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NGAUS 2006 Air Separate Session

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NGAUS 2006 Air Separate Session

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    1. NGAUS 2006 Air Separate Session Lt Gen Craig McKinley Vice Chief, National Guard Bureau Director, Air National Guard 18 September 2006

    2. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Overview What were doing Overseas At Home Recruiting and Retention Imperatives for Change Three Immediate Goals The Way Ahead

    4. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Winning the Long War on Terrorism Who is the enemy? A transnational movement of extremist organizations, networks and individuals who share a common purpose Primary enemy is al Qaida and their associated extremists Exploits Islam and uses terrorism, to include assassinations and murder as means to accomplish ideological ends the overthrow and control of moderate nations Is supported by state and non-state actors corrupt government officials, criminals and others who forge opportunistic alliances of convenience Exploits civil liberties, large immigrant populations and lenient immigration laws to hide in plain sight If supported by 1% of the Muslim population, equates to over 13 million dedicated to the extremist cause Key Point The enemy consists of numerous violent extremists groups (and individuals) who are loosely affiliated in that they have a common purpose. Slide Purpose Convey a general description of the nature of the enemy Other Points; The followers of Islamic radicalism are bound together by this extreme ideology, not by any centralized command structure. This makes it easy for a loose network to achieve unity of effort and difficult for any single military campaign to eradicate the threat, since ideas cant be eliminated by guns alone. Other extremist organizations include; Jemaah Islamiya (JI), Anser al-Sunnah, Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), Libyan Islamic Fighting Group, and Pakistan and Kashmiri militant groups It is a transnational movement all societies have extremist but in this case they use violence to achieve ideological ends. We do not believe this is a global insurgency it is a global movement. It does not have a central command and control. It is like beatle mania a movement Al Qaidas ideology is of the Sunni sect of the Salafist teaching which believe in the orthodox of Islam taught through the Wahabi schools but what is unique that it believe in Takfirism those who dont believe should be eliminated no matter the background or religion. Not all Sunni Salafist are our enemy. What about the Shia the fact is that before 911, more Americans were killed by Shia extremists than any other. But they have remained on the sideline predominately. But they also have a violent ideology that we must pay attention to. We say that the extremist exploits Islam and uses terrorism to include assassination and murder as a means to accomplish ideological ends. We further define terrorism as murder because it resonates with all societies the unlawful taking of life. We further define the adversary as state and non-state supporters some through ideology, some through financial or corruption. Key Point The enemy consists of numerous violent extremists groups (and individuals) who are loosely affiliated in that they have a common purpose. Slide Purpose Convey a general description of the nature of the enemy Other Points; The followers of Islamic radicalism are bound together by this extreme ideology, not by any centralized command structure. This makes it easy for a loose network to achieve unity of effort and difficult for any single military campaign to eradicate the threat, since ideas cant be eliminated by guns alone. Other extremist organizations include; Jemaah Islamiya (JI), Anser al-Sunnah, Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), Libyan Islamic Fighting Group, and Pakistan and Kashmiri militant groups It is a transnational movement all societies have extremist but in this case they use violence to achieve ideological ends. We do not believe this is a global insurgency it is a global movement. It does not have a central command and control. It is like beatle mania a movement Al Qaidas ideology is of the Sunni sect of the Salafist teaching which believe in the orthodox of Islam taught through the Wahabi schools but what is unique that it believe in Takfirism those who dont believe should be eliminated no matter the background or religion. Not all Sunni Salafist are our enemy. What about the Shia the fact is that before 911, more Americans were killed by Shia extremists than any other. But they have remained on the sideline predominately. But they also have a violent ideology that we must pay attention to. We say that the extremist exploits Islam and uses terrorism to include assassination and murder as a means to accomplish ideological ends. We further define terrorism as murder because it resonates with all societies the unlawful taking of life. We further define the adversary as state and non-state supporters some through ideology, some through financial or corruption.

