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This conference call presented by Harry S. Dent Jr. provides an in-depth analysis of economic trends from 2000 to 2011. Key topics include disposable income trends with and without government transfers, U.S. GDP growth analysis, initial jobless claims statistics, employment levels in the American workforce, and insights into market indicators like the VIX and S&P 500 trends. The data is sourced from credible institutions including Bloomberg, the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the U.S. Labor Department, offering detailed perspectives on economic indicators and potential crash scenarios.
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February Conference Call presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2011) (1993)
Disposable Income, With and Without Government Transfers, 2000-2011 In Chained 2005 Dollars Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
U.S. GDP Growth, Quarterly 2007-2011 Data Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2012
Initial Jobless ClaimsJanuary 2008- January 2012 Number of those Claiming Unemployment For First Time Data Source: U.S. Labor Department, St. Louis Federal Reserve, 2012
Key Economic Indicator #3American Workforce, 2007- Jan. 2012 In Thousands, Employment Level Data Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2012
10-Year Treasury Bond Channel1989-2015 Data Source: Yahoo Finance, 2012
NYSE Advance / Decline Line2007-2012 Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
VIX (CBOE Volatility Indicator)July 2011- June 2012 Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
S&P 500 Fibonacci Time Lines1995-2012 8 5 10/12 3/12 5 3 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012
Likely Crash Scenario 1, Dow2011- 2014 B C A 5 5 3 3 1 4 2 4 B C Data Source: Yahoo Finance, 2012
Likely Crash Scenario 2, S&P 500 1995-2012 E C A B D Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012
Crude Oil2008-2013 Data Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve, 2012
GoldAug. 2011 – June 2012 Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012
Inflation Indicator LABOR FORCE GROWTH 2.5-YR LAG INFLATION (CPI) Data Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, HS Dent, 2012