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SATC 2019 TO D or not to D, that is the question (Possible) Impact of Transit Oriented Development on Public Transport – Case Cornubia. 10 July 2019 Pieter Onderwater Pieter.onderwater@hatch.com. Pieter Onderwater (1962). Education:
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SATC 2019TO D or not to D, that is the question(Possible) Impact of Transit Oriented Development on Public Transport – Case Cornubia 10 July 2019 Pieter Onderwater Pieter.onderwater@hatch.com
Pieter Onderwater (1962) Education: • 1980 – 1988 Technical University Delft: MSc Civil Engineering Traffic & Transport: PT/Rail Planning • 2017 – now University of Cape Town: PhD on Rail Planning Work: • 1988 – 1989 Swiss Railway Company, University Delft • 1989 – 2001 GoudappelCoffeng T&T Consultancy • 1992 – 2006 Municipalities of The Hague and Rotterdam • 2006 – 2011 DHV Consultants Rail, the Netherlands • 2011 – 2013 SSI / Royal HaskoningDHV, South Africa • 2013 – 2018 SMEC, South Africa • 2018 – now Hatch Africa Lecturing: • 2000 – 2010Deventer, Utrecht techikons, Twente University, the Netherlands • 2012 – now University of Cape Town • 2017 – now University of Namibia
Objective and Methodology Objective of this paper: • Investigate the influence on the PT system, of the main TOD factors: • Improved Public Transport • Density • Mixed-Use • Pedestrian friendly design • (others) • Theoretical Application: Transit Oriented Planning • Case Cornubia Boulevard • Modelling • Lessons learned • TOD and PT support each other • Modelling tools are inadequate
Application of TOD • TOD concept originates from 1970/80s (USA) • (Naturally) applied in Europe • Urban development Requires T&T network • Opportunities for planned dev. Spare capacity T&T network • Attracts new urban dev. High quality T&T network • TOD in South Africa, only in last decade • 2006 – Wilkinson published on it, at SATC • 2011 – National Development Plan • Then – included in (some) local planning policies • Recently – several researchers, SACN, PhD/MSc students
Influence Factors of TOD Influence factors • Cervero (1990s) 3 D • Southern Africa Cities Network (2010s) 8 aspects • Improved Public Transport • Density • Diversity = Mixed-Use • Design = Walking network and facilities / Public Realm • (Cycling) • (Regulating parking, car use, traffic management)
Transportation Assessment • Trip Generation • Work, school, other activities, shopping, social, leisure • Distribution • Modal Split • Walk, Private Transport (Car, Cycle?) • Public Transport (minibus, bus, train) • Assignment • Routes PT operations Individual economic assessment, budgets: money, time, effort. • If quality of transportation system is insufficient, then: • Other mode: Car PT ( cheaper P mode) Walk • Different distribution, other (sub-optimal) activity closer by • Not make the trip at all… • Impacts on Economic and Social activities… Activity Travel Transport Traffic
0. Traditional Planning 0. Traditional Land Use = segregated activities, low densities Traditional PT = unscheduled, low Quality Level of Service – Often direct services, but in-frequent, slow – Long PT trips – Small PT units (most efficient) still inefficient, expensive – Only attracts Captives • Spend a large proportion of money, time, effort on Transportation…
1. Improved Public Transport 0. Traditional Land Use and PT 1. Improved PT = IPTN = Trunk and Feeder + Some PT improvements: scheduled, frequent, fast (dedicated infra) – Still long PT trips, long walking distances from stations / or Feeders – Inefficient PT: one-directional, unevenly used, expensive / subsidy – Hardly attracting Choice Users • Walking / Feeder cost too much time, effort
2. Higher Density 1. Improved PT = IPTN 2. High Density + More improvements on PT service, better used. – PT operations still one-directional, and inefficient – Still long PT trips, long walking distances from stations – Still not attracting many Choice Users
3. Mixed-Use 2. High Density 3. Mixed-Use Density + Closer Origins and Destinations, some at walking distance + Shorter PT trips, bi-directional + More efficient PT: more evenly used and bi-directional 4. Design Public Spaces for Pedestrians + Right Development Mix: Offices, Facilities, Retail, Leisure + Pleasant walking attracting Choice Users
Additional Benefits of TOD With High Density and Mixed-Use: • smaller catchment area, for activities to be self-sufficient • more activities in reach of population = higher accessibility • Origins and Destinations close by, ‘around the corner’ • More walking trips, less Car and PT • Also activity / trip-’chains’ in lunch-time or after work (off-peak) • Pedestrian friendly environment • Pleasant place to live, work, play • Attracting additional activities / trips also in off-peak • PT and NMT support each other more PT use modal shift • Road network can’t handle high densities, but (as with PT) mixed densities make road network more efficient • Also consider mixed-use Parking • More economic / social activities higher land value
Case Cornubia Cornubia is a new development, north of Durban Along Improved PT Corridors: • C9 = Umhlanga – Cornubia – Phoenix – Bridge City • C8 = Durban – Umhlanga – Cornubia – Airport • Plus additional Local PT routes Dense Mixed Design • First developments already had higher densities higher in recent plans • First plans were only partly mixed Cornubia Boulevard is well mixed
Support by Modelling • Modelling results: • Densification Higher Trip Generation • Improved PT More PT trips, good Assignment on PT network • Efficient PT system, station design, etc.
Modelling was inadequate • However, current Transportation Models hardly cater for TOD assessments 1. Fixed Trip Generation no impact shown of mixed-use (less trips) no results for off-peak 2. Same Distribution function based on historic (traditional) planning little impact of mixed-use 3. No Modal-Split function ‘manual’ fixed impact of improved PT policy parameter = wishful thinking 4. Assignment OK
Conclusions and Recommendations • TOD more off-peak trips, shorter trips, modal shift, more efficient PT • Impact of TOD elements works differently for Captives and Choice Users • Recent planning for Cornubia Boulevard includes all TOD elements OK • Include TOD in more areas in Cornubia, elsewhere (where applicable) • Improve Modelling tools: • Flexible Trip Generation, depending on Quality of transportation, off-peak • Distribution function, based on Accessibility of activities • Modal Split, based on Generalised Costs (money, time, effort) PT % Low Inc Mid. Inc High Inc Trad. +Impr.PT +Dense +Mix +Design
Discussion Any other questions ? Pieter.onderwater@hatch.com . So, the questions was: TO D or not to D ? And the answer is: TOD ! .