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Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market

Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market. An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market. Presentation Outline: Key economic & political indicators Review of export performance Business prospects Export challenges .

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Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market

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  1. Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market

  2. An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market Presentation Outline: • Key economic & political indicators • Review of export performance • Business prospects • Export challenges

  3. Forecast World GDP growth Source: IMF (October 2010)

  4. The UK and US – GDP growth Source: IMF (October 2010), Office of National Statistics (2010)

  5. Growth in World Trade Source: IMF October 2010

  6. Government fiscal balance (% of GDP) Data source: IMF (October 2010)

  7. How is the Defence Sector Fairing?

  8. Oil Prices 2000-2015 Source: DECC & IEA

  9. Animate the line World Military Expenditure 1998-2009 Source: SIPRI

  10. Top 15 Defence Expenditure 2009

  11. Defence Exports: World Market $BN(constant prices 2009) USA

  12. Sea Sea Land Land Air Air USA Defence Exports By Sector 2000-09

  13. Animate all lines then the red line last UK & Competitor Market Shares: 2000-09 USA

  14. UK Defence Exports Market Share USA

  15. New figures on paper copy UK Security Exports UK Security Exports 1.44 12% 1.29 14% 1.13 £BN

  16. UK Defence and Security Exports 2000-2009

  17. Top Defence Exporters: 2000-09 ($BN) USA

  18. Top Defence Exporters: ($BN) USA

  19. Top Defence Importers: 2000-09 ($BN) USA

  20. Defence Import Procurement By Region: 2000-09 ($BN) 129 110 107 46 22 19 USA

  21. UK Defence Exports – Top Destinations 2000-09 USA

  22. UK Defence Exports – Top Destinations 2005-09 USA

  23. UK Defence Exports – Top Destinations 2007-09 USA

  24. UK Defence Exports – Top Destinations 2009 USA

  25. UK Defence Exports - Top Destinations: 2010 Forecast Others USA Saudi Arabia India USA

  26. Top UK Destinations (Excl Saudi & US): 2000-09 USA

  27. 2009 UK Security Export Destinations US 24% Other 30% China South Korea 15% 2% Brazil 2% USA Russia Japan 3% India 7% France 7% Italy Germany 3% 3% 4%

  28. Competitor Activity in South America • HIGH-LEVEL POLITICAL SUPPORT • G2G & CO-OPERATION AGREEMENTS • ENERGY DIPLOMACY • SPECIAL FINANCIAL ARRANGEMENTS

  29. To show these on world map DSO Priority Defence & Security Markets 2010-11

  30. EXPORT PROSPECTS BY REGION: 2010-2014 Regional Export Prospects: 2010-2014

  31. EXPORT PROSPECTS BY REGION & TYPE: 2010-2014 Regional Export Prospects by Sector: 2010-2014

  32. Trends in Military & Security Capability Requirements Trends in Military & Security Capability Requirements • Air: UAVs/UCAVs. Air-lift, helicopters, ISTAR, precision • weapons • Land: Counter-IED, force protection, missile defence, ISTAR, unmanned systems • Naval: OPVs, multi-role frigates, submarines, ASW, ISTAR, unmanned systems • Space: Surveillance, communications • Security: Cyber security, personal protection, integrated surveillance, cargo screening, biometrics

  33. EXPORT CHALLENGES • Impact of SDSR/CSR • Increase market share • Intensifying competition • MoD & industry to embrace exportability • Declining product base • Reduce dependency on two markets • Improve after-sales support • Exploit security opportunities • Better marketing of “brand UK” with Government-to-Government support

  34. Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market

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