    5. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Over the last several years we have been in the midst of the largest National Guard mobilization since WW II Since September 11, 2001 the National Guard has mobilized more than 300 thousand soldiers from across the country More than 46,500 of those were Air National Guard Plus 62,000 Volunteers, many of whom deployed more than once ANG has filled 141,000 deployment requirements Over the last several years we have been in the midst of the largest National Guard mobilization since WW II Since September 11, 2001 the National Guard has mobilized more than 300 thousand soldiers from across the country More than 46,500 of those were Air National Guard Plus 62,000 Volunteers, many of whom deployed more than once ANG has filled 141,000 deployment requirements

    6. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom 5th Anniversary of the 9/11 Attacks -- Heres just some of what youve accomplished in the GWOT 9/11 end of FY 2005 141,322 Sorties, 448,231 Hours This year as of 7 Sep 06 24,488 Sorties, 75,332 Hours ANG ASA Support (Note: AD Airlifters provide 100% of alert)5th Anniversary of the 9/11 Attacks -- Heres just some of what youve accomplished in the GWOT 9/11 end of FY 2005 141,322 Sorties, 448,231 Hours This year as of 7 Sep 06 24,488 Sorties, 75,332 Hours ANG ASA Support (Note: AD Airlifters provide 100% of alert)

    7. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Lets look at how busy the ANG is right now This operations tempo is a floor, we only go up from here Now weve added Operation Jump Start, on our South West Border, as well as fire fighting and other headquarters missions We had 1,500 ANG personnel on the border 1 August Lets look at how busy the ANG is right now This operations tempo is a floor, we only go up from here Now weve added Operation Jump Start, on our South West Border, as well as fire fighting and other headquarters missions We had 1,500 ANG personnel on the border 1 August

    8. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Exploring waiver allowing per diem in excess of 180 days for deployed soldiers Request has been staffed through NGB, and forwarded to DoD SG exploring possibility of installing an EMAC in TX CA -- Operations suspended in specified zones of El Centro sector due to hazards identified by risk assessment, Health and Welfare inspection team AZ -- Engineers completed 17.5 miles of Border road maintenance -- JTF establishing FOB in Yuma to provide long term life support for OJS personnel; have resolved environmental issues and are establishing tent cities -- OJS has returned 27 BP agents to the field -- Nogales road construction underway by NG engineers -- JTF at 102% vehicle strength -- EIT sites continue to provide significant impact; 4529 illegal entries reported since 1 Aug -- Yuma FOB communications fully operational NM -- Engineers are currently working on temporary Anti- Vehicle Barriers (AVB), Slurry fill, and permanent AVBs -- Visit from NM legislators at JTFHQ & Santa Teresa EIT site -- WV IG in AOR Exploring waiver allowing per diem in excess of 180 days for deployed soldiers Request has been staffed through NGB, and forwarded to DoD SG exploring possibility of installing an EMAC in TX CA -- Operations suspended in specified zones of El Centro sector due to hazards identified by risk assessment, Health and Welfare inspection team AZ -- Engineers completed 17.5 miles of Border road maintenance -- JTF establishing FOB in Yuma to provide long term life support for OJS personnel; have resolved environmental issues and are establishing tent cities -- OJS has returned 27 BP agents to the field -- Nogales road construction underway by NG engineers -- JTF at 102% vehicle strength -- EIT sites continue to provide significant impact; 4529 illegal entries reported since 1 Aug -- Yuma FOB communications fully operational NM -- Engineers are currently working on temporary Anti- Vehicle Barriers (AVB), Slurry fill, and permanent AVBs -- Visit from NM legislators at JTFHQ & Santa Teresa EIT site -- WV IG in AOR

