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This section of the microeconomics course by E. John Hey delves into intertemporal choice, exploring how individuals manage consumption and savings across different periods. The budget constraint model is examined, including the impact of interest rates on savings behavior. Key concepts such as present and future value of income streams are discussed, with graphical illustrations of budget lines demonstrating how borrowing and saving influence financial decisions. Students will learn to analyze the effects of government interest rate changes on overall economic consumption.
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MicroeconomicsCorso E John Hey
Part 3 - Applications • Chapter 19 – variations. • Chapters 20, 21 and 22 – intertemporal choice. • Chapters 23, 24 and 25 – choice under risk. • Chapter 26 – the labour market.
Intertemporal Choice • Chapter 20 – the budget constraint. • Chapter 21 – intertemporal preferences – the Discounted Utility Model. • Chapter 22 – intertemporal exchange.
A question for you • An observation: to reduce consumption in an economy, the government usually raises the interest rate. Why? • If interest rates rise … • … an individual is better or worse off? • … saves more or less? • … spends more or less? • The correct answers?.... • … it depends…
Chapter 20 • Intertemporal choice. • Two periods: 1 and 2. • Notation: • m1 and m2: incomes in the two periods. • c1 and c2: consumption in the two periods. • r: the rate of interest. • 10% r = 0.1, 20% r = 0.2. • Hence the rate of return = (1+r)
The Budget Line 1. • m1 > c1 savings = m1 - c1 • Becomes (m1 - c1)(1+r) in period 2. • Hence c2 = m2 + (m1 - c1)(1+r). • Or: c1(1+r) +c2 = m2 + m1(1+r). • In the space (c1 ,c2) a line with slope -(1+r).
The Budget Line 2. • m1 < c1 borrowings = c1 - m1 • Have to repay (c1 - m1)(1+r) in period 2. • Hence c2 = m2 - (c1 - m1)(1+r). • Or: c1(1+r) +c2 = m2 + m1(1+r). • In the space (c1 ,c2) a line with slope -(1+r).
The Budget Line 3. • maximum consumption in period 2 = m1(1+r) + m2 • - this is called the future value of the stream of income. • maximum consumption in period 1 = m1 + m2/(1+r) • - - this is called the present value of the stream of income. • Note: we say that the market discounts the income in period 2 at the rate r.
The Budget Line 4. • The intercept on the horizontal axis = • m1 + m2/(1+r) – the present value of the stream of income.. • The intercept on the vertical axis = • m1(1+r) + m2 – the future value of the stream of income... • The slope = -(1+r)
Generalisation • If the individual receives a stream of income: • m1, m2, m3 … mT • The present value is • The future value is
Chapter 20 • The rest of Chapter 20 uses general preferences. (So you do not need to study the rest of this Chapter.) • In Chapter 21 we use Discounted Utility Model preferences.