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This article by Michael MacNeil, PhD, explores the intricacies of selection indices in livestock breeding. It breaks down the problem into two main components: predicting expected progeny differences (EPDs) and estimating economic values. Key pitfalls include the misconception that selection can override heterosis advantages and poorly estimated genetic parameters. Potential changes to improve selection indices involve incorporating more traits, updating genetic evaluation systems, and utilizing genomic predictors. The goal is to maximize genetic improvement for enhanced economic merit in livestock production.
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Selection IndexPossibilities, Pitfalls, and Potential Changes Michael MacNeil, PhD Delta G Miles City, Montana
Selection Index • Decompose problem into two parts: prediction of EPD and estimation of economic values • Where, • Assuming,
Selection Index • Where, • Analytical direct solution • Approximation by method of finite differences • Linear programming • Assuming,
Selection Index • Where, • Assuming,
Possibilities • Use genetic selection to improve economic merit • Maximize present value of genetic improvement • Consistent implementation of selection criteria • Use complete set of economically relevant traits
Pitfalls • Temptation to think selection can overcome advantages of heterosis • Incomplete indexes • Ignore genetic antagonisms • Fail to address full production cycle • Don’t give some traits the attention they are due • Poor estimates of genetic parameters • poor estimates of EPD
Potential Changes • Incorporate additional traits • Update genetic evaluation systems • Improved estimates of variance components • More appropriate models • Make indexes more complete • Make genetic evaluation of ERT more accurate • Incorporate genomic predictors / better relationships • Enhance econometrics • Increase ease of developing customized indexes