    9. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Recruiting and Retention Challenges BRAC Actions/Hurricanes Katrina and Rita Historically, no ANG Long-Term Funding Commitment to Develop/Sustain Viable Recruiting and Retention Program Competitive recruiting environment Opportunities Ongoing in-house review of potential roadblocks in achieving End Strength Solicitation of Irritant issues from the field Provide a full-time administrative assistant at most flying wings Provide funding for storefront recruiting offices Guard Recruiter Assistance Program (GRAP) Uncertainty of missions and manpower requirements adversely affect Recruiting and Retention at enclaved units. -- 42% of Oct 05-Feb 06 losses were at these locations Language restricts movement of manpower at 17 units identified to lose force structure ANG manpower directed to remain in place: 2,763 Full Time and 6,335 Military Language directs 29 units to robust force structure The robust manpower bill: 1,714 Full Time and 3,304 Military Five units identified to lose force structure do not have the manpower restricting language Results in manpower that can be moved: 449 Full Time and 1,250 Military The net result is additional ANG manpower required to implement BRAC If strictly following the language [by unit] the bill is: 1,265 Full Time and 2,054 Military If fixed within eight states that gain and lose the bill is: 737 Full Time and 1,169 Military Limited Advertising Budget ($5.9M in 2006), relies on Congressional adds or ANG Supplements Competitive recruiting environment (ARNG 2006 Budget $126.25M) This is our number 1 Underfunded Priority Funding in FY08 POM: $26M Advertising ($13M) $27M Incentives ($20.4M) $3.0M Storefront Recruiting Offices (Zero) 100 Additional Recruiters (30/60/90) -- Fairly bleak prognosis for this effort to date Ongoing in-house review of potential roadblocks in achieving End Strength BRAC policy guidance Training quotas Force management/development Manpower resources Providing a full-time administrative assistant at most flying wings allows recruiters to focus on generating leads and selling the Air National Guard Funding for storefront recruiting offices brings the Recruiters to the Customer! 10 new leases this FY (48 total) Guard Recruiter Assistance Program (GRAP) Officially hit the 500 mark for GRAP! As of 13 Sep, we have 522 accessions and 2,795 potential airmen in the cue. This program is realling starting to pick up steam as word of it gets out to our people and they start collecting their checks. Uncertainty of missions and manpower requirements adversely affect Recruiting and Retention at enclaved units. -- 42% of Oct 05-Feb 06 losses were at these locations Language restricts movement of manpower at 17 units identified to lose force structure ANG manpower directed to remain in place: 2,763 Full Time and 6,335 Military Language directs 29 units to robust force structure The robust manpower bill: 1,714 Full Time and 3,304 Military Five units identified to lose force structure do not have the manpower restricting language Results in manpower that can be moved: 449 Full Time and 1,250 Military The net result is additional ANG manpower required to implement BRAC If strictly following the language [by unit] the bill is: 1,265 Full Time and 2,054 Military If fixed within eight states that gain and lose the bill is: 737 Full Time and 1,169 Military Limited Advertising Budget ($5.9M in 2006), relies on Congressional adds or ANG Supplements Competitive recruiting environment (ARNG 2006 Budget $126.25M) This is our number 1 Underfunded Priority Funding in FY08 POM: $26M Advertising ($13M) $27M Incentives ($20.4M) $3.0M Storefront Recruiting Offices (Zero) 100 Additional Recruiters (30/60/90) -- Fairly bleak prognosis for this effort to date Ongoing in-house review of potential roadblocks in achieving End Strength BRAC policy guidance Training quotas Force management/development Manpower resources Providing a full-time administrative assistant at most flying wings allows recruiters to focus on generating leads and selling the Air National Guard Funding for storefront recruiting offices brings the Recruiters to the Customer! 10 new leases this FY (48 total) Guard Recruiter Assistance Program (GRAP) Officially hit the 500 mark for GRAP! As of 13 Sep, we have 522 accessions and 2,795 potential airmen in the cue. This program is realling starting to pick up steam as word of it gets out to our people and they start collecting their checks.

    10. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Advertising Funds

    11. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Imperatives for Change Our World is Changing and We Must Too No Longer Strategic but Operational Reserve In addition to the High Ops Tempo we have many other challenges Legacy Aircraft, Decreasing Budget BRAC, FTF, QDR PBD 720 Transformation Driving a total ANG bill of ~19,700 people or ~$1.5 Billion Dollars Drives changes in missions, possible locations, demographics Centralizing bases vs community presence Affects Recruiting and retention, Morale 20% enlisted retirement eligible Many not staying past 20 years No Longer Strategic but Operational Reserve In addition to the High Ops Tempo we have many other challenges Legacy Aircraft, Decreasing Budget BRAC, FTF, QDR PBD 720 Transformation Driving a total ANG bill of ~19,700 people or ~$1.5 Billion Dollars Drives changes in missions, possible locations, demographics Centralizing bases vs community presence Affects Recruiting and retention, Morale 20% enlisted retirement eligible Many not staying past 20 years

