Validation Analysis of the 0.72 ˚ HYCOM/CICE 4.0 2003-2006 run

1. Validation Analysis of the 0.72˚ HYCOM/CICE 4.0 2003-2006 run Dmitry Dukhovskoy, Pam Posey, Joe Metzger, Alan Wallcraft, and Eric Chassignet

2. Arctic Study at COAPS FSU Participant in the International partnership program funded by NSF: Arctic Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (AOMIP). AOMIP Goals: (1) Validate and improve Arctic Ocean models in coordinated fashion - identify the most consistent errors across models - propose solutions - select the most reliable and consistent Arctic Ocean / Sea Ice models (2) Investigate processes using observations and model results - How to avoid restoring and flux correction? - Formation of the Arctic Ocean halocline - Parameterization of stress-driven and convection-driven mixing (3) Climate change - 50-year experiment under “observed” forcing and 100-year experiment under reconstructed forcing

3. AOMIP Models

4. HYCOM/CICE 4.0 Overview • Developed at NRL coupled HYCOM/CICE application • - ESMF-based HYCOM provided by NRL-SSC • - ESMF-based CICE 4.0 provided by LANL • - All coupling by NRL-SSC • HYCOM/CICE at NRL • - Initially for Arctic-only domain and a Bering Sea • domain for testing data assimilation • - Soon for fully global domain

5. Los Alamos Sea Ice Model (CICE 4.0) • State of the art sea-ice model • - Multi-category ice thickness • - Energy conserving thermodynamics • - Energy-based ridging scheme • - Elastic-viscous-plastic (EVP) ice dynamics • Open Source ice model • - http://climate.lanl.gov/Models/CICE

6. 0.72° Arctic P-grid DX (km) HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72˚ • Run for 2003-2006 • Arctic-only grid is a sub-region of the tripole grid • - Bottom in the Atlantic, top in the Pacific • Atlantic and Pacific boundaries • - Closed (no-ice) in CICE • - Closed but with relaxation to climatology in HYCOM • The model coastline is at the 50 m isobath (closing the Bering Strait) • 3 hourly NOGAPS 0.5˚ atmospheric forcing fields

7. HYCOM/CICE ARCc0.08 0.08° Arctic grid resolution (km) Run for 2005-2008 The model coastline is at the 10 m isobath (Bering Strait open). 3 hourly NOGAPS 0.5 degree atmospheric forcing fields OBs are forced by the 1/12° global HYCOM Ocean model is initialized from 1/12˚ non-assimilative global HYCOM

8. Background: Arctic Ocean

9. 180W 90E 80N 60N 0 45W Arctic Ocean Bathymetry (NGDC ETOPO-2) Bering Strait Alaska Russia CB Canada Lomonosov Ridge EB GIN Sea Fram Strait

10. Arctic Ocean Circulation WHOI: www.whoi.edu

11. Temperature, February 250 m, PHC 3.0 Beaufort Gyre Signature Signature of Deep Convection in the Greenland Gyre

12. GDEM3, Salinity at 3000 m The deep Canadian Basin is saltier than the Eurasian Basin >34.95 <34.95

13. Analysis of ARCc 0.72° 2003-2006 Run

14. Near-Surface Temperature, February HYCOM/CICEARCc 0.72˚ grid PHC 3.0 2003 2006

15. Near-Surface Salinity, February HYCOM/CICEARCc 0.72˚ grid PHC 3.0 2003 2006

16. Annual Mean Near-Surface Velocity Field Beaufort Gyre is in place Transpolar Current is in place North Atlantic Gyre does not seem to be reproduced in the model WHOI: www.whoi.edu

17. 250 m Fields from HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72˚ HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.08˚

18. Temperature 250 m, February ARCc 0.72˚ grid ARCc 0.08˚ grid PHC 3.0 2006 2006 Atlantic water flow along the shelf break

19. Salinity 250 m, February ARCc 0.08˚ grid ARCc 0.72˚ grid PHC 3.0 2006 2006

20. Depth of the Upper Atlantic Water (Depth of 0˚ Surface) ARCc 0.08˚ grid ARCc 0.72˚ grid PHC 3.0 2006 2006 Atlantic water flow along the shelf break

21. 180W 90E 80N 60N 45W 0 Arctic Ocean – Greenland – Norwegian Seas cross-section HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72°

