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Global Forum on Trade Statistics Follow-ups

Global Forum on Trade Statistics Follow-ups. Ronald Jansen Chief of the Trade Statistics Branch United Nations Statistics Division / DESA E-mail: Jansen1@un.org. Measuring Global Trade New Recommendations IMTS / SITS Data Sources Global Production and Outsourcing

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Global Forum on Trade Statistics Follow-ups

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  1. Global Forum on Trade StatisticsFollow-ups Ronald JansenChief of the Trade Statistics BranchUnited Nations Statistics Division / DESAE-mail: Jansen1@un.org

  2. Measuring Global Trade New Recommendations IMTS / SITS Data Sources Global Production and Outsourcing Linking Trade and Business Statistics Trade in Value-Added 2 Global Forum on Trade Statistics Measuring Global Trade - Do we have the right numbers? organized jointly by UNSD and Eurostat in collaboration with WTO and UNCTAD 2-4 February 2011, Geneva, Switzerland

  3. Measuring Global Trade • Messages from different angles • Global Production and Outsourcing • International outsourcing • New Recommendations IMTS / SITS • Data Sources • Linking Trade and Business Statistics • Examples of ISTAT, Statistics Netherlands and Statistics New Zealand • Trade in Value-Added 3

  4. Messages from Policy Makers • Make everyone aware of the fragmentation of the production process and move the measurement of it forward • The changing patterns of trade and production have important implications in the broader context of development strategies. • Current statistical data are deficient for international trade in services from the point of view of both analysis of such trade and use by negotiators.

  5. Messages from Statisticians • Trade in Goods (high quality) and Trade in Services (low quality)  better balance necessary • We need a quality profile for International Trade Statistics • Fully integrated data warehouse for international trade is recommended as in Vision statement. Sharing good practices is important • Better use of trade statistics by linking it to other economic statistics, but also energy and environment statistics

  6. Messages from Researchers • More Trade in Services Statistics • Better distinction of traded goods into intermediate goods and final goods • More information on intra-firm trade • Better linking of Trade and Enterprise statistics

  7. Global Production  Statistics DenmarkInternational Sourcing study • Core business function: • Production of final goods or services intended for the market/for third parties carried out by the enterprise and yielding income. • Support business function: • Support business functions (ancillary activities) are carried out in order to permit or facilitate production of goods or services intended for the market/for third parties by the enterprise. • Distribution and logistics • Marketing, sales and after sales services • ICT services • Administrative and management functions • Engineering and related technical services • Research & Development • Other support functions

  8. Linking Trade and Business Statistics 8 Italy Netherlands New Zealand

  9. The link between the list of trade operators and the Business Register is the GATEWAY to any new and successful developments in trade statistics Trade flows micro-data Business surveys Administrative and fiscal data List of Trade operators Business Register Special surveys on Globalisation: MNEs and international sourcing THIRD TYPE OF OUTPUT SECOND TYPE OF OUTPUT FIRST TYPE OF OUTPUT “new figures” on the business characteristics of exporting and importing enterprises “new figures” and analysis based on the full integration between Trade and Business Statistics “new figures” based on the count of trade operators, for instance by products and markets

  10. Integrating economical, functional and social statistics 1 : M 1 : N 1 : P Enterprise Firm Job Person Business Register Job register Population register Statistics of Finances of Enterprises International Trade Fiscal Data Surveys Persons and Households Fiscal Data Ownership (UCI) Structural Business Surveys and short term indicators ConGO Investments R&D

  11. What’s in the LBD? Longitudinal Business Database Administrative data • Longitudinal Business Frame • Contains longitudinally linked data for most enterprises operating in NZ. Includes information on: • employment • location • industry • ownership relationship • Allows individual business to be tracked over time. Survey data • Goods and services tax data • Financial accounts (IR10) • Company tax returns (IR4) • Linked Employer Employee Database • Overseas merchandise trade • Government assistance data • Annual Enterprise Survey • Business Operations Survey • Manufacturing and Energy Use Survey • Business Finance Survey • Research and Development Survey • International Trade in Services and Royalties 11

  12. Fragmentation of production: the example of theBoeing 787 Dreamliner Forward fuselage: Kawasaki Heavy Industries (Japan) Spirit Aerosystems (USA) Wing box: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (Japan) Wing ice protection: GKN Aerospace (UK) Centre fuselage: Alenia Aeronautica (Italy) Escape slides: Air Cruisers (USA) Rear fuselage: Boeing South Carolina (USA) Vertical Stabiliser: Boeing Commercial Airplanes (USA) Doors & windows: Zodiac Aerospace (USA) PPG Aerospace (USA) Lavatories: Jamco (Japan) Flight deck seats: Ipeco (UK) Raked wing tips: Korean Airlines Aerospace division (Korea) Flight deck controls: Esterline (USA), Moog (USA) Horizontal Stabiliser: Alenia Aeronautica (Italy) Engines: GE Engines (USA), Rolls Royce (UK) Centre wing box: Fuji Heavy Industries (Japan) Aux. power unit: Hamilton Sundstrand (USA) Engine nacelles: Goodrich (USA) Tools/Software: Dassault Systemes (France) Navigation: Honeywell (USA) Pilot control system: Rockwell Colins (USA) Wiring: Safran (France) Passenger doors: Latécoère Aéroservices (France) Landing gear: Messier-Dowti (France) Electric brakes: Messier-Bugatti (France) Tires: Bridgestone Tires (Japan) Cargo doors: Saab (Sweden) Prepreg composites: Toray (Japan) Final assembly: Boeing Commercial Airplanes (USA) Source: www.newairplane.com

  13. Completely decomposing gross exports Gross exports Domestic value added in exports (VAX) Domestic value added that returns from abroad (VS1*) Foreign value added in exports (VS) Exports consumed by direct importer Indirect exports sent to third countries Final goods Final goods Final goods Inter-mediate inputs Inter-mediate inputs Inter-mediate inputs Further downstream Further upstream in GVCs Indirect value-added exports (VS1) 13

  14. Outcome and Follow-up to the Global Forum on Trade Statistics

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  19. Workshop on the Fragmentation of Global Production and Trade in Value Added World Bank, Washington DC, June 2011

  20. Regional Seminar on International Trade StatisticsBeijing, China, October 2011

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  24. Thank you Ronald Jansen and Matthias ReisterTrade Statistics BranchUnited Nations Statistics DivisionEmail: comtrade@un.orgWebsite: unstats.un.org/unsd/trade

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