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The course addresses the challenges of overcoming entrenched policy and institutional inertia that hinder the transition to sustainable energy practices. Recognizing the legacy systems in place, we analyze energy policy within the context of real-world impacts, focusing on electricity, heat, and transportation emissions. The session highlights notable trends, such as methane emissions and the dynamics of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the U.S. and China. Participants will explore effective strategies for fostering meaningful change towards sustainability, breaking free from "business as usual."
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Business As Usual • The inability to overcome policy and or institutional inertia in order to pull your head out of your ass and start on a sensible pathway to sustainability • Much more difficult obstacle to overcome than you think – you live in a legacy world. • The REAL world matters and in this course we exam issues always in that context
Why Energy Policy Matters • Energy: • Electricity • Heat • Transportation
Methane Emissions Growing Flat from 2000 -2007 This small rise is significant Revised IPCC GWP: 21 36 CO2 = 398 ppm CH4 = 1.85*36 = +67 465 ppm
Electricity growth – must occur with carbon free emissions as fast as practical 1950-2000: Electricity growth scales as (Pop Growth)3.5
Latest Extended Recession: slight reduction (about 2% from peak) Transportation and Electricity Production are equal in GHG
US Reduction in GHG emissions – only a temporary condition 2012 Mild Winters 7% Reduction 2009 Market Crash Overall from 2005-2015 is a reduction of .8% per year So, Business AS USUAL!
The Chinese Sledgehammer China was relatively unaffected by the global meltdown of 2009
And Per Capita is Increasing – which is why 3.26 ppm is happening 1990-2003 stability Recession blip 33% Increase in Per Capita Emissions from 1975 until now
Price of Consumption Sustainability Awareness Needs to Begin Here CHINA