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Making sense of the MDGs

Making sense of the MDGs. Millennium development goals. Poverty & hunger – 1/2 Primary education – full Gender equality – full Child mortality – 2/3 Maternal health – 3/4 HIV/Aids, malaria & TB Environment Global partnership. Why are MDGs that way ?. U5MR. 100. NER. 34.

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Making sense of the MDGs

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  1. Making sense of the MDGs

  2. Millennium development goals • Poverty & hunger – 1/2 • Primary education –full • Gender equality –full • Child mortality –2/3 • Maternal health – 3/4 • HIV/Aids, malaria & TB • Environment • Global partnership

  3. Why are MDGs that way ? U5MR 100 NER 34 2015

  4. Two FAQs • Can we achieve them ? • Can we afford them ? Answers will depend on choice of indicators & level of aggregation

  5. All indicators are imperfect but … Top-5 indicators • under-five mortality rate • underweight among children • net enrolment ratio in primary education • ratio of girls to boys in primary & secondary school • proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel 5 indicators that involve heavy transformation • proportion of population below $1 per day • proportion of population below a minimum level of dietary energy consumption • primary school completion rate • maternal mortality ratio • proportion of population with access to safe drinking water

  6. Are we on track ? 2005 1990 2015

  7. Was progress pro-poor ?

  8. Storyline since 1990 • progress has continued • but more slowly than in ’70s & ’80s • much of it has by-passed the poor

  9. 3 misunderstandings • Each & every country must achieve same numerical targets for the world to meet the MDGs • A standard set of interventions exists that is applicable to all countries • Foreign aid can deliver the MDG

  10. 4 steps at country level • Tailor national targets to balance ambition with realism • Set intermediate targets for political accountability • Translate #2 into specific actions & reforms for next 2-3 years • Cost #3 to inform national budget & aid+debt negotiations

  11. A new partnership from‘Money changing hands’towards‘Ideas changing minds’

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