22. Salinity, February GDEM 3 HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72˚ 45W 0

23. Temperature, February GDEM 3 HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72˚

24. Salinity, February GDEM 3 HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.08˚, 2006

25. Temperature, February GDEM 3 HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.08˚, 2006

26. Summary • Coupled HYCOM/CICE 4.0 in place • - ARCc0.72: ran for 4 years (2003-2006) initialized using PHC 3.0 (ARCc0.72) • - ARCc0.08: ran for 4 years (2005-2008) initialized using 1/12° Global HYCOM • Surface and deep water mass distribution modeled in ARCc 0.72˚ (and 0.08˚) is similar to climatology • In both ARCc 0.72˚ and 0.08˚, the Atlantic layer in the Arctic Ocean is dislocated compared to observations: • - Atlantic layer is too deep in ARCc 0.72˚ • - Atlantic water does not penetrate into the Canadian Basin in ARCc 0.08˚

27. Sea Ice from ARCc 0.08˚, 2005-2008

28. Sea Ice Simulation from HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72°

29. Sea Ice Drift Field HYCOM/CICE ARCc0.72 grid, 2006 Proshutinsky et al., 2008 www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/ocean.html

30. Sea Ice Concentration, ARCc 0.72˚ September 1, 2006 arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere

32. Distribution of potential T and S along the section Potential Temperature Salinity Aaagaard et al., Thermohaline circulation in the Arctic Mediterranean Seas, JGR, 1985

33. Seasonal Sea Ice Thickness (m) Winter Summer

34. Seasonal Sea Ice Concentration (m) Winter Summer

35. Salinity, 10 m, PHC 3.0 August February Anticyclonic Beaufort Gyre

36. Seasonal Signal Simulated in HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72°

37. Seasonal Near-Surface Temperature PHC 3.0 HYCOM/CICE ARCc0.72 grid, 2003-2006 Winter Summer

38. Seasonal Near-Surface Salinity PHC 3.0 HYCOM/CICE ARCc0.72 grid, 2003-2006 Winter Summer

39. COAPS Plans 1) Analysis of 0.72 and 0.08 model runs performed by NRL SSC 2) Test runs with ARCc0.72 3) Transition to ARCc0.08 4) AOMIP coordinated 50-year run of ARCc0.08

40. Two-way coupled HYCOM/CICE – exchanges fields every 3 hours • HYCOM uses a 18 minute time step and exports: • - SST • - SSS • - Surface currents • CICE uses a 45 minute time step and exports: • - Ice concentration • - Ice-ocean stresses • - Actual Freeze/Melt Heat/Salt/Mass Flux • - Solar radiation at ice base • ** Runs on three HPC systems: IBM p655+, SGI Origin 3900 and Cray XT3

41. Stand-alone vs Coupled • Stand-alone • - CICE has simple bulk ocean mixed layer • Relaxes to climatological SST and SSS • Calculates an ice-ocean stress, based on zero ocean • currents • - HYCOM treats sea-ice as an “energy bank” • No ice advection • No ice-ocean stress (wind stress applied directly to the ocean) • Best possible coupling: • - HYCOM’s ocean CICE’s sea-ice • - Ice-Ocean Stress identical in HYCOM and CICE • - Ice-Ocean Fluxes identical in HYCOM and CICE • Actual 2-way coupling: • - Ice-Ocean Stress identical in HYCOM and CICE • - Similar, but not identical, Ice-Ocean Fluxes • CICE’s SST strongly relaxed to HYCOM SST • HYCOM’s sea-ice concentration strongly relaxed to CICE sea-ice concentration • - Fields exchanged every 3 hours

42. Global Tripole Grid • Arctic dipole patch on standard Mercator globe • This tripole grid has many good properties • - Rectilinear grid south of the Arctic patch • - Grid aligned with the equator • - Same resolution in Arctic and Antarctic – if Arctic patch starts • about 47N • - relatively smooth transition across the patch boundary • The “full” tripole grid contains all locations twice • - Just as a “full” periodic domain contains all locations an • infinite number of times • Global: use the lower copy of each location • - Logically rectangular arrays • - Needs a special halo exchange on the top edge • -- Includes a sign change for v-velocity • -- Some points still included twice (both copies must be • identical – consistency check)

43. Mean Horizontal Velocity Across Fram Strait POP model, 1978 HYCOM/CICE ARCc0.72 grid, 2006 |U|<0.2 Zhang and Steele (JGR, 2007)

44. Salinity, February 250 m GDEM3 PHC 3.0

45. Temperature, 10 m, PHC 3.0 August February

46. Near-Surface Temperature, August HYCOM/CICEARCc 0.72˚ grid 2003 2006 PHC 3.0

47. Near-Surface Salinity, August HYCOM/CICEARCc 0.72˚ grid PHC 3.0 2003 2006

48. Initial Field: Temperature at 250 m, January PHC 3.0 HYCOM/CICE ARCc 0.72 grid

49. Initial Depth of the Upper Atlantic Water (Depth of 0˚ Surface) PHC 3.0, June Initial Field, ARCc 0.72, June