    12. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Three Immediate Goals

    13. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Capture Your Trust COMMUNICATION I will talk straight and work with you We will gain your trust through communication We will answer the mailif you dont come to me, Ill come to you to ensure we talk We will build relationships based on mutual respect We may not always agreebut I will always listen and respect your position I will actively engage/seek counsel from NGAUS committees I will talk straight and work with you We will gain your trust through communication We will answer the mailif you dont come to me, Ill come to you to ensure we talk We will build relationships based on mutual respect We may not always agreebut I will always listen and respect your position I will actively engage/seek counsel from NGAUS committees

    14. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Reconnect to our Air Force One Air Force One Fight Requires changes to our business practices Their priorities are our priorities CSAF Meeting Two Squadron Commanders, Two First Sergeants Bottom line: 4E128 is open for business

    15. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom HAF-ANG Integration I believe in Staff Integration ANG Assistants The way aheadimplement pilot program by merging staff functions of AF/A8 and NGB/A8 Col Rob Blissard A8 Division Chief position July 06 Maj Gen Frank Scoggins TFI (A8) Sep 06 Maj Gen Rita Aragon AF/A1 Sep 06 I believe in Staff Integration The centers of gravity have changed Its all about relationships 2006 is a narrow window of opportunity to integrate HAF and ANG It works at our MAJCOM Headquarters The way aheadimplement pilot program by merging staff functions of AF/A8 and ANG/A8 Lines of communication and span of supervision clearly defined and maintained Well go slow, make course corrections and expand as success dictates I believe in Staff Integration The centers of gravity have changed Its all about relationships 2006 is a narrow window of opportunity to integrate HAF and ANG It works at our MAJCOM Headquarters The way aheadimplement pilot program by merging staff functions of AF/A8 and ANG/A8 Lines of communication and span of supervision clearly defined and maintained Well go slow, make course corrections and expand as success dictates

    16. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Roger, Craig and Johnyall please get together and lets see what we can do to consolidate our personnel work. Im not sure whats possiblebut, if we can look at A8 and perhaps A3we can sure look at A1. Please take a look and lets have a snap shot of what you think prior to CORONA. Thanks guys. (If this can be doneyoure the right team to make it happen.) --T. Michael Moseley General, USAF Chief of Staff of the Air Force

    17. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom

    18. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Examine business practices through AFSO21set the example Councils (EFAC, ADFAC, Weapons Systems, IPP) will be modernized/updated Seek AGAUS committee inputs for charter update Councils should be accountable to TAGs and NGB leadership Seek to expand the General Officer Augmentee Program (Dual Hat) Stand up Minuteman Heritage to Horizon Written communication on organizational issues on recurring/regular basisExamine business practices through AFSO21set the example Councils (EFAC, ADFAC, Weapons Systems, IPP) will be modernized/updated Seek AGAUS committee inputs for charter update Councils should be accountable to TAGs and NGB leadership Seek to expand the General Officer Augmentee Program (Dual Hat) Stand up Minuteman Heritage to Horizon Written communication on organizational issues on recurring/regular basis

    19. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom

    20. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom

    21. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom The Way Ahead Directors Operating Principles ANG is not a separate force ANG is an equal partner in One Air Force, unique by our State mission The ANG culture and experience strengthens the Air Force Integration of ANG Directorate and HAF staffs will result in better decisions for the ANG and the Air Force State requirements must be addressed in the AF planning and programming processes Modernization/recapitalization efforts must be proportionately and concurrently resourced with a clear understanding of the OPTEMPO impact Clear, timely, and open communication must be maintained with HQ USAF, the States, and the NGB joint staff, understanding the need and importance of protocols

    22. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom The Way Ahead Strategic Ambition Air Guard is viewed as a valued partner in One Air Force, both operationally and corporatelyReputation for participating and shaping rather than coordinating and responding Air Guards unique attributes (stability, experience, civilian skills, community roots) are effectively leveraged within One Air Force One Air Force is enhanced through the harmonized efforts of Federal and State leadership Emerging Air Guard leaders move between federal and state leadership positions seamlessly Air Guard staff structures effectively and efficiently operate at the federal and state level Changing organizational constructs maximize the capabilities and culture of the Air National Guard

    23. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Culture Revisited Part Two

    24. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Upcoming Events Minuteman Heritage to Horizons 2 Oct Conaway Hall AGAUS Meeting 7 Oct Washington, D.C. Integrated Planning Process: Strategic Plan 5 Oct IPP Steering Committee VTC 23-25 Oct Minneapolis, MN ANG Senior Leadership Conference 2006 10-14 Dec Baltimore, MD

