Energy Security- Concern for India
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Energy Security- Concern for India. BS NEGI. INDEX. Energy Security Global energy scenario Indian energy scenario Integrated energy policy Mitigating India’s concern for energy security Augmenting Indigenous energy resources. ENERGY SECURITY.
Energy Security- Concern for India
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Presentation Transcript
INDEX • Energy Security • Global energy scenario • Indian energy scenario • Integrated energy policy • Mitigating India’s concern for energy security • Augmenting Indigenous energy resources
ENERGY SECURITY “The continuous availability of energy, in varied forms, in sufficient quantity, at reasonable prices” – The world energy assessment UNDP 1999 report. • Continuous Availability • Accessibility for sufficient quantity • Affordable price
CONTINUOUS AVAILABILITY • GLOBAL SCENARIO • 80% resources with 20% Countries • INDIAN SCENARIO
GLOBAL SCENARIO • Oil Reserves - 168,600 MTOE
GLOBAL SCENARIO – GAS • GAS RESERVES -160,000 MTOE
GLOBAL SCENARIO –OIL CONSUMPTION • Oil Consumption – 3952.8 MTOE (2007)
GLOBAL SCENARIO –GAS CONSUMPTION • Gas Consumption – 2637.7 MTOE (2007)
GLOBAL SCENARIO –COAL CONSUMPTION • Coal Consumption – 3177.5 MTOE (2007)
GLOBAL SCENARIO –NUCLEAR ENERGY CONSUMPTION • Nuclear Energy Consumption – 622 MTOE (2007)
GLOBAL SCENARIO –HYDROELECTRIC ENERGY CONSUMPTION • Hydro Energy – 709.2 MTOE (2007)
GLOBAL SCENARIO –TOP 5 PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMERS • Primary Energy Consumption – 11099.2 MTOE (2007)
GLOBAL SCENARIO –ENERGY CONSUMPTION GROWTH - 2007 * 2.7% IN 2006
Indian scenario • Oil 128.5MTOE, 31.78% • Gas 36.2 MTOE, 8.95% • Coal 208.0 MTOE, 51.43% • Nuclear 4.0 MTOE, 0.99% • Hydro. 27.7 MTOE, 6.85% • Wind 0.0288 MTOE, - • Total 404.4 MTOE* *This being the tradable primary energy, the non tradable primary energy(cow dung,peat,forest waste) constitute 25%+ in Indian context.
ACCESSIBILITY FOR SUFFICIENT QUANTITY • COUNTRY SPECIFIC • INDIAN CONTEXT • Integrated Energy Policy • Role of Regulator
INTEGRATED ENERGY POLICY -2006 • Achieving an efficient configuration of various forms of energy • Consistency in policies governing each sector • Consistency of pricing of different types of energy • Clarity in respect to Energy Security, R&D, Environmental Concern & Energy Conservation
RELATED STATISTICS • India’s commercial energy supply growth – 5.2% to 6.2 % per annum from 03-04 base • Primary energy supply growth - 4.3% to 5.1% • By 2031-32 power generation capacity needed 1.16 million mega watt from current 0.8 million mega watt • Coal requirement – 2 billion ton per annum
LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE • How much energy do we need over long term ? • What Strategy should be adopted to meet the growing demand ? • How to promote efficient allocation of various fuels and energy to different users ? • Reforms needed for competitive efficiency • Role of renewable and non-conventional energy sources.
LONG TERM PERSPECTIVE Contd… • R&D Strategy:- • Increase India’s known energy resources. • New technologies. • Increase energy efficiency • Energy Security:- • Equity energy abroad • Reduce dependency on imported energy • Clean energy
COAL • Ensure adequate supply with consistent quantity • Increase domestic coal production. Allocate coal blocks to central/state psu and captive mines to notified end users. • Thermal coal import – for coastal power generation • Coal price based on GCV (replace current pricing based on broad band of useful heat) • Treatment of coal to improve heat value, reduce ash content • Coal linkage to replace by long term coal supply agreement • Independent Regulator for coal • Amend Coal Mines Act, 1973 to allow private participation. Offer coal blocks to potential entrepreneurs.
CONCERN FOR RESOURCE RICH STATE • Allow a share in profits located in the states • Revisit Royalty concept • Ensuring availability of gas for power generation • Power Sector Reforms:- • Control AT&C losses – Provide incentive to SEB’s & employees for reduction in AT&C losses. • Encourage captive power generation & competitive bidding charges from power sector to consumer • Separate transmission from energy sale both for transmission and distribution • Allow open access
Other Initiatives • Reduction in cost of Power • Encourage competition • For existing plant return on capital employed/equity should correspond to government securities, reward efficiency • Rationalization of fuel prices • Primary energy source be priced at trade parity at point of sale (FOB for exporter, CI for import) • Cushion domestic pricing against short term volatility in international market • Coal sector- competitive pricing • Encourage natural gas trading
Other Initiatives contd… • Energy efficiency and demand side management • The energy intensity of India- growth on decline ( India consumer 0.16 kgoe per dollar of GDP, China 0.23 kgoe, US 0.12 kgoe & world average is 0.21 kgoe • Augmentation of sources for increase of energy resources • Exploration of coal, oil & gas • Exploit non conventional energy & renewable energy like solar, wind etc. • Equity oil & gas abroad
Other Initiatives Contd… • Boosting energy related R&D • An enabling environment for competitive efficiency • Establishment of Regulator • Climate Change- environmental concerned
THE CHALLENGES • Adequate supply of energy at least possible cost • Clean energy – environmental concern • Convenient • Sustainable development
ROLE OF REGULATOR • TERC/SERA • DGH • PNGRB • COAL REGULATOR ? • ENERGY REGULATOR ?
AFFORDABLE PRICE- Natural Gas • Imputed Price • Replacement Price • Import Parity Price • Trade parity Price • Distorted Price in India • APM Gas Price • PMT Gas Price • Ravva/ Ravva satellite price • LNG long term price • LNG spot price
WHAT INDIA NEEDS TO DO • AUGMENT DOMESTIC RESOURCES • ENERGY IMPORT OPTIONS • EQUITY IN OIL AND GAS ABROAD • INNOVATIVE R&D APPROACH • ENERGY CONSERVATION • ENERGY EFFECIENCY • EXPLOIT NON CONVENTIONAL RESOURCES
NON CONVENTIONAL SOURCES • Bio fuels • Bio mass gas Hydro electricity • Wind Energy • Solar Energy • Nuclear power • Energy Import options including equity oil& gas abroad
THE WAY FORWARD • ENERGY EFFECIENCY • INNOVATIVE APPROACH • CONSERVATION