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Commonwealth Grants Commission and Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation Alan Henderson

Commonwealth Grants Commission and Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation Alan Henderson Chairperson, Commonwealth Grants Commission Third Annual Intergovernmental Relations Conference 16-17 August 2011 National Convention Centre, Canberra. Topics.

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Commonwealth Grants Commission and Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation Alan Henderson

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  1. Commonwealth Grants Commission and Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation Alan Henderson Chairperson, Commonwealth Grants Commission Third Annual Intergovernmental Relations Conference 16-17 August 2011 National Convention Centre, Canberra

  2. Topics • History: evolution in response to changing circumstances • Current system: variations from equal per capita shares of GST - mining royalties, Indigeneity, socio-economic status • Changing GST shares: impact of the mining boom

  3. History • 1925-32: Seven official inquiries and three Royal Commissions • 1933: Commonwealth Grants Commission established • 1933-80: Claimant States and standard States (NSW and Vic) • 1981: Full equalisation with each State assessed against the average of all other States

  4. Current System: Full Equalisation GST is distributed so that: • after allowing for factors affecting revenues and expenditures • each State has the fiscal capacityto provide services and the associated infrastructure at the same standard • if each makes the same effort to raise revenue from its own sources and operates at the same level of efficiency.

  5. Figure 1: GST and population shares, 2010-11 Source: Commission calculation using data from the Report on GST Revenue Sharing Relativities, 2010 Review.

  6. Table 1: Horizontal fiscal equalisation — variations from an equal per capita distribution, 2010-11 Source: Commission calculation using State populations and GST pool from Budget Paper No 3, May 2011.

  7. Reasons for differences Relative • cost of providing services • capacity to raise revenue • rate of population growth • share of Commonwealth specific purpose payments

  8. Table 2: Horizontal fiscal equalisation — main factors accounting for the outliers, 2010-11* Source: Commission calculation.

  9. Figure 2: Shares of population and mining revenue, 2007-08 to 2009-10 Note: Three-year average. Sources: ABS estimated resident population and revenue data from Commission calculations for the Report on GST Revenue Sharing Relativities, 2011 Update.

  10. Figure 3: Indigenous share of State populations, 2009-10 Source: ABS Indigenous population estimates, 2009-10.

  11. Figure 4: GST shares of populous States, 2000-01 to 2011-12 Source: Commission calculation.

  12. Figure 5: Mining revenue, 2000-01 to 2009-10 Source: Commission calculation.

  13. Table 3: Net impact of mining, 2009-10 Source: Commission calculation.

  14. Table 4: Net impact of mining, 2007-08 to 2009-10 Source: Commission calculation.

  15. Summary • HFE addresses inequalities among the States, and the arrangements and methodologies for achieving HFE have changed significantly over time • The key differences driving the distribution of the GST include mining royalties, Indigeneity, population dispersion and socio-economic status • Largely as a result of the mining boom, Western Australia and Queensland, as well as Victoria and New South Wales, now receive less than an equal per capita share of GST. The change for Western Australia has been significant.

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