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Global Overview of New Markets in Renewable Energy – Trends and Future Outlook

This presentation, delivered by Steve Sawyer, Secretary General of EWEA, provides a comprehensive overview of the current status and short-term outlook for global renewable energy markets. It highlights key growth areas, particularly in emerging markets across Latin America, Africa, and Asia. The report reveals that renewables accounted for nearly half of new electric capacity in 2011 and discusses the future trajectory of these markets amid economic and political uncertainties. Understanding these trends is essential for stakeholders aiming to capitalize on upcoming opportunities in renewable energy.

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Global Overview of New Markets in Renewable Energy – Trends and Future Outlook

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  1. Beijing | Brussels | London Global Overview of New Markets Steve Sawyer, Secretary General EWEA Vienna, 6 Feb 2013

  2. Beijing | Brussels | London Outline: 1. Status of global markets 2. Short term outlook 3. New Markets 4. Looking Ahead and Conclusions

  3. Beijing | Brussels | London

  4. Beijing | Brussels | London New investment in RES: Top 10 countries 2011, and growth on 2010 ($bn)

  5. Global Market Overview – Power Markets • Renewables accounted for nearly half of the estimated 208 GW of new electric capacity installed in 2011 • Renewable electric power capacity worldwide reached 1,360 GW (+8%) in 2011 • Renewable energy comprised more than 25% of global power generation capacity • 20.3% of global electricity was produced from renewable energy REN21 Renewables 2012 Global Status Report www.ren21.net www.ren21.net

  6. Beijing | Brussels | London 2011 growth: 20.3% 15 yravg growth: 27.7%

  7. Beijing | Brussels | London 2011 growth: 6% 15 yravg growth: 27.5%

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  13. Cumulative Growth in OECD and Non-OECD markets Beijing | Brussels | London

  14. Annual Growth in OECD and Non-OECD markets Beijing | Brussels | London

  15. Beijing | Brussels | London New Markets Latin America: Brazil and Mexico, followed by…? Africa: Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia; now Kenya, Tanzania and Ethiopia. South Africa underway. Asia: Mongolia, Viet Nam, Thailand, Sri Lanka. Japan?

  16. Beijing | Brussels | London TOP 5 IN 2012 WP INSTALLED CAPACITY IN LAC 2012: 2063 MW: MEXICO: 801 MW NICARAGUA: 39,6 MW ~20 VENEZUELA: 30 MW ~20 1014,3 MW BRASIL ARGENTINA : 54 MW 16

  17. Beijing | Brussels | London LAC WindPowerinstalledcapacity status

  18. Beijing | Brussels | London LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN WIND POWER GROWTH FORECAST 2020 ( Beijing | Brussels | London

  19. Beijing | Brussels | London

  20. Beijing | Brussels | London Mexico has manyregionswithpremiumsitesforwindgeneration. Thesouthern Oaxaca Stateisprivileged. Source: Instituto de Investigaciones Eléctricas

  21. Beijing | Brussels | London Ethiopia 1,035 GW potential for exploitation The Master Plan recommends 51 wind projects (with total planned capacity of 6,820MW) and 5 solar PV projects (with total planned capacity of 135MW) up to the period 2030.

  22. Beijing | Brussels | London Mongolia • - >1,100,000 MW potential • World’s largest mining project in Gobi desert – no roads, no power and no water • GDP growth ~ 35%/y • First commerical project nearing completion

  23. Beijing | Brussels | London Looking Ahead (1) 2013 will be a tough year, with the single largest variable how far the US market will fall, how soon it will recover and what will be the trajectory; Canada and Mexico continue to grow. China, India – modest recovery from ‘off’ 2012 – new markets in Asia begin to contribute Europe – stable, with growth in offshore and eastern markets offsetting dire markets in S. europe Latin America – Brazil and Mexico plus…? Africa – market ‘returns’ in Morocco, Tunisia…Egypt? South Africa gets underway and Ethiopia continues to lead.

  24. Beijing | Brussels | London Looking Ahead (2) Rate of global growth will slow until and unless: - new markets fill the ‘gap’ left by lack of growth in OECD, or… - OECD economy recovers, and/or - new CO2 related legislation takes effect. Downward price pressure continues: - Oversupply and tough economic times mean margins are slashed to the bone and competition is fierce; - ‘Consolidation’ in manufacturing sector seems inevitable.

  25. Beijing | Brussels | London Looking Ahead (3) A global climate agreement will be fundamental for wind power to achieve its maximum potential, but for the short term: Uncertainty: - in international political landscape - in the future of the carbon markets - in ‘new’ climate-related funds Focus on national/regional legislation and markets Market drivers all still in place, and increasingly prominent: energy security; cost stability; macroeconomic security; local economic development and job creation; local environment and climate

  26. Beijing | Brussels | London For more information: Steve Sawyer steve.sawyer@gwec.net Thank you!

  27. Beijing | Brussels | London

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