Southern California Association of Governments

1. Southern California Association of Governments

2. Freight Transportation: Emerging Issues for Southern California Alan Bowser • Goods Movement PlanningWorkshop • Detroit, Michigan • July 10-12, 2001

4. 2025 Forecast for Population & Employment Growth (Millions) 1997 2025 Increase Population16.1 23.0 43% Employment7.0 10.0 44% • “Like adding two Chicago's toSouthern California”

5. SCAG’S regional domestic product is $438 billion, which would make it the world’s 12 largest economy, just following Canada

6. Growth and RTP Projects and Programs Performance Measures (Air Quality Mandate) Constrained Funding (Financial Mandate) “The RTP Balancing Act” MOBILITY

7. Goods Movement System Purpose is to improve efficiency of all modes (truck, rail freight, marine shipping, and air cargo) and all cargo types (domestic import/export, containerized, break-bulk and bulk).

8. Policy Committee Issue Review and Approvals Regional Council EEC CEHD TCC • RTP • EIR • RTP Conformity • Plan Implementation • IGR (Transportation) • Growth Forecast • RHNA • IGR • RTP EIR • AQMP • Mitigation monitoring

9. RTP Task Forces RTP TAC Long Range Finance Aviation Truck Lanes High Speed Rail/ MAGLEV 2001 RTP UPDATE TCC Regional Transit Goods Movement Growth Four Corners Transit Corridors

10. SCAG Committee & Task Force Planning Process • Goods Movement Advisory Committee • Mission: “The Goods Movement Advisory Committee will advise the Regional Council on the conditions prevailing in moving goods in Southern California; on establishing appropriate transportation, infrastructure, air quality and environmentally sound land use policies; and propose programs and priorities to ensure the safe, efficient and economical movement of goods within the region and its competitive advantage in international trade.

11. SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process GMAC (con’t) ... responsible for guiding SCAG in the development of an understanding of the freight transportation issues and needs of the region, and will work interactively with SCAG staff to fulfill its charge. The Committee will meet periodically to review the progress of SCAG work, and may establish sub-committees at its discretion to focus on particular concerns. It will seek to reflect the diverse interests of the region, the public and private needs, and the goals of the Regional Comprehensive Plan and Guide.”

12. SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process GMAC (con’t) Membership Includes: - Elected/Appointed Officials - Local Gov’t Staff - Caltrans - Federal DOT Agencies - Private Companies - railroads, truckers steamship lines, air cargo operations, package express operators - Representatives of Seaports, Airports, Environmental Groups, law enforcement agencies, local neighborhood groups consultants

13. SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process GMAC (con’t) OUTCOMES Advocate Goods Movement System Efficiency: Higher throughput, bottleneck elimination, greater reliability, reduced congestion and environmental impacts & corresponding economic benefits - region, state, nation.

15. County to County Travel

22. SCAG’s Travel Demand Model Improvment • Trip Generation Model • Trip Distribution Model • Mode Choice Model • New Traffic Analysis Zones • Other improvements

23. New SCAG Taz’s

24. Heavy Duty Truck Model • Developed and incorporated the Heavy Duty Truck Model into SCAG’s new travel demand model.

25. 1995 Daily Truck Volumes

27. SCAG 1995 & 2020Freight Mode Share(Million Tons) 1995 2020 Increase Rail 91 309 240% Truck 319 527 65% Air 3 8.9 197%

28. Goods Movement Issues • How do we meet the future demand of goods traffic on the region’s roads, railroads, and airports? • How do we fund improvements in an efficient and equitable manner? Options • Build dedicated truck lanes on I-710, I-15, SR-60 • Evaluate the regional grade crossing system • Study the costs of converting the truck fleet to alternative fuels; develop incentives • Promote cargo airports on closed military bases and in the Inland Empire

30. Container Growth(Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach)

31. SCAG Air Cargo Projections 9.0 International 8.0 Domestic 3.6 7.0 2.9 6.0 2.3 5.0 Million Tons 4.0 1.6 3.0 5.3 4.6 0.8 4.0 2.0 3.2 1.0 1.8 0.0 1996 2005 2010 2015 2020 Years

32. Major Infrastructure Components • Alameda Corridor / East • Orangethorpe Corridor • Other railway grade crossing improvements • Exclusive Truck Lanes • Inter-modal facilities • Freight throughput productivity enhancement • Air cargo distribution

34. Funding Issues • Lack of funding for freight throughput enhancement • Lack of funding for freight movement mitigation • Difficulty in selecting projects between freight and people movement • Freight factors • Traditional funding limitations between truck and rail infrastructure • Within-the-fence mentality

35. Management/Operation Issues • Encroachment between people and freight movement • Local ordinances limiting delivery • Ports - limited operation hours • Transfer among air, truck, and rail cargo • Individual bottlenecks • Empty container issues

36. What Lies Ahead? • Public/Private Partnerships to deliver freight projects • Explore use of multi-modal performance measure to allow tradeoffs • Increased reliance on technology i.e. ITS • Stronger freight movement linkage to public funding allocation

37. Southern California Association of Governments