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NHS Grampian Winter Plan 2011/12 Risks and Resilience

NHS Grampian Winter Plan 2011/12 Risks and Resilience. Risks. It’s going to be cold! Patients will be sick! Some staff will be absent! Festive music will start too early! It might even snow! We might remember winter 2010/11!. Key Risks. Increased demand beyond predicted Reduced capacity

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NHS Grampian Winter Plan 2011/12 Risks and Resilience

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  1. NHS Grampian Winter Plan 2011/12Risks and Resilience

  2. Risks • It’s going to be cold! • Patients will be sick! • Some staff will be absent! • Festive music will start too early! • It might even snow! • We might remember winter 2010/11!

  3. Key Risks • Increased demand beyond predicted • Reduced capacity • Patient Flow too slow • Pandemic Flu • Norovirus • Adverse weather • Festive period • Quality and Performance drop

  4. Resilience • Winter planning group/ programme • Business Continuity Plans • Pandemic/ Seasonal Flu Plans • Escalation Plans • Seasonal flu vaccination programme • Predictive demand analysis • Bed Management/ Flow coordination • Integrated working

  5. Sector/ Partner Reviews • G-MED • Scottish Ambulance Service • Acute • MHSCP/LA • Aberdeenshire CHP/LA • Aberdeen City/LA • Mental Health • Pharmacy • Dentistry • NHS24

  6. Action • Greater “buy-in” to WP • Monitored activity data closely • Active Bed Management/ Flow • Early discharge planning • Anticipatory care plans- Change Fund • Additional CHP staff and care packages • Regular teleconference – HPS • Mutual aid • National and local media information • Lobbied CEO re PH working affecting patients/ staff.

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