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STRATCAP Internal Case Studies Actionable Events Across Regions

This document provides a comprehensive overview of significant global political and economic events from 1997 to 2011, featuring predictions and strategic insights by Stratfor. It covers a range of themes, including the Asia Crisis, the rise of China, changes in US foreign policy, regional conflicts, and economic instability in Latin America. Key events like the Iraq War, the rise of Hamas, and the global impacts of various uprisings are explored, shedding light on the ongoing dynamics that shaped international relations during this period.

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STRATCAP Internal Case Studies Actionable Events Across Regions

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  1. STRATCAP Internal Case Studies Actionable Events Across Regions

  2. STRATFOR Predictions 1997 - 1999 2000 - 2002 2003 - 2005 2006 - 2008 2009 - 2011 • Asia Crisis • Suharto • Wahid Ousted • Estrada Ousted • China joins WTO • US/Iran Alliance • Japan military • Argentina agriculture • Iraq War WMDs • EU unity • Russia influence • Iraq war • Hamas policies • US/Pakistan • China instability • US/China relations • Spain/Italy housing • Berlin/Moscow • Ethiopia/Somalia • Russia/Georgia • Bolivia Nat Gas • Turkey reemergence • Argentina agriculture • Chilean unrest • Iran Instability • Fall of Musharraf • Pakistani/al Qaeda relations • NATO/Afghan Taliban • Zuma election • China/Peru FTA • Thai political disruptions • Greece/Ireland • Russia Privatization Plan • North Korean Nuclear Tests • Angola • Niger Delta • Ivory Coast War • Drug War • Peru election • Iran Uprisings • Bolivia/Brazil • Argentina econ instability • Venezuela instability • Mubarak • Lybia Civil War • Japan nuclear plant meltdown • Zambia/China

  3. European Union - Detailed Summary

  4. Russia / Former Soviet Union - Detailed Summary

  5. Middle East - Detailed Summary

  6. South Asia - Detailed Summary

  7. Asia / South Pacific - Detailed Summary

  8. Asia / South Pacific - Detailed Summary (cont’d)

  9. Africa - Detailed Summary

  10. Africa - Detailed Summary (cont’d)

  11. Central and South America - Detailed Summary

  12. Central and South America - Detailed Summary (cont’d)

  13. Central and South America - Detailed Summary (cont’d)

  14. Ongoing Calls & Looking Forward • Ongoing Calls • China – trade agreements • Zimbabwe – mining legislation • Looking Forward • South China Sea – tension in the region • China – trade agreements with Tanzania and Kenya • Russia – Customs Union; privatizations • Turkey – re-emerging as a regional power resulting in increased Mediterranean tension • Argentina – potential run on the banks • Venezuela – food and resource scarcity finally driving Chavez out

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