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Flirting with Uncertainty and Surprise: Thriving on Change in Complex Systems

Flirting with Uncertainty and Surprise: Thriving on Change in Complex Systems. Lisa Kimball, Tom Mandel  & Denise Easton. Uncertainty & Surprise?. Systems and organizations are made up of many components. All the components are connected in some way.

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Flirting with Uncertainty and Surprise: Thriving on Change in Complex Systems

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  1. Flirting with Uncertainty and Surprise: Thriving on Change in Complex Systems Lisa Kimball, Tom Mandel  & Denise Easton

  2. Uncertainty & Surprise? Systems and organizations are made up of many components. All the components are connected in some way. The challenge is to see the whole and understand the relationships.

  3. An Expanded Perspective ENVIRONMENT SYSTEM BOUNDARY

  4. Make the WHOLE Visible to Everyone People in organizations are more engaged when they can see the whole of which they are a part. Solutions are better when more people are involved in creating them.

  5. Organizations are NOT Machines

  6. From Physics To Biology Simple Complex

  7. Complex Systems

  8. What is a Complex Adaptive System?CAS

  9. Properties of Complex Systems Distributed Control: In a CAS control is shared by many elements, rather than centralized in a single command center. Coexistence of Order & Disorder: In a healthy adaptive system, order and disorder coexist. Embeddedness: Each CAS made up of other CAS and is part of (embedded in) a larger CAS. Each is unique. Diversity: A CAS has many different elements. This enables a CAS to change. Because CAS areNonlinear, a small change may produce a large effect, or a large change may produce a small or no effect. Inability to Predict: Outcomes are unpredictable. Emergence: In a CAS outcomes emerge through a process of Self-Organization rather than through centrally planned or directed processes.

  10. Interdependent Attributes Self-Organization & Emergence Adaptable Elements Order & Disorder Embedded Systems Distributed Control Diversity Non-Linearity

  11. Organizations are not Only Structures

  12. Organizations are Networks

  13. Organizations are theChange Model

  14. What Will Surprise You?

  15. Serendipity

  16. Serendipity to Emergenceto Serendipity to Emergence

  17. A Few Simple Rules Fly toward the center of the flock Match the speed of the other birds Avoid running into the other birds

  18. Thriving on Change

  19. Flirting with Uncertainty and Surprise: Thriving on Change in Complex Systems Lisa Kimball, Tom Mandel  & Denise Easton

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