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The NHS Grampian Winter Plan for 2011/12 outlines key risks and resilience strategies for the winter season. Highlights include managing increased patient demand, staff absences, and potential pandemics such as flu and norovirus. The plan emphasizes improved patient flow, proactive bed management, and integrated working with partners like the Scottish Ambulance Service and local health authorities. Efforts include early discharge planning, seasonal flu vaccination, and maintaining open communication through teleconferences and media channels to ensure effective patient care during challenging winter months.
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Risks • It’s going to be cold! • Patients will be sick! • Some staff will be absent! • Festive music will start too early! • It might even snow! • We might remember winter 2010/11!
Key Risks • Increased demand beyond predicted • Reduced capacity • Patient Flow too slow • Pandemic Flu • Norovirus • Adverse weather • Festive period • Quality and Performance drop
Resilience • Winter planning group/ programme • Business Continuity Plans • Pandemic/ Seasonal Flu Plans • Escalation Plans • Seasonal flu vaccination programme • Predictive demand analysis • Bed Management/ Flow coordination • Integrated working
Sector/ Partner Reviews • G-MED • Scottish Ambulance Service • Acute • MHSCP/LA • Aberdeenshire CHP/LA • Aberdeen City/LA • Mental Health • Pharmacy • Dentistry • NHS24
Action • Greater “buy-in” to WP • Monitored activity data closely • Active Bed Management/ Flow • Early discharge planning • Anticipatory care plans- Change Fund • Additional CHP staff and care packages • Regular teleconference – HPS • Mutual aid • National and local media information • Lobbied CEO re PH working affecting patients/ staff.