May 28, 2009

1. Reducing Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions & Support Healthy Communities: Transportation System StrategiesCivic Engagement and the Coming Energy and Climate Crisis: Select recommendations from the Alachua county energy conservation strategies commission May 28, 2009

2. Introductions Penny Wheat, Chair, Alachua County Energy Conservation Strategies Commission Jonathan Paul, Concurrency & Impact Fee Manager Alachua County

3. Overview - Alachua County Energy Conservation Strategies Commission Over 204 recommendations exploring: • Community Challenges • Rising Energy Costs, Climate Change, Peak Oil Production & Decline • Community Opportunities • Create a resource efficient and resilient community 1. Introductions

4. Resolution and Mission County Commission Resolution ECSC Mission “…wants to do its part to reduce or mitigate the effects of Global Climate Change and promote the long-term economic security of its citizens through the implementation of policies that enhance energy efficiency…” “To draft a comprehensive report on energy use, its relationship to climate change and local socio-economic impacts, including actions that can be implemented by the Board of County Commissioners and the community at large.” 2. Background

5. Community Membership Twelve energy conservation experts “Possess demonstrated expertise and/or advanced training in the areas of energy demand side management, LEED or Green Building Code standards, renewable energy technologies, or a related field.” One representative of the University of Florida One former elected Gainesville City Commissioner One former elected Alachua County Commissioner One alternate position 2. Background

6. Community Membership ECSC Members from left to right: Bill Shepherd; Erich Christian; Pattie Glenn; Dwight Adams; Chris Fillie; Eduardo Vargas; Harry Kegelmann; Ed Brown; Ruth Steiner; Fred Depenbrock; Penny Wheat 2. Background

7. ECSC Guiding Principles • Practice conservation (reduce consumption); • make efficiencies in building envelopes and mechanical equipment; and • invest in renewable power generation. 2. Background

8. The ECSC Final Report http://energy.alachuacounty.us 2. Background

9. ECSC Recommendations Categories • Major Strategic Policies • Inviting and Engaging Our Public & Communities • Alachua County Government • Waste and Energy Implications • Maximize Local Food Production and Processing • Land Use and Transportation • Residential Buildings • Innovative Energy Systems and Renewable Energy • Legislative Items 2. Background

10. Community Challenges Moving from Global Crisis to Local Response: The Community challenges of rising energy costs, climate change, and Peak Oil production and decline

11. Community Challenges Escalating energy costs for transportation & for buildings Climate change: global and local “Peak Oil” means not 'running out of oil', but 'running out of cheap oil'. For societies leveraged on ever increasing amounts of cheap oil, the consequences may be dire.” Energy Bulletin: http://www.energybulletin.net/primer.php 3. Community Challenges

12. Energy & Transportation • US General Accountability Office Report GAO-07-283: released February, 2007 Crude Oil: Uncertainty about future oil supply makes it important to develop a strategy for addressing a peak and decline in oil production Source: http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d07283.pdf 3. Community Challenges

13. Energy & Transportation • How long can world oil supply expand before reaching a maximum level of production -a peak- from which it can only decline? • U.S. economy depends heavily on oil, particularly in the transportation sector. • World oil production has been running at near capacity to meet demand, pushing prices upward.

14. United States Oil Imports This chart depicts the sources of American oil imports. While the United States gets about 45% of its oil from the Middle East and North Africa, these regions hold over two thirds of the oil reserves worldwide.” Driving the Future of Energy Security http://lugar.senate.gov/energy/graphs/oilimport.html 3. Community Challenges

15. US Consumption 20.59 MB/Day Net Imports US Production US Oil Production and ConsumptionOverview 1949-2006 Million Barrels per Day Energy Information Administration; Official Energy Statistics from the US Government 3. Community Challenges

16. US General Accountability OfficeReport - Key Findings • Peak oil is real. • Decline in oil productionwill occur sometime between February 2007 and 2040. • No one is sure of the exact date, because there is a wide variance in the data and methodology used by various research entities. • Alternative energy sources, particularly for transportation, are not yet available in large quantities. 3. Community Challenges

17. US General Accountability OfficeReport - Key Findings • Alternative transportation technologies will take time and effort. • Alternative transportation technologies have limited potential to mitigate the consequences of a peak and decline in oil production • These technologies could displace only the equivalent of 4 percent of projected U.S. annual consumption by 2015.

18. US General Accountability OfficeReport - Key Findings • Without government policy the United States will be seriously harmed economically. • Federal agencies currently have no coordinated or well-defined strategy • In commenting on a draft of the report, the Departments of Energy and the Interior generally agreed with the report and recommendations.

19. Vulnerability and Oil Supply

20. Vulnerability and Oil Supply

21. Bargain Priced Fuel? New York Times: Savoring Bargains at the American Pump, June 29, 2008

22. Climate Change from the Past Image from: Statement on Sea Level in the Coming Century; Science Committee Miami-Dade County Climate Change Advisory Task Force Presented by Dr. Wanless April 22, 2008 3. Community Challenges

23. Climate Change without Action Image from: Statement on Sea Level in the Coming Century; Science Committee Miami-Dade County Climate Change Advisory Task Force Presented by Dr. Wanless April 22, 2008 3. Community Challenges

24. Community Opportunities Invest in weatherization & energy efficiency Create employment & new local businesses Develop sustainable mobility infrastructure Maximize local food production Maximize renewable energy production

25. Question and Discussion • Are current land use and transportation planning rules viable at $4, $5, $6 ….$10/gallon of gasoline?

26. Transportation Opportunities • Mobility: Alachua County’s Plan to Effectively Link Land Use and Transportation • Compact Centers • Mixed Use • Design • Bus Rapid Transit • Dedicated Lanes • Bicycle and Pedestrian Network

38. Beville Creek UF Urban Village Butler Plaza TOD Dedicated Transit Lanes PUBLIC / PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP PLANNING FOR MOBILITY vs. REGULATING ROAD CAPACITY

39. Peak Oil and Climate Change Conclusions and Best Advice Best Policies to create and energy efficient and resource resilient community Best Advice • Develop sustainable mobility infrastructure • Invest in weatherization & energy efficiency • Create employment & new local businesses • Maximize local food production • Maximize renewable energy production • Start now • Involve and educate your residents • Have land use policies that address climate change • Measure your performance • Be ready for the benefits of coming carbon markets (and your community’s carbon liability) 6. Conclusions and Best Advice

40. Alachua County, Florida • Jonathan Paul, Concurrency & Impact Fee Manager • Phone: (352) 374-5249 • Email: JBPaul@AlachuaCounty.US • Penny Wheat, Chair, Alachua County Energy Conservation Strategies Commission • Phone: (352) 371-2125 • Email: penny@gru.net • Sean H. McLendon, Sustainability Program Manager • Phone: (352) 548-3765 • Email: smclendon@alachuacounty.us 7. Future Steps

41. Thank you