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Energy and Environment Innovation Systems

This conference presentation delves into the dynamics of hydrocarbon supply, emphasizing the challenges and opportunities in off-shore exploration. It highlights the importance of deep-offshore endeavors, the role of national oil companies, and the significance of technological cooperation within the BRICS nations. By exploring past strategies and current investments, the session aims to foster collaboration and innovation in the energy sector.

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Energy and Environment Innovation Systems

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  1. Energy and Environment Innovation Systems BRICS Conference Rio -Brazil April 25/26/27, 2007 adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  2. HydrocarbonsChallenges and Opportunities Adilson de Oliveira Professor Instituto de Economia Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  3. Agenda • Cooperation: the opportunity • Off-Shore: the challenge adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  4. adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  5. adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  6. The OECD will be increasingly dependent on imports of hydrocarbons from the Middle East • And the BRICS? adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  7. Oil Balance Million Barrels per day adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  8. Natural Gas Balance Trillion Cubic Feet adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  9. Deep off-shore • The next frontier • The opportunity adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  10. The Off-Shore Challenge Source: Petrobras adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  11. Brazil • 1974: First off-shore discovery • 1981: giant fields (300m to 2100m) • High complexity, high risk; high premium • Petrobras decided to take the risk adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  12. Geological Strategy • Develop domestic capabilities • Training • 1300 geologists • 10,000 engineers • Learning by doing • New models for turbidite formations • Understanding the Brazilian plataform adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  13. Technological Strategy • Incremental innovation (until 1984) • 1960/1980: acquisition and assimilation of technologies • 1980/1990: adaptations and absorption of design • 1990/2000: joint R&D; knowledge production • 2000: joint R&D; technology exchange; specialized knowledge production adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  14. Technological Strategy Source: Petrobras adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  15. Technological Strategy • Radical innovation • Procap 1000 • Procap 2000 • CENPES plataform design : 30% cost reduction • 1992: Distinghished Achievement Award (OTC) adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  16. Oilfields Discovered(SoutheasternBasins) Source: Petrobras adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  17. Technologies • Wet christmas tree (200m) • Flexible risers • Robotics (over 300m) • New anchors (plastics) • New technologies for liquid flow • Horizontal hole • Drilling mud • Resistance of drillling equipment • Conversion of ships • Automation of plataforsms adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  18. Financial Strategy • Antecipate cash flow • Early production systems (Sedco-Hamilton) • Drilling equipment removed • Replaced by small processing plant • From 1977 to 1984: 17 EPS adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  19. Recent Exploration Investments Source: Petrobras adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  20. Reserves (oil and gas) Source: Petrobras adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  21. Production Targets Source: Petrobras adilson@ie.ufrj.br

  22. CONCLUSION • BRICS • Can have a joint strategy to achieve security of energy supply • Technological cooperation for the development of deep-off-shore is critical • The National Oil ompanies have a key role in this process adilson@ie.ufrj.br

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