    27. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Family Programs Joint since 1999 WFPCs filled differently in different wings Challenges to this arrangement Lack of Parity, Continuity, differs from AF, AFRES Doesnt address future Organizational Constructs, Associate Wings Support for overseas returnees Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder screening Challenged to meet demands of Deployments/Katrina Program as a whole is fragmented Positions filled differently in different wings National WFPC contract (Approx 25 Wings) administered by NGB-FP and NGB-AQ Independent contractors (Approx 18 Wings) administered by Wing Contracting Office Locally arranged contractors (25 Wings) administered by Wing Contracting Office using local sources (e.g. Fedsource, Kelly Services, etc State cooperative agreement contractors hired under Appendix 29 of NGR 5-1 administered by State Business Administrator (Approx 24 Wings) Challenges to this system in the long run Lack of Parity in Pay and Benefits Lack of Stability Limited ability to write policy, supervise Doesnt align with AF, AFR Future force constructs/Associate wings We think that some programs seem to be working very well Others may be struggling But we cant be sure because we have no way to measure progress and success No metrics by which to compare unitsProgram as a whole is fragmented Positions filled differently in different wings National WFPC contract (Approx 25 Wings) administered by NGB-FP and NGB-AQ Independent contractors (Approx 18 Wings) administered by Wing Contracting Office Locally arranged contractors (25 Wings) administered by Wing Contracting Office using local sources (e.g. Fedsource, Kelly Services, etc State cooperative agreement contractors hired under Appendix 29 of NGR 5-1 administered by State Business Administrator (Approx 24 Wings) Challenges to this system in the long run Lack of Parity in Pay and Benefits Lack of Stability Limited ability to write policy, supervise Doesnt align with AF, AFR Future force constructs/Associate wings We think that some programs seem to be working very well Others may be struggling But we cant be sure because we have no way to measure progress and success No metrics by which to compare units

    28. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Family Programs Joint Force Headquarters have the Resources to Assist Wings Close Collaboration critical to providing services State Benefit Advisors a new Link to VA Child and Youth Programs Operation Military Child Care Family Readiness Groups Wing Family Programs Coordinator (WFPC) Non-Dual Status Technician and Master Cooperative Agreement Awareness of and access to support resourcesincreases family self-reliance This awareness enhances the National Guards ability to maintain readiness Togetherwe can meet the needs of our families to ensure a ready and reliable force in defense of our nations freedoms Strong and committed personnel serving in Joint Force Headquarters and Wings. 1) State Family Program Director 2) Family Program Assistant 3) Family Readiness Assistant 4) Child and Youth Coordinator 5) State Benefits Advisors and 6) Geographically Dispersed Family Assistance Center Coordinators Family assistance centers (currently at over 450 in number) can draw down to 162 as NG deployed forces draw down Child and Youth program will be expanding by training and equipping volunteer child and youth coordinators in all National Guard Communities National Guard is worked in conjunction with the National Association of Child Care Resource and Referral Agencies (NACCRRA) to launch operation military child care This Program Subsidizes the cost of child care for military parents who are currently mobilized or deployed Unit Family Readiness Groups are organized and prepared to act and reach out and serve thousands of volunteers who are ready to be available for families as they together welcome home these modern day patriots Were committed to the WFPC Program. While there are no guarantees we have confidence that if you are doing a good job now the odds are you will be doing the same job under NDS or the Master Cooperative Agreement We appreciate your committed service and have pledged to support you in our request for funding (Next slide) Awareness of and access to support resourcesincreases family self-reliance This awareness enhances the National Guards ability to maintain readiness Togetherwe can meet the needs of our families to ensure a ready and reliable force in defense of our nations freedoms Strong and committed personnel serving in Joint Force Headquarters and Wings. 1) State Family Program Director 2) Family Program Assistant 3) Family Readiness Assistant 4) Child and Youth Coordinator 5) State Benefits Advisors and 6) Geographically Dispersed Family Assistance Center Coordinators Family assistance centers (currently at over 450 in number) can draw down to 162 as NG deployed forces draw down Child and Youth program will be expanding by training and equipping volunteer child and youth coordinators in all National Guard Communities National Guard is worked in conjunction with the National Association of Child Care Resource and Referral Agencies (NACCRRA) to launch operation military child care This Program Subsidizes the cost of child care for military parents who are currently mobilized or deployed Unit Family Readiness Groups are organized and prepared to act and reach out and serve thousands of volunteers who are ready to be available for families as they together welcome home these modern day patriots Were committed to the WFPC Program. While there are no guarantees we have confidence that if you are doing a good job now the odds are you will be doing the same job under NDS or the Master Cooperative Agreement We appreciate your committed service and have pledged to support you in our request for funding (Next slide)

