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RAINFALL SEASON UPDATE JANUARY 2012

RAINFALL SEASON UPDATE JANUARY 2012. By ELLIOT THOMAS Meteorological Services Department (MSD). Highlights. Onset of season 2009/10 Accumulated Rainfall so far %ge of normal to date Weeklies Forecast short term OND Verification JFM Forecast DJF & JFM update. Onset of 2011/12 Season.

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RAINFALL SEASON UPDATE JANUARY 2012

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  1. RAINFALL SEASON UPDATE JANUARY 2012 By ELLIOT THOMAS Meteorological Services Department (MSD)

  2. Highlights • Onset of season 2009/10 • Accumulated Rainfall so far • %ge of normal to date • Weeklies • Forecast short term • OND Verification • JFM Forecast DJF & JFM update

  3. Onset of 2011/12 Season CURRENT SEASON MEAN (1981-2010)

  4. Satellite Derived Start of Season (SOS) SOS 2011 ANOMALY SOS

  5. Accumulated Rainfall 1 Oct 2011 to 25 Jan 2012

  6. Percentage of normal 01-10-2011 to 25-1-2012

  7. Weather Outlook next 10 Days Light to moderate rainfall should occur across today. Localized heavy falls of > 30 mm in 24 hours especially over the Mashonaland, North of Manicaland and parts of Matabeleland South Provinces are forecast. From tomorrow rainfall activity will remain confined over the extreme northern districts as the southern parts become dry due to the influence of the Tropical Cyclone Funso that is forecast to continue moving south wards along the Channel.

  8. Satellite image for Southern Africa at 12:00 EUMETSAT 25 Jan 2012

  9. Weather Outlook Expected Rainfall from 25-01-12 to 01-02-12

  10. Further Weather Outlook Expected Rainfall from 2-02-12 10-02-12

  11. A 25 N 45 B 30 -16.00 Kariba Mt-Darwin Karoi A 25 N 45 B 30 -17.00 Reg1 Bindura Mutoko Binga HRE Victoria-Falls Marondera -18.00 Gokwe Kadoma Mhondoro Wedza Nyazura A 25 N 35 B 40 Lupane Kwekwe Odzi Nkayi Chivhu -19.00 Reg2 Mutare Buhera Gweru Tsholotsho Bulawayo Masvingo Bikita Chipinge -20.00 Plumtree Buffalo -21.00 West-Nicholson Reg3 -22.00 Beitbridge 33.00 26.00 27.00 29.00 30.00 31.00 32.00 28.00 OND FORECAST OND ACTUAL 2011

  12. -16.00 Kariba Mt-Darwin Karoi -17.00 Bindura Reg1 Mutoko Binga HRE Victoria-Falls -18.00 Marondera Gokwe Kadoma Mhondoro Wedza Nyazura Lupane Kwekwe Odzi Nkayi Chivhu -19.00 Reg2 Mutare Buhera Gweru Tsholotsho Bulawayo Masvingo Bikita -20.00 Chipinge Plumtree Reg3 Buffalo -21.00 West-Nicholson -22.00 Beitbridge A 35 N 40 B 25 26.00 27.00 28.00 29.00 30.00 31.00 32.00 33.00 A 45 N 30 B 25 A 45 N 30 B 25 JANUARY TO MARCH 2012 FORECAST FORECAST FOR JANUARY, FEBRUARY, MARCH 2012

  13. Short and Medium range weather forecasts • For short range forecasts (zero up to three days) : press and electronic media or call 04778176 • For medium range forecasts ( three to ten days): Agromet bulletin, rainfall bulletin or call 04778160

  14. I THANK YOU

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