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Risk Analysis and Monitoring for Hazard Identification and Response Preparedness

Facilitate hazard identification, ranking, and monitoring processes to identify potential risks and establish effective response mechanisms. Consult with government partners and technical experts, set indicators and tipping points, and monitor risks in hydro-meteorological, natural, armed conflict, epidemic, socio-economic, and industrial hazard categories.

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Risk Analysis and Monitoring for Hazard Identification and Response Preparedness

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  1. Module 2 risk analysis and monitoring

  2. Facilitating the identification of potential hazards possibly through consultation with Government partners and technical experts • Facilitating the hazard ranking exercise based on the 5 by 5 Impact and Likelihood scale • Facilitating the identification of indicators and the setting of tipping points for the establishment/implementation of APAs objectives • Facilitating the establishment of an effective risk monitoring mechanism

  3. the cycle

  4. hazard identification hydro-meteorological natural geophysical armed conflict and civil unrest epidemics and pandemics drastic changes in socio-econ. environment industrial hazards

  5. likelihood and impact RISK = IMPACT X LIKELIHOOD LOW = 1-7 MEDIUM = 8-14 HIGH=15-25 Thresholds at 10 or higher

  6. Group Exercise Risk Analysis 1: 30 mins 1. Identify the risk 2. Rank them using the at the impact and likelihood scale (16 and hand out) 3. Design a Risk Graph using pg 35 model (and hand-out) and insert risks in there DEBRIEF Risks and levels Process Challenges

  7. risk monitoring Who Monitors? What Monitoring Process? What triggers action? Accountabilities

  8. seasonal hazards Review response readiness 2 to 3 months before

  9. evolving hazards Should be reviewed regularly

  10. static hazards Generally hard to predict

  11. Group Exercise – 20 mins Risk Monitoring Group by category the risks identified in previous exercise Identify potential monitoring mechanisms for each category, possibly describing: Types of indicators Frequency of monitoring Sources of information Accountabilities CHALLENGES IN THE PROCESS

  12. Preparedness actions Emergency • Contingency Planning (CP) & addressing preparedness gaps • Response strategy, operational plan, funding requirements, gaps Implementation & Resource mobilization • Advanced Preparedness Actions (APAs) • risk-specific Risk ≥ 10 • Minimum Preparedness Actions (MPAs) • generic

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