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C onnecting people to policy making: the Futurium experiment

C onnecting people to policy making: the Futurium experiment. Franco Accordino European Commission - DG CONNECT. Symposium "Generation Web 2.0: using new technologies in the public sector in Europe", Tallinn, 26-27 June 2014. Towards i mmortality. Resource efficiency. Climate changes.

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C onnecting people to policy making: the Futurium experiment

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  1. Connecting people to policy making: the Futurium experiment Franco Accordino European Commission - DG CONNECT Symposium "Generation Web 2.0: using new technologies in the public sector in Europe", Tallinn, 26-27 June 2014

  2. Towards immortality Resource efficiency Climate changes Interim/beta status Smart cities “Play & Rewind” Sustainability Resource sharing Governance Trust Security privacy Financial stability Policy Making 3.0 Policy Making 2.0 Healthy ageing Citizen empowerment Big Big Data 3D Printing Cloudcomputing “Organic” computing Complex systems Enhanced-humans Big Data Bio-devices Internet of Things Foundations Technologies Challenges/Issues Simulated worlds Quantum Internet Energy positive Energy efficient Virtualisation ICT-Bio-Nano-Neuro-Cogno-Quantum convergence “Conventional” ICT (Silicon based, Packet switching, Boolean, …) 2015-20 2040-50

  3. Today's socio-political drivers • Data, computing and connectivity everywhere • Government's control on people • Individual empowerment • Inclusion and skills • Systemic automation • Erosion of human employment • Inter-generational tensions • Costs/impacts of public services • Rise of movements • Disaffection of people from public matters

  4. Futurium purpose To enable a collective inquiry into the ideas and aspirations of citizens, in order to feed future policy reflections

  5. Trends Real world Scientific evidence & people‘s opinion Emotional, intuitive, holistic Other factors than evidence Futures (Visions) Envision Rules and Laws Social Networks Inspire DESIGN Rational, scientific, analytical Stakeholders Inform ScientificEvidence Policies (Re-)shape Policy makers IMPLEMENTATION / REVIEW Sense & Analyse data, Identify issues and challenges, Elicit knowledge Impact on individuals, society, economy, environment, politics, technologies,…

  6. Crowd engagement strategy 1) Host conversations/dialogues with stakeholders • Standard format: participatory brainstorming • Contributors: scientists, citizens, policy makers,… • Virtual (webinar) & in-person meetings • Going local: Member States, schools, conferences… • Viral process: loosely coordinated, but with simple, shared rules 2) Capture content into an open, standard online platform (futurium) • Based on a fixed meta-model (futures, policies,…) & workflow • Enabling co-creation (wiki), voting, forecasting, back casting, mapping,… • Automatic semantic annotation, data mining, correlation, fact-finding • Agent-based gaming and simulation emergent collective intelligence

  7. Trend Every European Digital Futurium Data Model Discrete Objects of Collective Inquiry 2012 2020 2050 Future • Futures: • Desirability (emotional view) • Likelihood (rational/scientific view) • Causality: antecedent->consequent • Forecasting vs. back casting • Challenges and Opportunities Futures (visions) Future Future Future Future Future DAE Policy Policy Policy Ideas pillars actions • Policies: • Are expressed as S.M.A.R.T. objectives • May be structured (e.g. pillars) • Atomic level: timed actions • Have a measurable impact • Other measurable attributes (e.g. plausibility, innovation, …) p1 p7 p p A A1 A101 A A A A A • Agents: • Stakeholders in broad sense (EC, MS, Regions, Industry, Citizens…) • Implementers (those who execute the actions) • Verifiers • Decision makers A B C ? @ # Agents

  8. Foresight methodology • Co-Creation • Bottom-up • Spontaneous • Emergent • Sense Making • Top-Down • Structured • Convergent Futurium Reporting to decision makers

  9. Asynchronous sense-making steps over a continuous online engagement process Sense-making Sense-making Sense-making Futurium co-creation

  10. Outcomes • 120+ Events, 3000+ co-creators • 30+ Webinars • ~1800> Futurium members • Breaking into new policy making practices • Futurium model • 20+ Requests for take-up Digital Futures Futurizens Futurium Futures • 11 Themes • 200+ Futures • 1800+ Evidence items

  11. Open Data Real world data Futurium’s conceptual architecture Social Media (Twitter, FB, G+,…) Participate Participatory Tools Participate Participate Participate Data Crawling Policy Makers Stakeholders Data Gathering mine & visualise mine & visualise Knowledge Harvesting Tools

  12. ADVANCED FEATURES Semantic tools: fact-finding, search, text mining, … CORE FUTURIUM Impact Plausibility Desirability Gaming, multi-agent simulations,… SMART policy attributes Basic data types: visions, policies, evidence Polls Data Mining, statistics, visual analytics Library Blogs Communities Wiki Events Messaging Foresight tools: workflows, Delphi, back-cast diagrams…

  13. More features • Futurium is a e-Participation platform to enable grassroots engagement into foresight • Content co-created on Futurium is informative rather than deliberative • Suitable to support civic society engagement in line with Art 11 of the Treaty

  14. More information Paper: "The Futurium - a Foresight Platform for Evidence-Based and Participatory Policymaking" http://www.springerlink.com/openurl.asp?genre=article&id=doi:10.1007/s13347-013-0108-9 The futurium platform: http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/futurium/ Thanks!

  15. Background Slides

  16. eGovernment Action Plan • Empower citizens and businesses • Reinforce mobility in the Single Market • Enable efficiency and effectiveness • Create the necessary key enablers and pre-conditions to make things happen By 2015 50% of citizens and 80% of businesses should use eGovernment services.

  17. Case Study: Digital Futures, reflections to prepare for the renewal of the EU policy context in 2014 Inspired by long-term advances of digital technologies New European Commission Autumn 2014 New European Parliament "Hints" Spring 2014 Futurium Sense Making

  18. Foresight Approach: back-casting + scenario planning Visions 2040-2050 • Anticipation • Evidence • Participation • Agility Policy Ideas Trends 2020+ 2015-2025 (?) Policy Frameworks 2010-2020 (Europe 2020) Open Data Internet EC mandates 2010-2014 2015-2019 Barroso II

  19. Futurium timeline Nov 2012 EP/EIF (futurium kick-off) Mar 2012 Engagement and co-creation Scoping and trial Policy choices Sense-making ICT2013 Nov 2013 Oct 2012 DAA Dublin Jun 2013

  20. 11 Compelling themes

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