    29. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom One Air Force Formerly Future Total Force, Total Force Institutionalized through AF doctrine, policies, & PME Active Duty, Air National Guard, Air Force Reserve = One Force, One Fight

    30. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom TFI Implementation Proposed legislative changes to Title 10 and 32: On the Hill with the 07 NDAA Phase IV This month Maj Gen Scoggins AF/A8 Sep 06

    31. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Major AF Organizational Shifts AEF Construct Air Force Combined Headquarters (AFCHQ) AF Component CC is the COMAFFOR and positioned to be C/JFACC and / or JTF/CC Each AFCHQ must be able to make a seamless transition to Major Combat Operations Each AFCHQ will have an appropriately-sized AOC weapon system, AFFOR Staff, and Component CC Support Staff

    32. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom BRAC Personnel movement restrictions BRAC is a Must Pay Bill that is severely fiscally constrained Total AF Shortfall = $1.8B ANG identified BRAC requirements are 56% funded by OSD BRAC Wedge

    33. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Budgetary Pressures Flat or Decreasing Budgets BRAC bill TFI PBD 720 ~$1.5 Billion

    34. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom This will not keep pace with Inflation. We must get more efficient.This will not keep pace with Inflation. We must get more efficient.

    35. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom AFSO 21 A unique Air Force model using parts of: Lean, Theory of Constraints, Six Sigma and Business Process Engineering New Office at Conaway Hall Col Billy Asbell

    36. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Changing Use of the Guard and Reserve Roadmap is template for transforming for AF 2025 Directly impacts USAF missions statement by providing the USG sovereign options to defeat any enemy Pairs up all Total Force player to create a unity of effort Roadmap is template for transforming for AF 2025 Directly impacts USAF missions statement by providing the USG sovereign options to defeat any enemy Pairs up all Total Force player to create a unity of effort

    37. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Struggle of Ideas Key Point There is a struggle of ideas within the Muslim world. On one side, extremists believe that violence is the only option available to address the underlying conditions. They believe that the way to regain past glory is only by re-establishing strict Sharia Law over all Muslim populations Moderates, on the other hand, believe another option exists peaceful political activism. They believe that the Muslim world is compatible with the west. That plurality, inclusion and tolerance are necessary. The battle is over the population. Will the Muslim world resort to violence and the return of 14th Century conditions or peaceful political activism and relevancy in the 21st Century? Briefing Points; Much of the extremist movement emerged out of the Afghan-Soviet war in the 1980s but has been fueled by larger social, political and ideological trends affecting Muslim populations around the globe for decades. Extremists believe that violence is necessary to defend Islam from perceived aggression and subjugation of the Muslim population. We must try to define some of the ideologies that reside within Islam on the far left, for example, we have secular Islam and as you move right we have moderate mainstream Islam defined by the principles tolerance, plurality, inclusion. Differences are solved through dialogue. As you move further right, you have an element that are traditionalist the orthodox of Islam predominate is all aspects of life. On the far right, we have an extremist element of Islam which believes in the principles under the red arrow Violent Extremists. Overarching in the struggle is how you deal with globalization and incursion of western culture. How does each side attempt to approach these issues? The moderates approach it from a form of dialogue. They may not accept it but there is room for plurality and discussion. Extremist would say that we must establish and Islamic state such as a Taliban state to stop western incursion and modernity into the Muslim world. The extremist exploit current global trends such as the information revolution, mass migration and high Muslim birth rates, extremist education, the sensationalism of violence throughout societies, and the incursion of Western culture through globalization to incite hatred throughout Muslim lands. The side who best resonates with the population will shift the bell curve either to the right or the left. Only if a peaceful option exists, will moderates resonate with the population. If the population perceives no choice but violence to address their grievences, the curve will continue to shift to the right. Who resonates today with the population? Who has the world stage? Key Point There is a struggle of ideas within the Muslim world. On one side, extremists believe that violence is the only option available to address the underlying conditions. They believe that the way to regain past glory is only by re-establishing strict Sharia Law over all Muslim populations Moderates, on the other hand, believe another option exists peaceful political activism. They believe that the Muslim world is compatible with the west. That plurality, inclusion and tolerance are necessary. The battle is over the population. Will the Muslim world resort to violence and the return of 14th Century conditions or peaceful political activism and relevancy in the 21st Century? Briefing Points; Much of the extremist movement emerged out of the Afghan-Soviet war in the 1980s but has been fueled by larger social, political and ideological trends affecting Muslim populations around the globe for decades. Extremists believe that violence is necessary to defend Islam from perceived aggression and subjugation of the Muslim population. We must try to define some of the ideologies that reside within Islam on the far left, for example, we have secular Islam and as you move right we have moderate mainstream Islam defined by the principles tolerance, plurality, inclusion. Differences are solved through dialogue. As you move further right, you have an element that are traditionalist the orthodox of Islam predominate is all aspects of life. On the far right, we have an extremist element of Islam which believes in the principles under the red arrow Violent Extremists. Overarching in the struggle is how you deal with globalization and incursion of western culture. How does each side attempt to approach these issues? The moderates approach it from a form of dialogue. They may not accept it but there is room for plurality and discussion. Extremist would say that we must establish and Islamic state such as a Taliban state to stop western incursion and modernity into the Muslim world. The extremist exploit current global trends such as the information revolution, mass migration and high Muslim birth rates, extremist education, the sensationalism of violence throughout societies, and the incursion of Western culture through globalization to incite hatred throughout Muslim lands. The side who best resonates with the population will shift the bell curve either to the right or the left. Only if a peaceful option exists, will moderates resonate with the population. If the population perceives no choice but violence to address their grievences, the curve will continue to shift to the right. Who resonates today with the population? Who has the world stage?

