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Challenges on New Technologies For Sustainable Energy System Tech. Develop, Tech. Transfer and the CTI

Challenges on New Technologies For Sustainable Energy System Tech. Develop, Tech. Transfer and the CTI. Jūrmala (Latvia) 11-14 May, 2005. Morihiro KURUSHIMA Professor Toyo University / NEDO,JAPAN. 1. Energy in Japan in Comparison to the World. Characteristics.

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Challenges on New Technologies For Sustainable Energy System Tech. Develop, Tech. Transfer and the CTI

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  1. Challenges on New Technologies For Sustainable Energy SystemTech. Develop, Tech. Transfer and the CTI Jūrmala (Latvia) 11-14 May, 2005 Morihiro KURUSHIMA Professor Toyo University / NEDO,JAPAN 1

  2. Energy in Japan in Comparison to the World Characteristics Ratio of the Self-supply of Energy in Major Countries (2000) (％) Fragile Energy Supply Structure - Scarce domestic energy resources - Low ratio of self-supply of energy compared to other major countries - High dependency on oil from the Middle East Source: IEA “Energy Balances of OECD Countries 2002” Dependency on the Middle East for Oil and Dependency on Oil in the World (2000-2001) Primary Energy Supply and Its Ratio in Major Countries (2000) （％） Source: IEA “Energy Balances of OECD Countries 2002” Source: BP Statistics 2002 and IEA, Oil and Gas Information (2002)

  3. Japan’s New and Renewable Energy Indicators Supply Side New Energy Renewable Energy Source : Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, METI 4

  4. Type Photovoltaic power Wind power Waste power Biomass power Small- and medium-scale hydropower Residential Non-residential Large- scale Small- and medium- scale Large- scale Small- and medium- scale Power generation cost 46~66 73 9~14 18~24 9~11 11~12 7~21 14 Type Nuclear power LNG-fired Coal-fired Oil-fired Power generation cost 5.9 6.4 6.5 10.2 Cost Competitiveness of NRE Power generation cost of new energy (Unit: JPY/kWh) Source : Report by the New Energy Subcommittee of the Advisory Committee on Energy and Natural Resources (July 2001), and others Power generation cost by power source (Unit: JPY/kWh) 5 Source : Data of the 70th Nuclear Power Subcommittee of the Advisory Committee for Energy(December 1999)

  5. PV Power Generation Capacity in Japan

  6. ：Market scale Creation of Initial Demand Market independence Creation of initial demand Technical development Diffusion Difficulty Level Cannot be sold without support ▪ High cost ▪ Competition with existing products ▪ Construction of a total energy system ▪ A lack of social awareness Synergistic effect of mass production and cost reduction This period is important. この時期が重要 Period of market creation Development of new products Period of independence and expansion in the market Period of market maturity 6

  7. Comparison of Unit Energy Consumption in Integrated Steelworks (2003, indexes with Japan set at 100) 150 150 140 130 120 120 110 110 105 100 100 90 JAPAN KOREA EU USA CHINA Japan’s Position in Steel Industry Source: Based on dialogue among JISF, Korea Iron and Steel Association, China Iron and Steel Association etc.

  8. Global CO2 emissions in 1999 USA 24% Others 44% China 13% Russia 6% Germany Japan India 4% 5% 4% The reason Why ? CO2 Emissions in the world 12000 Future global CO2 emissions 10000 8000 Non-annex I Non-annex I 6000 Emissions (Million t-C) 4000 Annex I AnnexI 2000 0 2010 2020

  9. PV Power Supply Project in Mongolia with NEDO-Japan & Sharp Co. PV: 200kW Power Distribution: Hospital / Communication Center:24hrs/day 128 Households:16 hrs/day Village office : 10kW Hospital : 40kW School : 40kW Communication center : 10kW Power plant : 100kW 1 Noyon Soum, Mongolia

  10. PV Power Supply Project with Micro-hidro in Cambodia Electricity Electricity Electricity Batteries Micro-hydro power generator Electricity Micro-hydro power generator Micro-hydro: 41.2kW PV1: 30kW PV2-6: 7.5kW Power distribution: 200 households, 6 hrs/day 21 1 PV panels

  11. NEDO’s F/S on CDM/JI Projects in 47 Countries(FY1998-2004) Mongolia 1 Tonga 1 Latin America 13 Eastern Europe 55 (21%) South West Asia 14 Central Asia 17 Middle East Africa23 (9%) 260 F/S 47 Countries China 47 (18%) Russia 30 (12%) ASEAN 59 (23%) 1

  12. NEDO’S JI Activityin Kazakhstan Fuel flow Heat Power Thermal Hot water boilers Fuel （Natural Gas） Power generation boilers Steam turbines Power Current condition Gas turbine Heat Recovery Steam Generation System Model Project 122. Annual CO2 emissions in baseline case 192,000t-CO2 /y Annual CO2 emissions in project case 130,000 t-CO2 /y Annual Emissions Reduction 62,000t-CO2/y 1

  13. 1

  14. Concept of Sustainable Energy System with Geological Sequestration Tank Energy Plant Liquefaction Solidification CO2 Separation Tank （Pipeline Transportation） Bio Factory （Heat Transportation） Biomass Methane Fermentation Fuel Cell Geological Segregation 1

  15. CO2 Sequestration Projects in Japan From 2000 (RITE) Nagaoka-shi, Niigata Prefecture Sequestration in an Aquifer From 1997 (NEDO, RITE) Joint project by Japan, US, Canada and Norway From 2002 (KANSO, J-COAL) Sequestration in a coal bed Ocean Sequestration CH4 CO2 Contribution to IPCC Special Report CH 4 CH 4 CO 2 Coal bed 1 Substitution CO2 fixation

  16. Concept of Sustainable Bio-Factory with Geological Sequestration 1

  17. Outline of the CTI Austria, Canada, Denmark, Germany, Norway, UK, USA, Japan and Finland • Chair : Mr.Sakamoto/METI,JAPAN • Vice Chair : Mr.Holts/US.DOE, • Mr.Carrington/UK.DTI • P.Manager : Prof.Kurushima • Seminars and Symposia Technology Needs Assessments Training Courses Information Dissemination Working with UNFCCC/EGTT, UNIDO, UNDP etc. 1

  18. “CTI/Industry Joint Seminar on Technology Diffusion” Series Warsaw (11-12 May 2000) Bratislava (14-16 July 1999) Madrid (18-19 Sep. 1999) Beiging ( 24-25 Feb. 2005 ) Vienna (28-29 Oct. 2004) Mexico City (18-19 Feb. 2004) Beiging ( 27-28 Sep. 2002 ) Vienna (28-29 Oct. 2003) (19-20 May 1998) San Salvador (27-28 Mar. 2000) New Delhi (11-12 March 2004) Cebu (14-15 Jan. 2000) Jakarta (4-5 Feb. 2004) Victoria Falls (17-19 Mar. 1999) 1

  19. “World Tech. Bank for Energy & Environment” 1

  20. With Gov, International Org, Bank and Industry for Energy & Environment” MauritiusGov. S.African D. Bank SADAC Industry CTI NREL US-DOE NEDO Japan Preliminary Study Basic Survey FS/Project Formation Project Implementation 1

  21. For Our Common Future Industry Energy Academia Environment Economy Sustainable Society Financial PV R&D Scenario for 2010 Gov. Initiative with 3Players for 3E 1

  22. 3/25/2005 ～9/25/2005 Thank you for your attention. 25 1

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