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The State of the Church in Louisiana 1990-2000

The State of the Church in Louisiana 1990-2000. Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org.

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The State of the Church in Louisiana 1990-2000

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  1. The State of the Churchin Louisiana1990-2000 Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  2. This is a Sample PresentationIt’s purpose is to give you an idea of what is happening to the Christian church in Louisiana, and what the complete “State of the Church in Louisiana” Powerpoint looks like. The goal is to encourage pastors and church lay leaders to view and discuss together the missional challenges in Louisiana that the Church faces. The complete Powerpoint is $14.95 and is available for immediate download athttp://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/ULA20.htm © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  3. In 1996, polls taken immediately after the Presidential election revealed that 58% of people claimed they had voted, when in reality only 49% actually did. This is called the Halo Effect. People tend to over-inflate their participation in activities that create acceptability within their social group. For many decades, pollsters such as Gallup and Barna have reported that around 45% of Americans attend church every Sunday. But there is a religious Halo Effect. Actual attendance counts have shown that the percentage of people attending church on any given weekend is much lower than was previously thought. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  4. The Intent of this presentation is to answer and then expand on two key questions: “How Many People Really Attend Church in Louisiana Every Week?” “Is the Christian Church Going Forwards or Backwards in Influence in Louisiana?” As the data is analyzed county by county assessing a number of factors, a comprehensive picture of the State of the Church in Louisiana will begin to take shape. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  5. This study uses weekend church attendance as a more reliable and more immediate snapshot of Christian influence than membership. The following map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in all 50 states in 2000. Louisiana has the highest attendance percentage in the nation (29.4%), much higher than the national average (18.7%). © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  6. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  7. The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in Louisiana. Church Attendance is highest in the Southern-most region of the state. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  8. 25.8% 31.2% 28.1% 25.8% 36.2% Claiborne Union 28.2% West Carroll East Carroll Morehouse Webster 22.2% 30.5% 35.5% Bossier Caddo Lincoln 26.8% Ouachita 32.6% 40.2% 27.1% Richland 26.5% Madison Bienville Jackson 24.6% 27.1% 21.9% 24.9% Franklin De Soto Caldwell 27.6% Red River 26.1% Tensas Winn 23.1% Natchitoches 29.7% 21.9% 18.4% La Salle 27.6% Catahoula Grant Sabine 23.9% Concordia 30.3% Rapides 16.6% 29.6% Vernon Avoyelles 20.7% 21.3% 29.3% 16.1% Louisiana Counties 2000 Percentage of Population at Worship in Catholic Churches on any Given Weekend Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest West Feliciana East Feliciana 32.4% Washington 39.5% Saint Helena Pointe Coupee Evangeline 21.7% 20.3% 25.1% Allen 45.3% Beauregard Tangipahoa 29.6% Saint Landry 25.0% 23.6% East Baton Rouge West Baton Rouge 13.8% Saint Tammany Livingston 41.8% 31.2% 38.9% 27.6% 41.5% 25.4% Acadia Calcasieu Jefferson Davis Iberville Lafayette Ascension 39.3% 32.6% Saint Martin 45.6% St John The Baptist 33.4% Saint James Orleans 38.7% 26.9% Iberia 47.9% 49.5% 25.0% Saint Charles 24.6% Assumption Vermilion Cameron 31.1% Saint Bernard Saint Mary 26.9% Jefferson 32.4% 27.4% 26.2% Lafourche Terrebonne Plaquemines 0.0% to 25.8% 25.8% to 30.5% 30.5% to 50.5%

