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2007 Biobased Industry Outlook: Economic Analysis and Ethanol Market Trends

This report from the Chad Hart Center at Iowa State University provides an in-depth analysis of the biobased industry in 2007, focusing on oil and ethanol futures, corn prices, and distillers' grains pricing. Significant factors impacting the market include national and local energy policies, economic conditions, overcapacity in the ethanol and biodiesel sectors, and raw material availability. The report presents historical and projected gross margins and utilization rates for ethanol production, offering valuable insights for stakeholders in the renewable energy sector.

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2007 Biobased Industry Outlook: Economic Analysis and Ethanol Market Trends

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  1. Economic Sustainability Chad Hart Center for Agricultural and Rural Development Iowa State University chart@iastate.edu 2007 Biobased Industry Outlook Conference Ames, Iowa November 6, 2007

  2. Oil Futures as of 10/31/2007

  3. Ethanol and Gasoline Futures

  4. Historical Distillers Grains Prices

  5. Nearby Corn Futures Prices

  6. Corn Futures as of 10/31/2007

  7. Historical Ethanol Gross Margins

  8. Projected Ethanol Gross Margins

  9. Projected Utilization of U.S. Corn

  10. Projected U.S. Dry Mill Margins

  11. Projected U.S. Ethanol Production

  12. Comparing This Year to Last Source: Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings, Inc. 3rd Quarter Report, 2007

  13. Outlook Factors • National, state, and local energy policies • Changes in general economic conditions • Overcapacity within ethanol, biodiesel, and petroleum refining industries • Availability and costs of products and raw materials • Energy prices • Value of co-products • Availability of transportation resources (rail, barge, etc.) Source: Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings, Inc. 3rd Quarter Report, 2007

  14. Thank You

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