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Reverse Mortgages and Outlook for HECM MBS

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Reverse Mortgages and Outlook for HECM MBS

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    1. Reverse Mortgages and Outlook for HECM MBS October 15, 2007

    2. Reverse Mortgage Outstanding Volumes ($bn),

    3. The Baby Boomer Impact

    4. Why is the Reverse Mortgage Market Growing? Need from Seniors Increasing Lifestyle Demands of Seniors Increasing Awareness, Acceptance, and Appeal Increasing Volumes Increasing Number and Breadth of Loan Products Increasing Number of Lenders Increasing Servicing Options Developing Alternative Exits and Capital Markets Developing

    5. Reverse Mortgage Exit Channels Fannie Mae

    6. Key Factors that Drive Choice of Exit Channel Product Type (Insured HECM vs Jumbo Proprietary) Fixed vs Floating Rate Loans Portfolio Size Condition of Capital Markets Ability and Desire to Retain Residual and / or Excess Interest Portions of Loan Portfolios Ability and Impact of Funding Draws and Reserves Operational, Legal, and Resource Costs and Burdens Servicing

    7. Why Ginnie HMBS? Issuer Perspective Superior Execution Secure Premium on Unfunded Loan Amounts Stability and Liquidity of Exit No Structural Reserves Required Ability to Pursue Ginnie REMICs Investor Perspective Credit Protection (Full Faith and Credit of US Govt) No Downgrade Risk Stability and Liquidity Ability to Pursue Ginnie REMICs Low Risk-Weight for Capital Requirements Challenge: Participation Feature

    8. Key Loan Factors In Investor Credit and Duration Analysis Product Type (Insured HECM vs Jumbo Proprietary) Fixed vs. Floating Rate Loans Interest Rates Borrower Profile (Age, Gender, Married vs Single Borrower, Geography) Mortality and Mobility of Seniors Home Values Assignment of HECM Loans at 98% of MCA Draw Schedule on Line of Credit Refinance Risk Default Likelihood

    9. How Reverse Mortgage Losses Occur: The Crossover Point

    10. HECM Loan Breakdown Distribution by Payment Plan and Borrower Age

    11. HELOC Market Outstanding Volumes ($bn)

    12. HECM Loan Breakdown Distribution of Mortgage Payoff Types by Borrower Age

    13. Actuarial Mortality and Mobility Analysis

    14. Outlook What to Keep an Eye On LIBOR vs. CMT indexed loans Rebound of Broader Capital Markets and Liquidity New Lenders and Products Private Insurance Government and Regulatory Policy and Actions Housing Market (HPA) International Growth of Reverse Mortgages

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