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The 3rd EuroNTA Workshop 28 October 2010 Institute for Future Studies Stockholm, Sweden

Changing Patterns of Intergenerational Transfers and Life-Cycle Consumption in Finland and Sweden 1990-2006. The 3rd EuroNTA Workshop 28 October 2010 Institute for Future Studies Stockholm, Sweden Marja Riihelä, Government Institute for Economic Research

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The 3rd EuroNTA Workshop 28 October 2010 Institute for Future Studies Stockholm, Sweden

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  1. Changing Patterns of Intergenerational Transfers and Life-Cycle Consumption in Finland and Sweden 1990-2006 The 3rd EuroNTA Workshop 28 October 2010 Institute for Future Studies Stockholm, Sweden Marja Riihelä, Government Institute for Economic Research Risto Vaittinen, Finnish Centre for Pensions Reijo Vanne, Finnish Pension Alliance Jovan Zamac, Inst. For Future Studies, Stockholm

  2. Contents • Age structure of the population 1900 - 2050 • Real growth and labor force and employment rates 1975 - 2007 • Aggregate LCD and its finance 1975-2007 • Labor income, consumption and LCD by age 1990 and 2006 • LCD and components of its finance by age group 1990 - 2006

  3. Dependency ratio 1900-2050 in Finland …”yesterday when we were young”, Sweden used to be the oldest country in the world

  4. Dependency ratio 1900-2050 in Swe

  5. Source: Statistics Finland and Sweden

  6. Working-aged and employed persons as % of pop in 1975–2009 in Fin and Swe Source: Statistics Finland and Sweden

  7. Aggregate LCD as percentage of aggregate labor income in Finland and Sweden 1975 – 2007 Business cycle based changes and one structural change in Finland? Sources: Statistics Finland, own calculations, NTA database

  8. Private and public asset-based reallocations in Finland…higher asset income and private saving

  9. Labor income and consumption by age in 1990 and 2006 in Finland

  10. 1990 2006 Labor income and consumption sums by age as percentage of aggregate labor income in 1990 and 2006 including decomposition of the LCD change to demographic, behavioral and policy effects LCD diff=Dem+Beh&Pol14=6+8 22 %

  11. Labor income by age in 1990, 1993 Sweden

  12. Labor income by age in 1990, 1993, 2006 Sweden

  13. Labor income and consumption by age in 1990, 1993 Sweden

  14. Labor income and consumption by age in 1990, 1993, 2006 Sweden

  15. LCD by Broad Age Groups in Finland

  16. Private ABR by Age Groups in Finland

  17. Private Asset Income by Age Groups in Finland

  18. Private Saving by Age Groups in Finland

  19. Private Transfers by Age Group in Finland

  20. Public ABR by Age Groups in Finland

  21. Public Transfers by Age Group in Finland

  22. LCD over wages

  23. LCD and Debt

  24. LCD and Debt Swe

  25. LCD and Debt Fin

  26. LCD /Debt Fin and Swe

  27. LCD /Debt Swe 1950 - 2006

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