310 likes | 434 Vues
In a unique polling experiment, CNN visits 20 bars in Manchester, New Hampshire to gauge local voters' support for GOP candidates during the 2012 primary season. The "Beer Poll" reveals striking results: Mitt Romney leads with 11.55%, followed by Ron Paul at 5.25% and Newt Gingrich at 3.15%. Notably, candidates like Rick Santorum and Rick Perry failed to muster any support. Compare these findings with pre-election surveys from WMUR/University of NH and NBC/Marist, showcasing the dynamics of voter sentiment as the primaries approach.
E N D
The 2012 NH “Beer Poll” CNN speaks to voters at 20 Manchester, New Hampshire, bars to "scientifically" determine the GOP primary winner.
What are your expectations?What type of person might support each candidate?
In Percentage Terms Votes % • Mitt Romney 11 55% • Ron Paul 5 25% • Newt Gingrich 3 15% • Jon Huntsman 1 5% • Rick Santorum 0 0% • Rick Perry 0 0%
How does this “poll” match the CNN pre-election survey of registered NH voters? WMUR/University of NH poll NBC/Marist University poll Mitt Romney 42% Ron Paul 22% Rick Santorum 13% Newt Gingrich 9% Jon Huntsman 9% Rick Perry 1% • Mitt Romney 44% • Ron Paul 20% • Rick Santorum 8% • Newt Gingrich 8% • Jon Huntsman 7% • Rick Perry 1%
How does this “poll” match the CNN pre-election survey of registered NH voters? • The Beer Poll correctly ranks Romney, Paul and Gingrich. • There is no support for Santorum or Perry in the Beer Poll. • Small N poll should miss candidates with little support.