 2014) • improving simulation of certain benefits (e.g. unemployment benefits, minimum income benefits)  depending on dataavailability and quality in EU-SILC  collaborationwith Statistik Austria

  13. Thanks for your attention! Contact: fuchs@euro.centre.org gasior@euro.centre.org Test SORESI yourself:www.bmask.ac.at/soresi

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