  9. The Next 2 Maps show the population numbers for each county in Louisiana. The first map shows the population of each county. The second map shows the growth or decline in population for each county from 1990 - 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  10. 16,851 22,803 12,314 9,421 31,021 Claiborne Union 41,831 West Carroll East Carroll Morehouse Webster 98,310 252,161 42,509 Bossier Caddo Lincoln 147,250 Ouachita 20,981 13,728 15,752 Richland 15,397 Madison Bienville Jackson 21,263 25,494 10,560 9,622 Franklin De Soto Caldwell 6,618 Red River 16,894 Tensas Winn 39,080 Natchitoches 190,503 10,920 18,698 La Salle 23,459 Catahoula Grant Sabine 20,247 Concordia 126,337 Rapides 52,531 41,481 Vernon Avoyelles 15,111 21,360 43,926 21,216 West Feliciana East Feliciana 22,763 Washington 35,434 Saint Helena Pointe Coupee Evangeline 25,440 32,986 100,588 Allen 87,700 Beauregard Tangipahoa 412,852 Saint Landry 21,601 191,268 East Baton Rouge West Baton Rouge 91,814 Saint Tammany Livingston 58,861 183,577 31,435 33,320 89,974 76,627 Acadia Calcasieu Jefferson Davis Iberville Lafayette Ascension 48,583 10,525 Saint Martin 43,044 St John The Baptist 484,674 Saint James Orleans 73,266 67,229 48,072 Iberia 53,807 23,388 9,991 Saint Bernard Saint Charles Vermilion Assumption Cameron 53,500 Saint Mary 455,466 Jefferson 14,282 104,503 26,757 Lafourche Terrebonne Plaquemines Louisiana 2000 Population by County 0 to 21,601 21,601 to 52,531 52,531 to 484,675

  11. Complete Presentation hasMap of 2000 Population Growth for Each County

  12. The Next 2 Slides show the ethnicity of Louisiana in 1990 and 2000. The third slide shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population for each ethnic group. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  13. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  14. Complete Presentation hasGraph of 2000 Ethnicity

  15. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  16. The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in Louisiana in 1990 and 2000. Evangelicals have grown in attendance, mainline has remained nearly the same and Catholics have significantly declined. Unfortunately, as overall worship attendance has slowly increased, the population has grown. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. This graph reflects a significant decrease in the percentage of the population attending church. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  17. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  18. Complete Presentation hasGraph of 1990 & 2000 Worship Percentage by Category

  19. The Next Graph is a Pie graph visualizing the percentage of the population at churches in each category in 2000. The “Absent” category indicates the percentage of the population that is not worshipping at a Christian church on any given weekend. The second graph shows the percentage gain or decline for each category in Louisiana in 1990 and 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  20. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  21. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  22. The 3 Next Charts show the relative strength of the 8 major denominational groups in Louisiana. The first chart illustrates the influence of the Catholic church (predominant in the south) and Baptist churches (predominant in the north.) The second and third charts shows the decline of all denominations in Louisiana, with the exception of Pentecostal churches. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  23. Complete Presentation hasPie Chart of 2000 Attendance by Denominational Families

  24. Complete Presentation hasBar Graph of 1990 & 2000 Attendance by Denominational Families

  25. The Next Chart shows the 1990 & 2000 average church attendance by group for both this state and the nation. The second chart shows the 1990 & 2000 population per church for this state and the nation. Among states in 2000, Arkansas has the lowest population per church with 411 people per church, Utah is the highest at 4,586 people per church. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  26. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  27. Complete Presentation hasBar Graph of 1990 & 2000 Population per Church for State and Nation

  28. The Next 3 Maps show the attendance percentages for the Evangelical, Catholic and Mainline churches in each county in Louisiana in 2000. The Evangelical church has considerable strength in the northern region of the state and the Catholic church in the south. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  29. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 2000 Evangelical Attendance Percentage for each County

  30. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 2000 Mainline Attendance Percentage for each County