    38. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom National Strategy for the GWOT Slide depicts an effort initiated in Fall 03, referred to as the Uni-brief (combination of four GWOT briefs). This strategy was codified in NSPD46/HSPD15 on 6 March when signed by the POTUS. Lay out the Ends-Ways-Means construct (describe mutually supportive nature of the framework) LT USG Strategic Goal: Preserve and promote the way of life of free and open societies based on the rule of law, defeat terrorist extremism as a threat to that way of life, and create a global environment inhospitable to terrorist extremists. USG Strategy: Help create and lead a broad international effort to deny terrorists the resources they need to operate and survive. Has three elements: protect the homeland; disrupt and attack terrorist networks; and counter ideological support for terrorism. Touch on CIST in terms of being a decisive effort in the war; but save the bell curve discussion for later. Means: DIMEFIL Diplomatic, Information, Military, Economic, Financial, Intelligence, and Law Enforcement This framework the strategic elements also serve as a method of organizing for the GWOT. Slide depicts an effort initiated in Fall 03, referred to as the Uni-brief (combination of four GWOT briefs). This strategy was codified in NSPD46/HSPD15 on 6 March when signed by the POTUS. Lay out the Ends-Ways-Means construct (describe mutually supportive nature of the framework) LT USG Strategic Goal: Preserve and promote the way of life of free and open societies based on the rule of law, defeat terrorist extremism as a threat to that way of life, and create a global environment inhospitable to terrorist extremists. USG Strategy: Help create and lead a broad international effort to deny terrorists the resources they need to operate and survive. Has three elements: protect the homeland; disrupt and attack terrorist networks; and counter ideological support for terrorism. Touch on CIST in terms of being a decisive effort in the war; but save the bell curve discussion for later. Means: DIMEFIL Diplomatic, Information, Military, Economic, Financial, Intelligence, and Law Enforcement This framework the strategic elements also serve as a method of organizing for the GWOT.

    39. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Winning the Long War--Conclusion

    40. Created by NGB/CFX Guarding America Defending Freedom Defense Spending Over Time Chart shows Defense spending as a percent of GNP With every crisis there is a significant correlating increase Most experts believe we are at the tail end of the last bump in Defense spendingChart shows Defense spending as a percent of GNP With every crisis there is a significant correlating increase Most experts believe we are at the tail end of the last bump in Defense spending

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