1 / 13

Three Political Truisms

Three Political Truisms. All political careers end in failure Enoch Powell It’s the economy, stupid Bill Clinton aide Events, dear boy, events Harold Macmillan. Prime ministerial powers - formal. Head of the Executive Chair of the Cabinet Quasi Head of State Commander-in-chief

dennis
Télécharger la présentation

Three Political Truisms

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Three Political Truisms All political careers end in failure Enoch Powell It’s the economy, stupid Bill Clinton aide Events, dear boy, events Harold Macmillan

  2. Prime ministerial powers - formal • Head of the Executive • Chair of the Cabinet • Quasi Head of State • Commander-in-chief • Foreign policy leader • Parliamentary leader • Dissolution

  3. Prime ministerial power- informal • Chief policy maker • Patronage • Government spokesperson

  4. Limitations on power- formal • Parliament • Cabinet • Party

  5. Limitations on power- informal • Popular Image • Media image • Personality • Parliamentary majority • Party dissent • Cabinet dissent • Strength of Opposition • Stature of predecessor

  6. Jim Callaghan • Parliamentary majority • Party dissent (unions) • Media image • Wilson’s stature • Misuse of dissolution power • Legacy of oil price hike

  7. Margaret Thatcher • Internal dissent • Media image • Length of tenure • External events

  8. John Major • Stature of predecessor • Parliamentary majority • Party dissent • Cabinet dissent • Media image • Personality • Economic events • Strength of Opposition

  9. Tony Blair • Internal dissent • One big event • Parliamentary majority • Lords and judicial activism

  10. Gordon Brown • Stature of predecessor • Personality • Media image • Misuse of dissolution • Events – in spades • Strength of Opposition • Parliamentary majority

  11. Lessons from Prime Ministers’ experience - 1 • 10 years and that’s it • Thatcher, Blair, Brown • Pareto’s revolving elites • Patronage • Media

  12. Lessons from Prime Ministers’ experience - 2 • External events are increasingly influential • It’s not the events, it’s how you are perceived to be handling them

  13. Lessons from Prime Ministers’ experience - 3 • It’s not just the economy stupid • Major 1992, Major 1997 • Brown – memories are short • We’re doomed, Cap’n Mainwaring, we’re all doomed.

More Related