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Empirical Analysis of Parole Violations: California

How are parolees returned to prison?. Parole violations. Prison returns. Local Court Convictions. Board Returns. Criminal". Noncriminal. . . . . . . . . . Research Questions. What factors predict parole violations and revocations?How are cases sorted" to the courts and the parole board?Where doe

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Empirical Analysis of Parole Violations: California

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    1. Empirical Analysis of Parole Violations: California Conference on Back-end Sentencing and Technical Parole Violations Stanford University November 4, 2006

    2. How are parolees returned to prison?

    3. Research Questions What factors predict parole violations and revocations? How are cases sorted to the courts and the parole board? Where does the discretion lie in decision-making about violations and revocations?

    4. NIJ California Parole Violation Study 261,883 Parolees Observed Weekly for 2003-2004 344,183 Violations 155,562 Returns to Prison Individual, Contextual, and Institutional Factors

    5. Violation Risks

    6. How do parole returns impact prisons?

    7. Board Returns do not Comprise a Large Share of the Prison Population

    8. Consequences Back-end sentences are not the major contributor to the current population crisis They do produce other negative consequences Transaction Costs Increase criminogenic propensities

    9. Discretion lies mostly with the Parole Board

    10. Criminal Returns Increased Through the 1990s

    11. Different Offenses are Routed Through the Board and Courts

    12. Most Criminal Returns are for the Least Serious Violations

    13. Many Serious Offenses go through the Board

    14. Return Times are Much Shorter for Board Returns

    15. Summary Churning Population Crisis Increased Transaction Costs and Enhanced Criminogenic Propensities Seriousness Board Discretion Tripartite Focus: Agents, Board, and DAs

    16. Contact information Ryken Grattet, Ph.D. Department of Sociology University of California Davis, California 95616 Tel: (530)754-6137 E-mail: jenness@uci.edu

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