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Firm Summary. Manufacturing, marketing, and engineering companyPrinciple activities: Climate control (commercial and residential), Chemical productsMarket Cap: $148.74 MillionBottom Line: Small company with specialized products and growth opportunities. Fundamental Analysis. Part II:. Porter's F
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1. LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Materials and Industrials Group
2. Firm Summary Manufacturing, marketing, and engineering company
Principle activities: Climate control (commercial and residential), Chemical products
Market Cap: $148.74 Million
Bottom Line: Small company with specialized products and growth opportunities Based in Oklahoma City, OK
Climate Control Air conditioning, heating; geothermal and water heat pumps; hydronic fan coils, air handlers
Chemical most notably Nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and explosives
1,788 full-time employeesBased in Oklahoma City, OK
Climate Control Air conditioning, heating; geothermal and water heat pumps; hydronic fan coils, air handlers
Chemical most notably Nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and explosives
1,788 full-time employees
3. Fundamental Analysis Part II:
4. Porters Five Forces (Chemical) Threat of Substitutes:
Little differentiation, easy substitution -> High price sensitivity
Buyer Power: international clients Canada, Mexico, U.S.; i.e. BayerBuyer Power: international clients Canada, Mexico, U.S.; i.e. Bayer
5. Porters Five Forces (Climate Control) Threat of Substitutes:
Not too many substitutes
High differentiation of products
Rivalry: Mestek, Inc. 60M v. United Technologies Corporation 40+B
Buyer: homes, hospitals, hotels, offices, schools virtually every type of building; specifically for geotherm, water heat pump
Threat of Sub: check out website lots of exclusives, claims to be most efficient of certain productsRivalry: Mestek, Inc. 60M v. United Technologies Corporation 40+B
Buyer: homes, hospitals, hotels, offices, schools virtually every type of building; specifically for geotherm, water heat pump
Threat of Sub: check out website lots of exclusives, claims to be most efficient of certain products
6. SWOT Analysis: Strengths v. Weaknesses Split into subsidiary companies, each called a business with own organization and management
Market leaders segments of fertilizer, explosives, acids, and environmental control markets
Small size
Vulnerable to government regulation 1) Highly efficient and specialized, wide consumer base in all sectors
2)Chemicals Largest supplier of concentrated nitric acid, etc. see next slide
Climate Control Leading producer of hydronic fan coils, water source heat pumps, and geothermal products for heating and cooling all environmentally friendly and have recently benefitted from and has potential to keep benefitting from recent green movement
3)Small size limited financial resources, but has made a point to keep a lot of resources on hand
Limitations in offering new stock
Also contributes to transparency
4) Govt reg chemical business (e.g. ammonium nitrate)1) Highly efficient and specialized, wide consumer base in all sectors
2)Chemicals Largest supplier of concentrated nitric acid, etc. see next slide
Climate Control Leading producer of hydronic fan coils, water source heat pumps, and geothermal products for heating and cooling all environmentally friendly and have recently benefitted from and has potential to keep benefitting from recent green movement
3)Small size limited financial resources, but has made a point to keep a lot of resources on hand
Limitations in offering new stock
Also contributes to transparency
4) Govt reg chemical business (e.g. ammonium nitrate)
7. SWOT analysis: Opportunities v. Threats Pryor Facility chemical production, scheduled to start operation in 2009
Climate Control geothermal heat pumps
Global Warming
Increasing Regulation new costs to security, insurance, ammonium nitrate health concerns Pryor chemical production facility in Oklahoma - if all goes well, scheduled to start operation in second and third quarter of 2009 total cost est: 15-20 million (funded by cash on hand and working capital), total est increase in annual sales: 120 million
Climate Control - Geothermal Heat Pump Tax Incentive give tax credit (10% of cost) to those using geothermal heat pumps (GHP) LHB is North Americas leading producer of GHPs
40% energy use in U.S. homes and buildings, mostly for heating and cooling -> large sector
3) Global Warming Good enviro-friendly
Bad - weather conditions has significant effect on sales current upward trending of temperature to continue?
4) Increasing Regulation security level and insurance on factories
Ammonium nitrate + use in fertilizers
But routine, everyone in industry has to face, and expectant
Pryor chemical production facility in Oklahoma - if all goes well, scheduled to start operation in second and third quarter of 2009 total cost est: 15-20 million (funded by cash on hand and working capital), total est increase in annual sales: 120 million
Climate Control - Geothermal Heat Pump Tax Incentive give tax credit (10% of cost) to those using geothermal heat pumps (GHP) LHB is North Americas leading producer of GHPs
40% energy use in U.S. homes and buildings, mostly for heating and cooling -> large sector
3) Global Warming Good enviro-friendly
Bad - weather conditions has significant effect on sales current upward trending of temperature to continue?
4) Increasing Regulation security level and insurance on factories
Ammonium nitrate + use in fertilizers
But routine, everyone in industry has to face, and expectant
8. Financial information
12. Competitor Analysis: The Good News:
LSB Industries Quick Ratio and Growth Rate for Sales far out-performs both its closest competitors and the industry as a whole.
LSB has a distinct advantage over both competitors because both Lennox and Aaon only specialize in climate control products, whereas LSB specializes in both that and the chemical industries. This diversification is advantageous. The Not-So-Good News:
Price to Book ratio of LXU is lower than those of its nearest competitors, but higher than the industry average.
While it beats the industry for the ROA, it cant top Aaron Inc.
13. Valuation Part III:
14. Standard Valuation Metrics Market Cap: 145.34M
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 4.30
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected): 0.40
Price/Sales (ttm): 0.22
Price/Book (mrq): 1.23
15. Standard Valuation Metrics
19. Conclusion Part IV:
20. Drawbacks Return on Assets- low, 11.24%
% Stock held by non-insiders and non-institutions low: 2.49%. This means that the stock is more volatile, considering that the vast majority of it is owned either by few, large funds or parties who have nonpublic, valuable information about LSB.
Negative quarterly earnings (y.o.y): (-77.30)%
Very high level of debt: .961 debt/equity ratio. Overall high level of debt: 123.53M.
The primary business practice of LSB is climate control. This product is considered more of a luxury, so the demand for their product may be considered more elastic. Given the current financial crisis, people may be cutting down on air conditioning to better finance other necessities, fuel, medicine, food, etc.
21. Conclusion -Based on our quantitative analysis of the DCF, financial statements, and closest competitors and a more qualitative analysis through the SWOT, weve come to the conclusion that LSB Industry stock is undervalued, even in the most pessimistic scenario.
-Our verdict: BUY