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Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town

Alison Hughes. Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town. What do we seek. Quantitative insights into challenges we face Contribute to economic, social and environmental sustainability

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Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town

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  1. Alison Hughes Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town

  2. What do we seek • Quantitative insights into challenges we face • Contribute to economic, social and environmental sustainability • Reduce the risks to the country of coming challenges such as peak oil and meeting our international climate change commitments • Meet complex policy challenges such as: • energy security • delivering energy services to the poor • improving energy efficiency • making energy markets work better • mitigating negative impact of the energy system on health and the environment.

  3. What do we need? • The right information, analytical tools, appropriate skills, Institutional networks, sustained commitment • Sustained commitment to develop and resource energy planning • Move away from adhoc reactive approach • Multidisciplinary research teams • Link modelling frameworks in innovative ways • Spatial infrastructure requirements • Energy economy linkages – social • Energy environment linkages • Technology development and characterisation • multi year data plan

  4. Modelling ERC

  5. Thank you

  6. policies - - - 1. Sustained commitment • Internationally, governments only tend to support energy policy and planning during energy crises – this is too late! • Without sustained support, systems have to be put in place from scratch, capacity needs to be developed from scratch, etc, every couple of years • Energy planning needs to be supported on a long-term basis, to reduce risk to the country from energy crises and/or price shocks

  7. 2. The right information • Data is needed in the following areas: • Energy supply and demand data • Data on existing and new technologies • Data on environmental impacts • Contextual data: economic growth, demographic information • Social and cultural context • Data needs to be collected more systematically, and housed (and documented) systematically and accessibly – it needs a long-term home

  8. 3. Analytical tools • Energy modelling is a very powerful tool for energy planning, as it facilitates the rational consideration of alternative futures in complex systems • Energy models are time-consuming and expensive to set up, but require less resources to maintain • A wide range of models are available – we need to choose models taking into account local realities, including availability of data and skills

  9. 4. Appropriate skills • A range of skills needed in various contexts: • data gathering and management, • energy analysis and modelling, • policy formulation and analysis, • building and maintaining stakeholders networks, • communicating results • All these skills currently exist in South Africa – challenge is to integrate these appropriately, and not keep re-inventing the wheel • Support needed for capacity-building programmes, both in government departments and at tertiary institutions

  10. 5. Institutional networks • Should emphasise an integrated approach, building on existing institutional strengths – we need a network • We need economies of scale

  11. Energy Research Centre • Modelling capacity- we lose capacity to other international institutions IAEA, BNL • Existing analytical tools • National MARKAL model (ETSAP) • Updated since the first IEP • Reviewed by AEAT • TIMES (ETSAP) • Message (IAEA) • LEAP (SEI) • Training • Existing Masters and PhD programmes, • Government officers from 14 African countries • Longstanding relationships and networking Analysis and planning Energy efficiency Policy Climate change Poverty and development

  12. What is integrated energy planning? • A recognition that energy is an important area for government involvement • Planning for the whole energy sector, i.e. making decisions about the energy system in its entirety • Integrating key government agencies in energy policy decision-making and implementation, at all levels of government • A process, rather than a product

  13. 6. Stakeholder participation • Who are stakeholders: • Energy sector • Big and small energy users • Government (local, regional and national) • Civil society • Critical to get buy-in to the planning process from as many stakeholders as possible

  14. 7. Political will • Decisive political leadership and support is required to make IEP meaningful and effective across government • Resources need to be dedicated to the process on a long-term basis

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