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This study investigates the risks posed to residents of a 1900 terraced house in Bristol from soil contaminants, specifically Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs). Through comprehensive sampling and analysis, the research determines the potential for significant harm, identifies the need for further assessment and risk mitigation, and assesses exposure pathways for residents, particularly children. The findings highlight the importance of specific assumptions in risk analysis, indicating minimal risk while addressing uncertainties in exposure estimates and the implications for remediation.
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Living at home – toorisky? Dealing with uncertainty in HHRA
Outline • Objectives • Methodology • Results • Discussion of results • Conclusions
Objectives • Part IIA style investigation of a residential property in Bristol • Objectives: • Understand the risks posed to residents from contaminants in soil (specifically PAHs) • Determine whether those risks pose significant possibility of significant harm • Assess the need for further assessment to more accurately assess risk • Assess the need for risk mitigation
Property • Terraced house built c.1900 on greenfield site • Located adjacent to a park • Small, mostly hard covered front garden • Small (5 x 7 m) rear garden with some parts used for growing vegetables
Sampling strategy Flower Beds Decking Grass 5.3 m House Paving 7 m
Sampling strategy HA3 HA4 HA2 HA1 HA5 DS1 + PM10 monitoring Composite sample HA6 • Samples analysed by ALcontrol Laboratories for PAHs and SOM HA7 (dup)
Fieldwork • Best practice sampling protocols followed • Using suitably qualified and experienced field staff
GQRA • Compared concentrations of PAHs with LQM/CIEH 2nd edition GAC for residential land-use • Concentrations of PAHs < GAC with exception of BaP • Mean concentration of BaP in surface soil samples = 1.2 mg/kg • So now what?
DQRA • Exceedence of GAC means further assessment required • DQRA moves from the use of GAC based on generic assumptions to SSAC based on site specific assumptions • Uncertainty analysis is also an important element of DQRA • Identify site specific adjustments that will produce a more realistic estimation of risks: • Changes to conceptual model? • Changes to models used? • Changes to input parameters? • Use of statistics? • Changes to input parameters - focus on principle risk driving pathways
Pathway contributions • Pathway contributions to total exposure and risk for generic residential scenario (0 to 6 yr female child) Inhalation of dust important contributor to risk
CLEA parameters * Contaminant specific
Exposure via soil/dust ingestion • Generic assumptions: • Child eats average of 100 mg soil per day 365 days per year • Female child of average body weight • Site specific assumptions • I have two boys, no girls yet • Big one is skinny, little one is not • Both eat soil indoors and out • Do they eat 36.5 grams soil per year? • Does it all come from garden?
Exposure via dust inhalation • Generic assumptions: • Soil derived PM10 indoors >> soil derived PM10 outdoors • Indoor PM10 from soil = outdoor PM10 derived from soil + (DL x TF) • PM10outdoor_soil = 0.425 ug/m3 • Indoor dust loading (DL) = 50 ug/m3 • Soil to dust transport factor (TF) = 0.5 Critical parameters
Indoor dust loading • PM10 indoors = 30 to 40 ug/m3 • Further monitoring required to give average daily PM10 indoors • CLEA generic DL = 50 ug/m3
Soil to dust transport factor • What proportion of PM10 is likely to be from garden soil? • 2 lines of evidence: • PAH analysis of dust from hoover bag vs soil analysis • Average [BaP] in surface soil = 1.2 mg/kg • [BaP] in dust = 1.0 mg/kg • PAH profile in dust similar to garden soil • SOM analysis of dust from hoover bag vs soil analysis • Average SOM in surface soil = 13% • SOM in dust = 32% • If we assume that dust composed of soil (13% SOM) + skin/food (100% SOM), TF = 0.8 – higher than CLEA generic assumption!
Results of DQRA • Exposure frequencies and gender made specific to my children • Average (as opposed to upper 95th %ile) dermal adherence factors used • TF increased from 0.5 to 0.8 • SSAC for BaP = 1.28 mg/kg • [BaP] in surface soil = 0.65 to 1.6 mg/kg • Average [BaP] in surface soil = 1.2 mg/kg • UCL 95 [BaP] = 1.57 mg/kg
Discussion of results • DQRA shows that best (most realistic) estimate of ADE:HCV ratio for my children = 0.92 • ADE:HCV ratio < 1 indicate minimal or negligible risk • However, there is uncertainty in the 0.92 number • Uncertainties in representative exposure concentration, soil ingestion rate etc, mean that actual ADE:HCV ratio could differ from 0.92 • May be more meaningful to say that ADE:HCV ratio is likely to be somewhere between 0.5 to 1.5
Discussion of results • Even if ADE:HCV ratio = 1.5 – is this a problem? • Dust inhalation biggest contributor to risk (57%) • How does dust inhalation pathway compare to background inhalation exposure? • Exposure to BaP via inhalation of soil derived dust = 20% of background exposure to BaP via inhalation (assuming average UK urban air conc of BaP of 0.21 ng/m3) • Thus remediation of garden soil will not cause significant reduction in overall inhalation risk • Soil/dust ingestion contributes 40% of risk • HCVoral for BaP based on WHO drinking water standard which is based on dose-response data for forestomach tumours in mice. • High degree of uncertainty in trying to extrapolate the dose-response to humans • WHO DWS incorporates safety factors to account for this uncertainty and ensure that DWS is protective • As a result of these safety factors an ADE:HCV ratio of 1.5 is unlikely to constitute SPOSH
Conclusions • Risk assessment is meaningless without consideration of uncertainties • Generic parameters in CLEA model appear a reasonable basis for Part IIA assessments but: • site specific adjustments should be made where possible • uncertainties should be recognised and made transparent in risk assessment report • This amateur research work has identified a need for further research: • Exposure from inhalation of indoor dust • Soil and dust ingestion rates • Further guidance required on: • Significance of exceedence in the context of uncertainties involved in derivation of HCV
Acknowledgements • Many thanks to www.firthconsultants.co.uk