  31. 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% Claiborne Union 1.2% West Carroll East Carroll Morehouse Webster 3.2% 2.8% 1.0% Bossier Caddo Lincoln 2.4% Ouachita 0.7% 0.8% 0.2% Richland 0.7% Madison Bienville Jackson 0.8% 2.2% 0.4% 1.0% Franklin De Soto Caldwell 1.9% Red River 0.4% Tensas Winn 7.2% Natchitoches 0.3% 0.3% 1.3% La Salle 6.5% Catahoula Grant Sabine 1.7% Concordia 7.3% Rapides 1.4% Louisiana Counties 2000 Percentage of Population at Worship in Catholic Churches on any Given Weekend Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest 18.9% Vernon Avoyelles 2.4% 0.5% 1.4% 0.8% West Feliciana East Feliciana 18.4% Washington 26.7% Saint Helena Pointe Coupee Evangeline 7.3% 2.9% 5.5% Allen 31.2% Beauregard Tangipahoa 8.8% Saint Landry 12.3% 11.6% East Baton Rouge West Baton Rouge 5.5% Saint Tammany Livingston 31.7% 13.9% 20.3% 12.5% 29.9% 15.5% Acadia Calcasieu Jefferson Davis Iberville Lafayette Ascension 29.5% 18.9% Saint Martin 30.8% St John The Baptist 10.9% Saint James Orleans 26.1% 17.3% Iberia 41.4% 29.5% 20.4% Saint Charles 19.2% Vermilion Assumption Cameron 17.7% Saint Bernard Saint Mary 16.0% Jefferson 26.1% 18.4% 17.4% Lafourche Terrebonne Plaquemines 0.0% to 1.4% 1.4% to 15.5% 15.5% to 42.4%

  32. The Next Map shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend from 1990 to 2000 for each county. 8 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 56 counties declined. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  33. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 1990 - 2000 Christian Church Attendance Percentage Increase or Declinefor each County

  34. The Next 3 Maps show the growth or decline of attendance percentages for the Evangelical, Catholic and Mainline churches in each county in Louisiana between 1990 and 2000. For evangelicals, 13 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 51 counties declined. For mainline churches, 17 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 47 counties declined. For Catholics, 12 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 52 counties declined. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  35. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 1990 - 2000 Evangelical Attendance Percentage Increase or Declinefor each County

  36. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 1990 - 2000 Mainline Attendance Percentage Increase or Declinefor each County

  37. -72.0% 42.9% -66.6% -56.8% -52.9% Claiborne Union 27.7% West Carroll East Carroll Morehouse Webster -15.2% -15.1% -66.6% Bossier Caddo Lincoln -10.4% Ouachita -19.2% -54.0% -38.0% Richland -7.0% Madison Bienville Jackson -1.3% 24.9% -4.1% 5.5% Franklin De Soto Caldwell 61.5% Red River -15.7% Tensas Winn -13.8% Natchitoches -47.6% 55.9% 2.3% La Salle -36.7% Catahoula Grant Sabine -53.9% Concordia -4.4% Louisiana Counties 1990 - 2000 Growth or Decline in Percentage of the Population at Worship in Catholic Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Decline Rose = Growth Rapides -43.2% -15.6% Vernon Avoyelles -79.1% -35.3% -45.8% -20.8% West Feliciana East Feliciana -34.5% Washington -16.6% Saint Helena Pointe Coupee Evangeline -36.9% -19.1% 102.4% Allen -22.2% Beauregard Tangipahoa -12.7% Saint Landry -4.1% -2.1% East Baton Rouge West Baton Rouge -43.7% Saint Tammany Livingston -12.9% -23.1% -18.8% -22.7% 1.8% -24.3% Acadia Calcasieu Jefferson Davis Iberville Lafayette Ascension -22.5% -17.5% Saint Martin -31.9% St John The Baptist -25.2% Saint James Orleans -27.1% -26.6% Iberia 5.3% 21.1% -27.5% Saint Charles -26.6% Vermilion Assumption Cameron -14.1% Saint Bernard Saint Mary -22.2% Jefferson -9.9% -24.7% 5.4% Lafourche Terrebonne Plaquemines Declining Growing

