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Segregation according to household size in a monocentric city (work in progress)

Segregation according to household size in a monocentric city (work in progress). Theis Theisen University of Agder. Introduction. Increase in single-person households: 15 % in Norway 1950 38 % in Norway 2001 In Oslo 2001: More than 50 % single person households What are the consequences?

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Segregation according to household size in a monocentric city (work in progress)

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  1. Segregation according to household size in a monocentric city(work in progress) Theis Theisen University of Agder

  2. Introduction Increase in single-person households: • 15 % in Norway 1950 • 38 % in Norway 2001 • In Oslo 2001: More than 50 % single person households What are the consequences? • for households living in a city • for the structure of cities

  3. Issues of interest: • Will the two household types be segregated? • The utility level of single-person and multi-person households • Extension of the city • multiperson households to live in the city centre warranted?

  4. The baseline model • Monocentric city • Individuals have identical preferences • Household preferences depend on size (n) • Income for an individual in full-time job exogenous (y) • Household labour force paticipation, , exogenous • Costs of commuting • Price per sqm. floor space depends on location Budget constraint for household located at distance x from city centre:

  5. The baseline household model (First order condition) (All households of type n enjoy the same utility) (Rent of land declining function of distance from city centre)

  6. Rent gradients for households of size 1 and 2 Transport cost ratio Proposition 1. If , single-person households have at a steeper rent gradient than two-person households. When this condition is fulfilled, single person households will occupy the dwellings closer to the city centre than ,while two-person households will live further from the city centre than . Land consumption ratio Rent gradient single person household Rent gradient two person household

  7. Numeraire good B A Land Assumption 1: Single-crossing preferences

  8. Result 1: If: • Income in the two person household equal to income in one person household • Costs of transportation the same in the two households (for the same distance) • Single-crossing preferences (Assumption 1) will the single-person household have steepest rent gradient, and live close to city centre. Describes well the situation in the middle of the last century

  9. Two problems with Result 1: • Not so relevant today, with high female labour force participation • Aggregate income in a city with a given population will depend on how individuals group themselves into households We want to neutralize the last effect by assuming:

  10. Assumption 2: The labour force participation rate is 1 in all households We also assume: • Assumption 3: Costs of transportation

  11. Numeraire good B A C D Land Optimum for both household types Optimum for single-person household Optimum for two-person household

  12. Rent Two-person households Agriculture Distance from city centre Spatial segregation of households according to size

  13. Oslo

  14. Munich

  15. Conclusions A simple theoretical model with: - economies of scale in household consumption - unequal household incomes according to household size - unequal costs of transportation can explain why: - single-person households will live centrally - two-person households will live less central The theoretical model obtains empirical support

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