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Multi-Agent Modeling of Land Cover and Use Dynamics in Northern Ecuadorian Amazon

This project explores the interplay between human and natural systems in the northern Ecuadorian Amazon by employing agent-based modeling (ABM) to simulate land cover and land use (LCLU) dynamics. It addresses critical topics, including road building, mining, oil extraction, logging, and conservation, while fostering collaboration between Ecuadorian NGOs and U.S. universities to train local scientists in LCLU technologies. The focus lies on enhancing education and training for Ecuadorians, and compliance with LBA data policies ensures responsible research practice.

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Multi-Agent Modeling of Land Cover and Use Dynamics in Northern Ecuadorian Amazon

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  1. Multi-agent models of land cover / land use dynamics in the northern Ecuadorian Amazon: coupling human & natural systems through pattern-process relations and spatial simulations S. L. Walsh and G. Medina

  2. Relevancy to LBA • Important background description • Very good summary of past achievements • Deals with relevant topic of LBA agenda, mainly on LC and LU change and human interactions based on ABM scenarios: road building; mining, oil industry, logging; farm forest management; conservation areas; and native people lands. • Spatial simulations of LCLU using ABM will caracterize LCLU dynamics in NEA.

  3. South American counter-parts • Emphasis is given to an Ecuadorian NOG thru students working there and to US students both in field and modeling purposes. • No chances are given to other South American students nor to other students from Amazon countries.

  4. Training and education plan • Full partnership between USA (UNC, UI) and Ecuador (NGO: ECOCIENCIA). • PIs come from UNC (Adm., Tech. & Budg.) and subcontracts with Ecociencia and UI. • No specific mention is done to other South American institutions / partners.

  5. Training and education plan • Emphasizes the lack of well prepared scientists in Ecuador on LCLU technologies in contrast with existing in Brazil. • Main objective: prepare Ecuadorians in population, LU, satellite imagery, the environment. • To train Ecuadorians they ´ll look for other sources other than US.

  6. Training and education plan • Past training success with Ecuador data with doctoral and masters students from Brazil, USA and Ecuador (39 total). • Six Ecuadorians have completed their training and studies. Workshops have been given in NEA (500 people trained). • This project will strength training and education capabilities as done in the past.

  7. LBA Data Policy • Meta-data will be download to LBA web sites. • Project will comply with LBA-DIS data policies. No extensive data collection is expected but use of models. • Available information already cleaned is available under severe use rules set for Ecociencia and CPC.

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