  38. The Final Chart shows the net gain in the number of churches in Louisiana in the past decade. There was a net gain of 17 churches. However, 388 churches were needed to keep up with population growth from 1990 - 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  39. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  40. The State of the Church in Louisiana . . . • Louisiana has the highest percentage of the population attending church of any state, narrowing edging out North Dakota. Because of the strong historic religious influences (Catholic, Southern Baptist and African American) in Louisiana, the church has both great opportunities and great challenges. • While church attendance has grown for Evangelicals, remained static for mainline denominations and declined for the Catholic church, population has grown. As a result, the percentage of the population attending church has decreased. This has resulted in a 9% loss in the state-wide percentage of the population that attended church between 1990 and 2000. • A major factor in the overall decline is the insufficient net gain in the number of churches in Louisiana. 371 additional churches needed to have been started in the previous decade to compensate for the decline in percentage attendance. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  41. For More Information . . . • Please go to www.theamericanchurch.org for additional information on the American Church. • 12 Surprising Facts about the American Church is available athttp://www.theamericanchurch.org/12supm.htm • The complete Louisiana Powerpoint presentation is available athttp://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/ULA20.htm • The Complete New Orleans Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/NewOrleans.htm • The Complete Baton Rouge Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/BatonRouge.htm • A Combo Pack (12 Surprising Facts, Alabama and Birmingham Powerpoints) is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/combo/LA0.htm © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  42. Information on the Information • The spiritual health of churches is multifaceted, and is obviously much more complex than an attendance trend can portray. However, following the example of St. Luke in the Book of Acts, who used the number of people who showed up at various events as a sign documenting the health and growth of the early church, I would suggest that attendance is the single most helpful indicator of health, growth and decline. • Information has been compiled only for orthodox Christian groups – Protestant, Catholic and Orthodox. The Mormons, Jehovah Witnesses, Unitarian-Universalists and the International Churches of Christ have not been included. In addition, information about non-Christian groups has not been compiled. • African American denominations publish very little that is statistical – often not even a list of current churches. This study used data from the 1990 Glenmary study on Black Baptist estimates and AME Zion churches, the average African American worship attendance (from the Barna Research Group), and a statistical model based on the population of African Americans in each county in 1990 and 2000. These were combined to come up with as accurate an estimate as possible. • Independent church data is almost impossible to obtain. (There are actually fewer totally independent churches than is assumed. Most are part of some voluntary association, which typically keeps some records.) Data from the 1990 & 2000 Glenmary study on larger Independent churches (limited to over 300 in attendance) was used along with a statistical model to estimate the attendance at smaller independent churches. • In Catholic churches, the definition of what constitutes membership varies with diocese and church, making numbers sometimes inconsistent from state to state and county to county. In addition to actual mass counts from 1/3rd of Catholic parishes, membership information has been merged with attendance patterns from similar dioceses based on the size of the diocese and the region in which it is located. • Orthodox Churches are included in Totals, but not included as a separate group because of smallness of size nationwide. Division into Evangelical and Mainline categories is based on the division by the Glenmary Study. • This study only looks at how many people attend a Christian church on any given Sunday. The term ‘regular attender’ can be designated to mean someone who attends a Christian church on a consistent basis. Using a simple definition for ‘regular attender’ (attends at least 3 out of every 8 Sundays), between 23% and 25% of Americans would fit this category. Adding ‘regular attenders’ of non-orthodox christian churches and other religions to the totals would increase the percentage to 26% – 28%. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  43. This Presentation is based on a nationwide study of American church attendance, as reported by churches and denominations. The database currently has average worship attendances for each of the last 10 years for over 170,000 individual churches. It also uses supplementary information (actual membership numbers correlated with accurate membership to attendance ratios) to project the attendances of all other denominational and independent churches. All told, accurate information is provided for all 300,000 orthodox Christian churches.1 1 This presentation looks only at people attending orthodox Christian churches. Approximately 3 million people attend non-orthodox Christian churches, and perhaps 3 million attend a religious service of another religion. Those ‘houses of worship’ would add another 35,000 churches in the United States and increase the 2000 percentage to 20.5%. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  44. For More Information . . . • Presentations such as this are available for the largest 100 metropolitan areas, for each state and for the nation as a whole, as well as other presentations to show what is happening in the American church. Presentations are available either by direct download, CD or print. Please go to www.theamericanchurch.org for ordering information. • To Contact Dave Olson, please email him at DaveTOlson@aol.com. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

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