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Brexit Update

Brexit Update. March 2019. A portmanteau of the words “Britain” and “exit,” Brexit is shorthand for Britain’s split from the European Union, changing its relationship to the bloc on trade, security and migration.

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Brexit Update

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  1. BrexitUpdate March 2019

  2. A portmanteau of the words “Britain” and “exit,” Brexit is shorthand for Britain’s split from the European Union, changing its relationship to the bloc on trade, security and migration. • Britain has been debating the pros and cons of membership in a European community of nations almost from the moment the idea was broached. It held its first referendum on membership in 1975, less than three years after it joined. • In 2013, Prime Minister David Cameron promised a national referendum on European Union membership with the idea of settling the question once and for all. The options it would offer were Remain and Leave, and Mr. Cameron was convinced that Remain would win handily. • On June 23, 2016, as a refugee crisis made migration a subject of political rage across Europe and amid accusations of lies and fraudulent tactics by the Leave side, Britons voted for a hazily defined Brexit by 52 percent to 48 percent. • The 2016 vote was just the start. Since then, negotiations have been taking place between the UK and the other EU countries. The discussions have been mainly over the "divorce" deal, which sets out exactly how the UK leaves - not what will happen afterwards. This deal is known as the Withdrawal Agreement. What is Brexit?

  3. How Did Britain Vote?

  4. Britain could rely on Europe as its most important export market and its biggest source of foreign investment. • As part of the EU, London succeeded in proving itself as a global financial center. • However, since Brexit erupted, every day, it seems, a major business announces or threatens plans to leave Britain after it quits the European Union, including Airbus, which employs 14,000 people and supports more than 100,000 other jobs. • The government expects the country’s economy to grow anywhere from 4 to 9 percent less than it would inside the bloc over the next 15 years, depending on how it leaves. • Mrs. May has promised that Brexit will end free movement, the right of people from elsewhere in Europe to move to Britain and vice versa. That is a triumph for some working-class people who see immigration as a threat to their jobs, but dispiriting for young Britons hoping to study or work abroad. What Can Brexit Affect?

  5. The 2016 vote was just the start. Since then, negotiations have been taking place between the UK and the other EU countries. The discussions have been mainly over the "divorce" deal, which sets out exactly how the UK leaves - not what will happen afterwards. This deal is known as the Withdrawal Agreement. THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT • How much money the UK will have to pay the EU in order to break the partnership - that's about £39bn • What will happen to UK citizens living elsewhere in the EU, and equally, what will happen to EU citizens living in the UK • How to avoid the return of a physical border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland when it becomes the frontier between the UK and the EU The Morning After The Vote

  6. Have MPs backed the Withdrawal Agreement? NO! They have voted against it three times. • On 15 January they rejected the deal by 432 votes to 202 - a record defeat. • Then on 12 March, after Theresa May had gone back to the EU to secure further legal assurances, they rejected it again. • And on 29 March - the original day that the UK was due to leave the EU - MPs rejected it for a third time (this vote was slightly different as it did not include the political declaration). What Happened Next?

  7. As MPs did not approve Theresa May's deal in a Commons vote in March, the PM was forced to go to Brussels to seek a delay to Brexit. • The EU agreed to delay the withdrawal date until 22 May, if MPs approved her deal in a new vote. • As they didn't (on 29 March), the UK missed that deadline. • The UK now has to tell the EU what it wants to do next by 12 April - or that will be Brexit day. • Theresa May says she's going back to the EU to ask for another extension, but that it will be a "short" one. • If there was going to be a lengthy extension, the UK would need to take part in elections for the European Parliament. • The current default position - ie, if nothing changes - is for the UK to leave without a deal on 12 April. And Now What?

  8. "No deal"means the UK would have failed to agree a withdrawal agreement.  That would mean there would be NO transition period after the UK leaves AND EU laws would STOP applying to the UK immediately Can The UK Leaves without a Deal?

  9. The contents of the shopping basket may change • About 30% of UK food currently comes from the EU, and it is likely that some foods, such as fresh vegetables and fruit, will become more expensive in the event of no deal. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  10. The contents of the shopping basket may change • About 30% of UK food currently comes from the EU, and it is likely that some foods, such as fresh vegetables and fruit, will become more expensive in the event of no deal. • Increased import taxes and transport delays could all mean a rise in prices. • If a no-deal Brexit was followed by a fall in the value of the pound, that would also have the same effect. • Supermarkets themselves have already warned that there could be empty shelves and higher prices. • Bank of England governor Mark Carney has announced that, in a worst-case scenario, shopping bills could increase by 10%. • The government has said that while a no-deal Brexit alone won't lead to food shortages, consumer behaviour could. Panic buying could mean food retailers run short of some products. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  11. 2. Extra measures to be taken when travelling to Europe • Millions of people from the UK travel abroad each year - the vast majority of journeys made to Europe. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  12. 3. Some medication might not be available and may be more expensive • Pharmacists seem to be struggling to obtain common medicines - including painkillers and anti-depressants. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  13. 4. UK nationals living abroad may have to take extra measures • About 1.3 million UK-born people live in the other 27 EU countries. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  14. 5. EU citizens need to apply for 'settled status' • The UK government has reached an agreement with the EU, as well as Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Switzerland, that will protect the rights of EU citizens and their family members who are living in the UK. • There are currently 3.8 million EU citizens living in the UK. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  15. 6. Importing goods from the EU may get more expensive • Importing goods from the EU is likely to get more expensive when free movement of goods ends with the UK's departure. • As a member of the EU, UK firms don't have to pay extra duties, taxes or have customs checks on goods travelling to or from the EU. But after a no-deal Brexit, new rules will apply. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  16. 7. House prices could be affected • Uncertainty created by the Brexit process is causing buyers and sellers to sit tight, causing a slowdown in the housing market. • UK house prices grew at the slowest annual rate for nearly six years in January, according to the Nationwide. • It said it was likely that the recent slowdown in the market was due to "the impact of the uncertain economic outlook on buyer sentiment". Consequences of a “No Deal”

  17. 8. Mobile phone roaming charges may rise • Using your mobile in the EU may be more expensive in the event of a no-deal Brexit, the government has warned. • The amounts EU mobile operators would be able to charge UK operators for providing roaming services would no longer be regulated after Brexit. • Digital, Culture and Media Secretary Jeremy Wright has said although mobile operators will be able to implement roaming charges if they want to, the government would be legislating to put a £45-a-month limit on the amount customers could be charged. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  18. 9. Some ports and motorways could see extra delays • There could be freight traffic disruption in Kent in the event of a no deal, if additional customs checks are introduced in Calais, Coquelles and Dunkirk - where freight services disembark. • At the moment, freight vehicles going through Dover are subject to passport and security checks. • But under a no-deal scenario, EU-bound lorries will also need to complete customs declarations, and certain goods may also require physical checks, and this could lead to bottlenecks. • In this scenario, a traffic management system known as Operation Brock would come into force on a section of the M20. Traffic would be allowed to flow in both directions on the same carriageway, while lorries would be left queuing on the other side. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  19. 10. UK students studying in the EU and EU students studying in the UK face a period of uncertainty • More than 16,000 British students studied on placements organised by the Erasmus study abroad scheme - in place since the 1980s - in 2016-17. • UK universities say they would expect a similar number to be planning to do the same this coming academic year. Consequences of a “No Deal”

  20. Thank You Report By Cynthia Nasseh

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