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THE NEXT FIFTEEN YEARS

In this article from August 12, 2014, Tim Heffernan discusses the predictions made by Dr. Henning Schulzrinne, the CTO of FCC, about the next fifteen years in technology. Topics covered include the transition from landline to mobile, the disappearance of traditional phone lines, the cost of maintenance, Caller ID spoofing, and the impact of trends in mobile pricing, cloud technology, virtualization, and social media.

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THE NEXT FIFTEEN YEARS

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  1. THE NEXT FIFTEEN YEARS Tim Heffernan August 12, 2014

  2. 2030 – The Futurist Say…

  3. 2030 – The Futurist Say…

  4. When our licenses were created…

  5. CTO of FCC Dr. Henning Schulzrinne, Chief Technology Officer of the FCC (VoIP protocol inventor)

  6. When? no single transition date! 2013 switching (core) TDM VoIP “wireless network is 99% wired” fixed 4G access E.164 hidden numbering human-visible IETF86

  7. Today

  8. Landline  mobile IETF86

  9. Lines are disappearing, but maintenance costs are constant JSI Capital Advisors projection voice only (DSL: 20 M) per-line monthly maintenance cost $17.57 $2.72 voice revenue/line: $50 dis

  10. Caller ID spoofing • Easily available on (SIP) trunks – can be legitimate • Used for vishing, robocalling, swatting, anonymity breaking, … • Caller ID Act of 2009: Prohibit any person or entity from transmitting misleading or inaccurate caller ID information with the intent to defraud, cause harm, or wrongfully obtain anything of value. • Also: phantom traffic rules

  11. 2012-2017

  12. Unified License Now To Address Trends Macro Trends +Economic MobilePricing Fixed TDM Voice Cloud Mobile Backhaul Virtualization +Technical +Social Wi-Fi Storage Smartphone Mobile Evolution 2G>3G>4G Tablets M2M Communications Security Mobile Data Revenue Telepresence/Video OTT/VoIP ICT Data Analytics Social -T -S -E

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