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The Religion Gap(s)

The Religion Gap(s). Mark Silk Director Leonard E. Greenberg Center for the Study of Religion in Public Life Trinity College. Religion and Gender Gaps 1936-2004. 2000 Presidential Vote by Attendance and Gender. Bush Gore Regular Attending Men 74% 26%

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The Religion Gap(s)

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  1. The Religion Gap(s) Mark Silk Director Leonard E. Greenberg Center for the Study of Religion in Public Life Trinity College

  2. Religion and Gender Gaps 1936-2004

  3. 2000 Presidential Vote by Attendance and Gender Bush Gore Regular Attending Men 74% 26% Regular Attending Women 51% 49% Less Regular Attending Men 51% 49% Less Regular Attending Women 26% 74% “Regular attenders” are defined as reported “more than weekly” plus “once a week” workship attendance. Source: Third National Survey of Religion and Politics, University of Akron (weighted post-election N=3,000)

  4. Religion and Congressional Vote 2002 2000 Rep Dem Other Rep Dem Other Frequent attending 82% 16 2 85% 14 1 White “religious right” Frequent attending 67 31 2 60 37 3 White Protestants Less attending 66 33 1 61 36 4 White “religious right” Other white Christians 62 35 3 54 42 4 Latino Protestants 56 42 2 48 50 2 Less attending White Protestants 55 43 2 54 44 2 Frequent attending 53 45 2 54 42 1 White Catholics ENTIRE ELECTORATE 51 46 3 49 48 3

  5. Religion and Congressional Vote 2002 2000 Rep Dem Other Rep Dem Other ENTIRE ELECTORATE 51% 46 3 49 48 3 Less attending 44 53 3 49 48 3 White Catholics Other Non-Christians 36 56 8 35 61 4 Secular 33 63 4 32 63 5 Latino Catholics 28 71 <1 30 67 3 Jews 35 62 3 27 72 1 Black Protestants 10 89 1 12 88 <1 *The 2002 VNS exit poll had 17,872 cases over all, of which 8,188 were asked the religion questions: the 2000 VNS exit poll had 13,259 cases overall, and the religion items were available for 9,246 cases. In both surveys, the margin of error was less than 2 percent.

  6. Religious Groups and the 2002 Elections: Estimated Turnout, Republican vote and Proportion of GOP Coalition Rep. Vote Vote Turnout GOP Coalition Non-South South Non-South South Non-South South Protestants: White Evangelical High church attending 75% 74 43 51 21 41 Low church attending 60 51 27 19 6 6 White Mainline High church attending 51 65 45 46 8 11 Low church attending 51 59 38 40 19 14 Black Protestants 10 6 32 41 1 1

  7. Religious Groups and the 2002 Elections: Estimated Turnout, Republican vote and Proportion of GOP Coalition Rep. Vote Vote Turnout GOP Coalition Non-South South Non-South South Non-South South Catholics: White Catholics High church attending 58% 68 45 49 15 9 Low church attending 51 67 45 28 14 4 Hispanic Catholics 27 39 36 7 2 2 Jews: 22 <1 62 <1 1 <1 Seculars: 35 42 28 39 10 10 Source: Pew Research Center, 2002 Elections Weekend Poll, N=2950

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